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  中新社台北4月25日电台湾经济研究院(简称“台经院”)25日在台北发布最新经济预测,下调2025年台湾经济增长率至2.91%,较今年1月预测值减少0.51个百分点。

  综合中央社、中时新闻网、联合新闻网等台媒报道,本次下调的原因,一是台当局“主计总处”上调了2024年经济增长率,垫高基期;二是美国关税政策造成冲击。

  台经院预测,台湾2025年经济增长率将呈现“前高后低”景象。美国4月2日宣布所谓“对等关税”后,9日宣称暂缓90天,在此期间实施10%关税。台经院指出,企业界近期生产、采购剧增,“寅吃卯粮”,为下半年的经济景气增加不确定性。此外,近期台股表现疲弱,将影响民众消费意愿。

  当日台经院还公布了3月产业营业气候测验点,制造业、服务业、营建业均显著下跌。

  观察厂商对未来半年经济景气的看法,台经院指出,表示“看好”的厂商由2月的35.1%减至19.7%。该机构分析,主因是制造业厂商对美国关税政策造成的不确定性有所担心。(完)新闻结尾 果冻传媒女演员有哪些:猫娘的故事让你欲罢不能!的相关文章
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