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  “中国在贸易战中有一只机器人大军!”

  《纽约时报》网站近期的一篇文章聚焦中国制造业领域的机器人大军,认为它们彻底改变了中国的制造业,使得中国工厂有能力将其出口的许多产品价格保持在较低水平,并在应对特朗普的高关税、应对贸易战方面具有优势。

  文章注意到,现在中国的工厂比美国、德国或日本的工厂自动化程度更高。

  国际机器人联合会的数据显示,中国每万名制造业工人拥有的工业机器人数量仅次于韩国以及新加坡,位列世界第三。

  文章注意到,不只汽车工厂这样的大工厂在使用工业机器人,许多小作坊也开始使用工业机器人。比如,一家位于广州、有11名工人生产廉价烤箱和烧烤设备的小工厂的老板,准备向一家中国公司购买一个带有摄像头的机械臂。这一设备可以通过人工智能自主学习如何焊接烤箱侧面,然后在最少的人工干预下重复该动作。

  文章称,仅在四年前,同样的系统只能从外国机器人公司那里购买,费用是约14万美元——而中国公司的价格仅为约4万美元。这位工厂主表示,此前从未想象过自己也能够投资自动化设备。

  文章称,美国的汽车工厂也使用自动化,但其中许多设备来自中国。过去20年间建造的大多数汽车组装厂都是在中国,围绕它们自动化产业逐渐发展起来。

2025年4月,一家中国电动车制造商的生产线上,机械臂正在作业(图自视觉中国)

  中国公司还收购了海外先进机器人供应商,比如德国的库卡,并将大部分运营转移到中国。文章注意到,大众汽车在合肥的电动汽车工厂里,只有一台来自德国的机器人,其余1000多台都在上海生产。

  文章还注意到,中国的大学每年培养约35万名机械工程毕业生,以及电工、焊工和其他训练有素的技术人员。相较之下,每年只有约4.5万名机械工程毕业生从美国大学毕业。一家领先的美国机器人制造商的联合创始人表示,其最大的挑战之一便是找到技术娴熟的员工。

  一项最新民调显示,在18岁至29岁的美国人中,只有15%的人认为国家正朝着正确的方向前进,这加剧了研究人员所说的代际信心危机。

  哈佛大学春季青年民意调查对2096名年龄在18岁至29岁之间的受访者进行了调查,发现51%的人认为国家走错了轨道,31%的人不确定,3%的人拒绝回答。

  对美国政府的信任也同样少,只有19%的人认为联邦政府在大多数情况下会“做正确的事情”,而信任国会、总统或最高法院的人不到三分之一。

  民调显示,特朗普在美国年轻人中的支持率为31%,与他第一个任期的同一时点相比几乎没有变化。对国会民主党人的信任则从2019年初的42%降至23%。

  民意调查人员测试了特朗普2025年议程中的9项内容;没有一个支持率超过35%。最受欢迎的提议是成立政府效率部(DOGE),但这也只有三分之一的年轻人支持。关税、废除教育部,以及赦免2021年1月6日的国会山骚乱者,每项的支持率都在20%以下。

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