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里士满联邦储备银行行长汤姆·巴尔金表示,美国经济目前整体状况良好,但商业投资和消费者支出的前景却蒙上了一层阴影。

巴尔金周二在弗吉尼亚州里士满市举行的“北斗创新峰会”上指出:“多数企业虽然没有大规模裁员,但都采取了防御性策略,比如冻结招聘、推迟投资计划等。”

唐纳德·特朗普总统发动的贸易战导致不确定性加剧,商业和消费者信心急剧下滑。

巴尔金称:“消费者支出的前景着实令人担忧。举例来说,过去几个月消费者信心指数大幅下降,消费者似乎对通胀和失业问题愈发焦虑。”

巴尔金是众多主张维持利率不变的美联储官员之一,他们希望借此观察进口关税对就业和通胀的影响。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔上周强调,美联储的首要任务是确保关税引发的物价上涨不会演变为持续性通胀。

这位里士满联储负责人强调,目前消费者支出仍具韧性,失业率维持低位,实际工资也保持正增长,消费者的消费能力尚存。

他说:“至于这种局面能否持续,还有待观察。”

巴尔金还提到,部分通胀预期指标有所上升,这一情况尤其令人警惕,毕竟新冠疫情之后曾出现过通胀飙升的情况。

巴尔金指出:“我们刚经历了一轮通胀,这可能导致通胀预期变得不稳定。我们的职责就是控制通胀,避免通胀预期失控,防止经济陷入滞胀。”

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