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  “反向海淘”成为新潮流。

  4只银行股创历史新高

  4月16日,上证指数午后反攻,指数由绿盘翻红,收盘上涨0.26%。沪深300指数也由绿盘翻红,收盘上涨0.31%。交通运输、银行、煤炭、食品饮料、社会服务指数今日涨幅居前。其中银行板块对大盘指数贡献最高,该板块指数今日上涨1%,农业银行、建设银行、成都银行、上海银行4只银行股收盘价创下历史新高。

  盘面上,目前连续涨停次数最多的是泰慕士,该股目前已录得连续5个涨停板,最新收盘价创近一年来新高。公司主营业务为针织面料和针织服装的研发、生产和销售,主要为迪卡侬、森马服饰、蕉内、Quiksilver、佐丹奴、全棉时代、曼妮芬、安踏、波司登等知名服装品牌提供贴牌加工服务。

  连续涨停的热门股还有两面针、国光连锁、天沃科技(维权)、双成药业、乐山电力等。

  今日尾盘集合竞价阶段,部分A股出现明显拉升。据证券时报·数据宝统计,集合竞价3分钟内,新金路、安正时尚、中国瑞林、百利天恒、传音控股、益丰药房等15股涨幅超过1.5%。

  新金路(000510.SZ)波动最为明显,该股今日早盘高开后冲上涨停板,很快股价回落,盘中触及跌停,上演了“天地板”剧情。尾盘竞价阶段,该股成交4.84万手,涨速达到4.8%,股价跌幅由跌停板附近收窄至5.7%。

  敦煌网在美区AppStore免费总榜中

  排名大幅上升

  据媒体报道,美国实施的所谓“对等关税”政策扰乱全球贸易秩序,却激起了美国人对“MadeinChina”的囤货欲望。4月15日,中国跨境电商应用敦煌网(DHgate)在美区AppStore免费总榜中排名升至第二,仅次于ChatGPT;前一日,敦煌网APP排名前三。

  与此同时,美国iOS应用商店电商应用榜单前三均为中国APP,第一为敦煌网,第二为淘宝,第三为SHEIN。

  公开信息显示,敦煌网由王树彤于2004年创立,是中国领先的B2B跨境电商在线交易服务平台,覆盖全球225个国家和地区,提供100多条物流线路和14个海外仓,在北美、拉美、欧洲等地设有全球业务办事机构。

  4月11日,敦煌网向商家发布了“关税护航计划”公开信,称通过这一计划,平台将为参与活动的商家提供流量、补贴、物流等多方面的支持,帮助大家减轻成本压力,稳定销售。

  跨境电商行业格局有望改善

  海关总署公布的数据显示,2024年我国跨境电商新业态进出口总额达2.63万亿元,较2020年增长了1万亿元,跨境电商出口的比较优势愈发显著。这一数据背后,是“反向海淘”潮流兴起。

  曾经,中国消费者热衷于跨境购买海外商品;如今,越来越多的外国消费者开始通过各种渠道购买中国制造的产品,形成了“反向海淘”的新趋势。从欧美市场上备受青睐的国产智能家居,到东南亚地区热卖的中国时尚服装,“反向海淘”正推动中国产品深入全球消费者的日常生活。

  信达证券认为,近年来,全球电商渗透率持续提升,市场规模稳健增长;我国跨境电商行业背靠制造业优势,推动国货出海,增速靓丽。分市场看,美国是我国跨境电商出口最大市场,尽管短期出现关税阴云,但短空长多。核心原因一是常理下贸易摩擦不足以抹除国货高性价比出海的核心竞争力;二是随着关税压力增大,中小卖家或将加速出清,拉长看行业格局有望显著改善。其他市场方面,欧洲整体规模较大但市场分散,适合稳步开拓,东南亚、拉美等新兴市场基于人口红利,随着配套基础设施体系持续完善,有望释放可观潜力。

  哪些概念股业绩有看点

  从已公布的业绩数据来看,根据年报、业绩快报、预告净利润下限(无下限则取公告数值)计算,跨境电商概念股中,2024年净利润同比增长(含扭亏为盈)的有78只。20只概念股处于扭亏为盈状态,包括格力博、大叶股份、友好集团、汇鸿集团、实丰文化、倍轻松、三柏硕等。

  以格力博为例,公司预计2024年净利润为0.8亿元至1.2亿元,上年同期亏损4.74亿元。报告期内,随着美国进入降息周期带动地产等需求复苏,以及欧美大型商超等零售商经过去库存后,零售商和批发商增加采购量,公司订单量逐步回升,对应推高公司销售。此外,公司提出全面降本措施,控制各项费用支出,期间费用率相比2023年均有较大程度下降。

  除扭亏为盈的概念股外,浙江永强、移远通信、吴通控股、青岛金王、开润股份、英科医疗等净利润实现翻倍增长。浙江永强净利润增速排在第一位,公司预计2024年净利润为4亿元至6亿元,同比增长6.86倍至10.79倍。报告期内,公司取得征收补偿款合计1.77亿元,影响净利润增加约1.45亿元。另受证券市场波动影响,实现股票投资收益及公允价值变动收益,影响净利润增加约1.68亿元。

  未来增长潜力来看,部分概念股今明两年业绩获机构扎堆看好。据数据宝统计,上述业绩增长的跨境电商概念股中,根据5家以上机构一致预测,2025年、2026年净利润增速均有望超20%的有13只,多只百亿市值的概念股入围,如小商品城、九号公司-WD、协创数据、移远通信、孩子王等。

  以最新收盘价与机构一致预测目标价相比,机构预测高增长的概念股中,7股上涨空间逾20%,分别是嘉益股份、欧圣电气、倍轻松、极米科技、德邦股份、小商品城、孩子王。

  声明:数据宝所有资讯内容不构成投资建议,股市有风险,投资需谨慎。

 

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