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一对一色聊:错过就真的要等一年! - 怀亦网络
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一对一色聊:错过就真的要等一年!

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4月18日,日本央行行长植田和男17日表示,美国关税政策将冲击日本经济,并可能对国际金融资本市场产生负面影响。植田当天在日本参议院财政金融委员会会议上就美国关税政策对日本经济的影响答辩时表示,美国关税政策除直接影响贸易活动外,还导致不确定性增加,对企业和家庭的信心造成冲击,还可能对国际金融资本市场产生负面影响。他认为,美国的关税政策将对日本经济造成下行压力。植田还说,美国的关税政策对日本物价可能会造成上涨或下跌双向影响,现阶段贸然判断其方向存在较高风险。他表示,现在需要不带预设地研判关税对经济和物价前景的影响,并在此基础上审慎决定恰当的金融政策。

  另外,美国上周初请失业金人数有所下降,表明尽管关税的不确定性使企业在扩大招聘方面持谨慎态度,但四月份劳动力市场状况依然稳定。周四公布的数据显示,美国截至4月12日当周初请失业金人数为21.5万,低于市场预期的22.5万和前值22.3万。与此同时,美国截至4月5日当周续请失业金人数为188.5万,高于市场预期的187.2万和前值185万;美国截至4月12日当周初请失业金人数四周均值为22.08万,略低于前值22.3万。目前仍没有迹象表明特朗普政府大规模削减联邦雇员的举措正在影响劳动力市场。与此同时,经济学家表示,特朗普政府反复无常的关税政策使得企业难以提前计划。由于关税引发了对高通胀和经济增长停滞的担忧,经济学家预计,企业信心低迷的情况下未来几个月失业率将上升。

  今日没有需要特别关注的数据,今日为耶稣受难日多交易所休市,市场交投料将较为清淡。

  澳元/美元

  澳元昨日震荡上行,日线小幅收涨,现汇价交投于0.6380附近。除美联储的降息预期持续对汇价构成支撑外,时段内澳大利亚表现良好的就业数据也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。此外,大宗商品原油价格大幅攀升也对商品货币澳元构成了一定的支撑。今日关注0.6450附近的压力情况,下方支撑在0.6300附近。

  美元/日元

  美元/日元昨日震荡上行,日线小幅收涨,现汇价交投于142.30附近。除空头回补和142.00关口附近所形成的技术面买盘对汇价构成了一定的支撑外,美元指数在良好经济数据等利好因素的支撑下止跌反弹也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。此外,时段内日本央行行长发表的鸽派言论也对汇价构成了一定的支撑。今日关注143.00附近的压力情况,下方支撑在141.50附近。

  美元/加元

  美元/加元昨日震荡下行,日线小幅收跌,现汇价交投于1.3850附近。除美联储的降息预期持续对汇价构成打压外,原油价格在美国对伊朗实施的新制裁加剧供应担忧的支撑下大幅攀升也对汇价构成了一定的打压。不过,美元指数止跌反弹限制了汇价的下跌空间。今日关注1.3950附近的压力情况,下方支撑在1.3750附近。

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