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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
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  证券时报记者刘俊伶

  据证券时报·数据宝统计,截至4月15日,基础化工行业共有34股已披露一季度业绩预告或一季报,按预告中值统计(下同),27股归母净利润同比增长,4股扭亏为盈,整体报喜比例超九成。

  数据显示,目前A股市场已有267股发布一季度业绩相关数据,业绩预喜(预增、扭亏、减亏)的共有243股,基础化工股数量最多,占比达到12.76%。对于业绩增长的原因,多家化工行业上市公司表示,主营产品价格上涨提升整体盈利能力。

  从细分行业来看,农药板块预增数量最多,共5股,食品及饲料添加剂、氟化工紧随其后,分别有4股、3股。

  随着春耕旺季来临,农药行业景气度提升,一季度多个主要品种上涨。中农立华数据显示,3月中农立华原药价格指数、除草剂原药价格指数、杀虫剂原药价格指数环比2月均实现上涨,涨幅分别为0.86%、0.93%、2.1%,杀虫剂中阿维菌素、甲维盐涨幅较大。

  近期强调粮食安全政策陆续颁布。3月30日,《逐步把永久基本农田建成高标准农田实施方案》印发,提出到2030年,力争累计建成高标准农田13.5亿亩,累计改造提升2.8亿亩。4月7日,《加快建设农业强国规划(2024—2035年)》印发,提出加快农业科技创新水平整体跃升。随着高标准农田持续扩张,农药、化肥需求有望提升。

  归母净利润同比增长的化工股中,13股增幅超过100%,金瑞矿业、北元集团、芭田股份增幅居前,分别为617.4%、442.28%、269.61%。

  金瑞矿业一季报业绩预告显示,预计实现归母净利润1528.28万元,创上市以来同期次新高,公司主营业务产品碳酸锶市场价格同比大幅上涨,导致营业收入及经营业绩大幅增长。公司业绩自去年开始持续向上,2024年实现归母净利润0.35亿元,同比增长356.54%。

  北元集团预计一季度实现归母净利润8604万元—8955万元,同比增长431.44%到453.12%。公司主要原料电石、煤炭采购价格同比下降,加之主产品烧碱下游产品氧化铝产能上升,烧碱需求增加,销售价格同比上涨,致使公司利润同比增加。

  兄弟科技、先达股份、利民股份、恒申新材(维权)扭亏为盈,其中利民股份预告净利润最高。利民股份业绩预告显示,预计一季度实现归母净利润1亿元—1.2亿元,主要由于公司主导产品价格上涨和销量增加带来的利润增长。公告显示,利民股份主营产品包括杀菌剂、除草剂、杀虫剂等。

  4月15日,化工板块多股尾盘拉升,截至收盘,江天化学、领湃科技20%涨停,长鸿高科、中毅达等6股10%涨停,华融化学、联合化学、杭州高新(维权)涨幅居前。

  此前,基础化工板块在一季度走出震荡向上的行情,行业指数自1月13日开始拉升,至3月末累计上涨9.64%,中毅达、亚香股份、福莱新材一季度累计上涨超100%。化工板块近年来持续底部盘整,2022年—2024年行业指数下跌34.47%,今年一季度的上涨展现出底部修复特征。

  多家机构认为,在大力提振消费背景下,相关化工品需求回暖,以及自主可控背景下化工新材料迎来机遇。华创证券研报认为,随着美国贸易战升级,虽然关税可能会有豁免和反复,国内必然会加强自主可控,进口依赖以及“卡脖子”环节的新材料有望迎来重要契机。

  德邦证券研报认为,全球贸易不确定性风险加剧,后续国内有望实施更加积极的宏观调控政策以促进内需释放。结合此前中央政治局会议确定2025年经济工作“稳中求进”的总基调,主张实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,大力提振消费,促进区域协调发展,有望持续推动相关化工品需求回暖。

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