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洛阳市(汝阳县、偃师区、孟津区、瀍河回族区、西工区、涧西区、栾川县、老城区、新安县、伊川县、宜阳县、洛龙区、嵩县、洛宁县)








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大兴安岭地区(呼玛县、漠河市、塔河县)








周口市(商水县、淮阳区、西华县、鹿邑县、扶沟县、项城市、太康县、沈丘县、郸城县、川汇区)  玉溪市(江川区、新平彝族傣族自治县、通海县、元江哈尼族彝族傣族自治县、峨山彝族自治县、澄江市、红塔区、易门县、华宁县)








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岳阳市(岳阳楼区、湘阴县、云溪区、汨罗市、华容县、临湘市、平江县、君山区、岳阳县)  石嘴山市(平罗县、大武口区、惠农区)








龙岩市(长汀县、上杭县、漳平市、武平县、新罗区、永定区、连城县)








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那曲市(班戈县、索县、巴青县、比如县、聂荣县、安多县、申扎县、色尼区、尼玛县、嘉黎县、双湖县)








潮州市(饶平县、潮安区、湘桥区)








丽水市(松阳县、缙云县、景宁畲族自治县、云和县、庆元县、青田县、莲都区、龙泉市、遂昌县)








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楚雄彝族自治州(永仁县、楚雄市、元谋县、双柏县、大姚县、南华县、姚安县、牟定县、武定县、禄丰市)








西藏自治区








大理白族自治州(鹤庆县、大理市、弥渡县、巍山彝族回族自治县、漾濞彝族自治县、祥云县、云龙县、剑川县、洱源县、永平县、南涧彝族自治县、宾川县)








白城市(洮南市、通榆县、洮北区、镇赉县、大安市)








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澳门特别行政区








佛山市(顺德区、南海区、高明区、三水区、禅城区)








双鸭山市(友谊县、集贤县、宝清县、四方台区、岭东区、饶河县、尖山区、宝山区)








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领主之塔ss一览表:迪丽热巴化身多样角色,颠覆你的视觉体电话区域:








淄博市(高青县、桓台县、博山区、淄川区、临淄区、沂源县、周村区、张店区)








巴彦淖尔市(五原县、临河区、乌拉特中旗、磴口县、杭锦后旗、乌拉特后旗、乌拉特前旗)








承德市(平泉市、围场满族蒙古族自治县、兴隆县、鹰手营子矿区、隆化县、双滦区、宽城满族自治县、承德县、丰宁满族自治县、双桥区、滦平县)








九江市(庐山市、德安县、永修县、都昌县、共青城市、武宁县、湖口县、柴桑区、濂溪区、彭泽县、浔阳区、修水县、瑞昌市)  威海市(荣成市、文登区、乳山市、环翠区)








南平市(政和县、延平区、建阳区、顺昌县、建瓯市、武夷山市、浦城县、松溪县、光泽县、邵武市)








通辽市(奈曼旗、扎鲁特旗、科尔沁左翼中旗、霍林郭勒市、库伦旗、开鲁县、科尔沁左翼后旗、科尔沁区)








成都市(温江区、大邑县、蒲江县、邛崃市、崇州市、武侯区、新都区、青羊区、锦江区、成华区、新津区、简阳市、都江堰市、彭州市、金堂县、龙泉驿区、郫都区、青白江区、金牛区、双流区)汕尾市(城区、陆丰市、海丰县、陆河县)








通化市(二道江区、柳河县、东昌区、梅河口市、辉南县、通化县、集安市)  石河子市(新星市、阿拉尔市、昆玉市、胡杨河市、双河市、铁门关市、五家渠市、白杨市、北屯市、图木舒克市、可克达拉市)








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财联社4月17日讯(编辑杨斌)经历了短暂的调整,黄金价格回到了屡创历史新高的轨迹。在昨日突破前期高点,冲上3300美元/盎司后,今日COMEX黄金期货价高位震荡,盘中触及3370美元。在近期的反弹中,国际金价与美元指数走势的负相关性十分明显。业内认为,美元信用体系正在弱化,而关税冲击将加速去美元化进程,黄金的牛市逻辑再度被强化。

尽管在对等关税落地之初,黄金因流动性问题被抛售跟随其他大类资产一同下跌,但4月8日起黄金期货价格便开始反弹,目前已从低点上涨了约13%。

图:COMEX黄金期货价格K线走势

(资料来源:Wind数据,财联社整理)

东方金诚指出,特朗普关税政策反复不定,引发市场对美元资产的系统性信任危机,导致美债遭受大规模恐慌性抛售、美元指数大幅下挫,支撑金价回升。

与波动剧烈的10年期美债利率相比,近期国际金价与美元指数的反向走势更明显,单日涨跌趋势基本全部相反。

图:金价与美元指数反向走势明显

(资料来源:Wind数据,财联社整理)

兴业研究指出,财政赤字和贸易逆差是美元作为本位币的一个特征,也是当前美元环流体系的重要组成部分。作为本位币,美元指数长期以来享受到了相对于含金量的高估。但旨在解决双赤字问题的特朗普关税破坏美元环流体系,使得市场重新关注到含金量问题,而美元指数中期存在进一步下行的空间。

对于美元和黄金的关系,东方金诚认为,关税冲击将成为全球去美元化进程加速的催化剂,加剧美元霸权的裂痕与瓦解,进一步提升美元信用风险,而黄金作为全球广泛接受的最终支付手段,将对金价形成有力支撑。

兴业证券全球首席策略分析师张忆东近期更是在公开直播中表示,逆全球化将从根本上摧毁美元的霸主地位,黄金的超级牛市远没有结束。

事实上,弱化的美元信用使得以美元计价的资产(包括美债、美股)近期都发生了大跌。美联储主席鲍威尔今日凌晨已发出警告称,白宫的关税政策可能使美联储在“控制通胀”与“支持经济增长”之间陷入两难境地。对于下一步利率政策方向,美联储只得表示继续观望。

浙商银行FICC团队认为,前期黄金看涨的主要逻辑是主要是关税政策不确定性避险情绪、美元信用弱化支撑长期看涨逻辑、央行购金与散户投资情绪推动。短期来看,黄金价格能否进一步突破上涨要看美联储保经济还是治通胀的抉择,但美元信用弱化支撑长期看涨逻辑、央行购金将会持续存在。

本轮黄金价格自前期发生了约9%的调整。对于未来的金价走势,兴业研究预计,没有进一步流动性冲击的情况下,出现大幅调整的概率较低,黄金“可遇不可求”的买点仍将是常态。美元环流体系的破坏将进一步强化黄金的货币属性,使得牛市逻辑再度被强化。相较于此前的牛市,本轮黄金回撤幅度明显下降。

4月17日,长江有色金属网显示,长江地区441#硅现货报价105800-10700元/吨,均价10600元/吨,下跌100元;553#硅现货报价9800-10000元/吨,均价9900元/吨,下跌100元;2202#硅现货报价17900-18100元/吨,均价18000元/吨,持平;3303#硅现货报价11500-11700元/吨,均价11600元/吨,下跌200元。

截止14:00,工业硅期货主力合约2505报9055元/吨,跌50元,跌幅0.55%。盘中最低下探至8985元/吨,上探至9115元/吨。成交额67.73亿,成交量149914手。

工业硅市场呈现期现联动下探态势。硅系现货市场延续分化特征,高品位441#硅及3303#硅承压明显。

据行业动态显示,近期西南地区丰水期电价下调预期升温,刺激部分硅厂复产,但下游有机硅及铝合金企业采购仍以刚需为主,尤其光伏级硅料订单未见显著增量,导致中低品位553#硅库存压力持续。

值得注意的是,3303#硅单日跌幅扩大至200元/吨,反映光伏产业链中游切片环节需求疲软,叠加多晶硅扩产节奏放缓,高成本硅料企业被迫降价去库。

期货市场方面,工业硅主力合约日内最低触及8985元/吨,创近两周新低。盘面贴水现货幅度扩大至约1500元/吨,显示市场对远期供需格局的悲观预期。

值得关注的是,当日有色金属板块主力资金净流出140.17亿元,板块量能收缩背景下,工业硅作为产能过剩品种更易受空头资金压制。

硅铁期货近期同步走弱,表明黑色系终端需求传导不畅,钢厂对硅系合金采购议价力度增强,进一步制约硅价反弹空间。​

短期硅市或延续“高品位弱、低品位稳”的分化格局。需重点关注云南限电政策落地情况以及有机硅DMC价格能否企稳回升。建议企业利用期货工具对冲敞口风险,同时关注5月丰水期电价调整对西南硅厂开工率的实际影响。

本文基于市场信息分析,不构成投资建议,实际操作需结合实时动态审慎决策。长江有色金属网电话:0592-5668838

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