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  北京4月16日电(段修健)国家信息中心大数据发展部大数据分析处处长杨道玲16日在北京参加中新社国是直通车举办的“2025年一季度经济形势分析会”时表示,通过高频数据对宏观经济运行形势进行监测分析,消费、投资、工业生产和企业、外贸等四个方面多项高频指标呈现显著回暖态势。总体而言,经济运行好、成色足,发展韧性潜力和活力得到持续的显现。

  一是消费。杨道玲说,消费潜力正在加快释放,消费领域亮点纷呈,展现出强劲的复苏势头。从线下消费来看,今年一季度,线下消费热度指数同比增长了14.2%,较去年四季度提高了1.7个百分点。从生活服务消费来看,热度指数一季度同比增长18.3%,较去年四季度提高了7.4个百分点。

  从以旧换新来看,随着消费品以旧换新特别是今年以来加力扩围、政策红利加速释放,汽车、家电等大宗大件消费迎来了新一轮增长热潮。3月份主要家电品类网络零售额同比增长32.3%,呈现出快速增长势头。再比如汽车消费,3月份乘用车、新能源汽车同比增速分别达到14.4%和38%,这表明居民的家电换新和购车意愿增强。换新需求得到进一步释放,也为激发消费活力,释放内需动能提供了支撑。

  二是投资。杨道玲介绍,一季度全国项目投资的中标金额同比增长了10.7%,3月同比增长11.6%。其中,市政设施、医疗卫生、交通工程领域增速较快。实务工作量进程来看,工程建设强度已经出现明显回升,3月份水泥模机运转率较去年同期提升了3个百分点,螺纹钢、线材、钢材表观消费量同比增长10.4%,全国工程机械开工率节后也是持续回升,工程项目的建设进度正在加快。

  这表明,投资引擎动能不断增强,特别是重大项目的资金保障有力,呈现出政策靠前发力,项目加快跟进、推进的过程,政策效能正在加速转化为实务工作量,重点领域的建设进度也明显提速,形成了重大项目牵引、有效投资良性循环。

  三是工业生产和企业。杨道玲表示,工业园区生产热度指数一季度同比增长11.3%,其中3月同比增长14.9%,工业生产态势回暖明显。技术创新型企业经营活力指数一季度同比增长18.4%,这表明技术创新型企业发展势头十分迅猛,创新活力不断迸发。

  同时创新发展热潮也引来资本市场。对私募股权投资数据的分析显示,今年一季度,高端制造、智能设备、移动互联网等领域相关的投资金额同比增长305%,表明更多资金加速涌入了创新赛道,为新质生产力发展提供了更加雄厚的资金。

  四是外贸。杨道玲分析,一季度反映外贸活跃度的相关指标也稳中有升。比如,一季度全国主要港口的日均集装箱吞吐量同比增长10.6%,货物吞吐量同比增长3.1%,一季度日均国际货运航班的数量同比增长35.9%。保税区人流量指数同比上升18.8%。主要外贸港口船舶到离港数据监测发现,3月份滚装货船日均离港同比增长了8.1%,已经连续实现了13个月的稳步增长。

  他表示,这表明在挑战和压力增多情况下,我国外贸活跃度总体稳定,这也彰显了外贸强大的韧性和潜力。(完) 波多野结衣的丈夫_教你如何避免这一常见误区,轻松上手!的相关文章 德研究机构:美关税威胁德出口的相关文章
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