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戴上尿锁不能尿知乎-情感漩涡中的命运交响,爱与责任的艰难抉择
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戴上尿锁不能尿知乎-情感漩涡中的命运交响,爱与责任的艰难抉择

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来源:@华夏时报微博

图为奥特维的单晶炉加料机

华夏时报记者李佳佳李未来北京报道

4月21日,无锡奥特维科技股份有限公司(688516.SH,下称“奥特维”)披露了2024年年度报告,财报显示,公司营收91.98亿元,同比增长45.94%;归母净利润12.73亿元,同比微增1.36%。

针对利润增幅不及营收增速的情况,奥特维公司人员告诉《华夏时报》记者,整体上是产品结构带来的影响,除了串焊机,公司还有单晶炉、丝网印刷线等产品,后两个产品市场上已存在强劲的友商,公司设备在毛利率方面承压,加上之前订单批量验收,一定程度上影响了公司的整体利润水平。

同日,大族激光(002008.SZ)公布2024年成绩单,公司全年净利润激增106.52%,达到16.94亿元。然而,其新能源设备业务收入15.4亿元,同比大幅下降40.48%。大族激光坦言,国内各家动力电池及光伏厂商扩产步伐均不同程度放缓,新能源设备业务整体销售额下降。

多数厂商业绩承压

头部企业的业绩表现,向来是外界洞察行业冷暖的“晴雨表”。从近期披露的财报数据来看,除了拉普拉斯外,光伏设备领域多数企业业绩呈现下滑趋势,行业寒意尽显。

以晶盛机电为例,2024年其业绩表现不容乐观,公司营收175.77亿元,同比下降2.26%;归母净利润25.1亿元,同比降幅达44.93%。

深入分析发现,晶盛机电(300316.SZ)去年进行了多笔大额减值操作,其中,就个别客户的应收账款单项计提坏账准备2.5亿元,发出商品计提存货跌价准备3.41亿元。另外,受光伏石英坩埚产品价格下跌影响,公司就石英坩埚原材料等计提存货跌价准备3.49亿元,这些减值举措一定程度上侵蚀了其利润空间。

值得注意的是,奥特维在披露2024年年报的同时,也公布了2025年一季报,公司营收降至15.34亿元,同比减少21.9%;归母净利润1.41亿元,同比降低57.56%。在此之前,连城数控(835368.BJ)、高测股份(688556.SH)等设备厂商相继披露了2024年业绩预告,也都传递出业绩“遇冷”的信号。

其中,连城数控预计2024年实现营业收入57亿元,同比下降5.02%;归母净利润3.46亿元,同比降低49.26%;高测股份预计营收44.74亿元,同比降低27.65%;归母净利润-4831.5万元,同比降幅达103.31%。

连城数控将业绩下滑归因于光伏行业供需失衡矛盾突出,市场竞争加剧,产业链各环节的产品价格普遍下跌,行业整体盈利能力呈现下降趋势。在此背景下,公司进行了全面评估,并相应增加了减值准备的计提。

上海有色网光伏分析师毛婷婷向《华夏时报》记者透露,2023年至2024年上半年,电池厂和组件厂都有扩产,尤其电池片厂扩产比较多,进而带动了设备厂出货量大幅增长。但从2024年第二季度开始,一些设备厂商基本上没有出货,甚至以前预计要扩产提货的厂家,比如电池厂或者组件厂,最终没提货,还有一些厂家出现卖出去设备,钱还没收回来现象,所以2024年设备厂普遍面临着业绩下滑的趋势。

设备价格持续下滑

值得一提的是,高测股份在年报中强调,2024年光伏全产业链产品价格持续大幅下行,行业开工率整体不足,导致公司金刚线及硅片切割加工服务业务销售收入及毛利率大幅下降,盈利能力下降。

记者观察发现,光伏设备厂商的毛利率下滑并非个例,基本成为行业“通病”。2024年度,奥特维光伏设备产品销售收入同比增长44.86%,销售成本同比增长54.68%,高于收入增长速度,公司毛利率同比下降4.3个百分点。

此外,晶盛机电设备及其服务业毛利率36.36%,同比下降2.46%;大族激光整体毛利率也从上年水平滑落0.92个百分点,降至31.84%。

有市场人士告诉记者,光伏设备包括整线设备一直处于价格下行的过程中,以TOPCon整线设备为例,其投资额从初始的1.8亿元一路下探至1.2亿元,价格一直在下滑,但幅度不会像产业链端那么大。

2024年,受光伏产业链供需影响,主链公司出现亏损,硅片、电池片、组件环节的产能扩张速度均明显放缓,这一市场震荡传导至设备商端,导致光伏设备龙头企业合同负债和存货同比均出现不同程度的下滑。

以奥特维为例,2024年期末,其合同负债由2023年底的39.07亿元降至26.35亿元,存货规模也由38.46亿元缩减至23.27亿元。同样的趋势在大族激光、晶盛机电等行业头部企业中亦普遍存在,即便业绩逆势增长的拉普拉斯,也存在合同负债和存货下滑的现象。2024年末,拉普拉斯存货从上一年年底的60.53亿元降至43.35亿元,合同负债从56.68亿元下滑至39.14亿元。

订单减少

合同负债和存货下降体现的是设备厂商订单量下滑。

大族激光在年报中明确指出,光伏设备方面,受行业景气度影响,下游客户资本开支明显减少,对公司相关设备订单造成一定影响。

奥特维的经营数据同样不佳。2024年末,其在手订单118.31亿元,比2023年度下降10.40%。公司指出,2024年,已有部分客户取消或延缓执行合同的情形。截至今年一季度末,公司在手订单进一步下滑,同比下降21.46%至112.71亿元。

关于订单情况,奥特维方面向记者表示,一季度有接到一些新签的订单,不过没有在一季报中进行相关数据的披露。就公司目前感受来看,整个光伏行业确实还处在产能过剩带来的影响,某种程度上来讲是一个普遍的影响。

据了解,晶盛机电产品在光伏装备领域覆盖了硅片、电池和组件环节,公司单晶硅生长炉在光伏行业具备技术和规模优势。

2024年年报数据显示,尽管公司晶体生长设备销量为8308台,同比增长21.82%;但设备生产量和库存量却出现大幅下滑,分别降至2770台和6712台,同比减少73.12%和45.21%。

晶盛机电对此解释称,公司晶体生长设备生产量下降,主要是因为订单减少,排产减少。库存量减少,主要是前期发货本期验收确认增加,且本期发货减少综合影响。

毛婷婷指出,目前,光伏产业处于产能过剩的一个状态,市场上基本没有电池厂或组件厂扩产的信息。行业内现在的一个情况是卖二手设备,一些2024年扩产的产能处于闲置状态的产线向国外转移是当前趋势,比如转移到印度、印尼等地区。另外,一些出货后没收回来资金的设备商,也有帮助下游客户进行二手设备的一个转卖。

毛婷婷进一步表示,2025年,设备厂商其实没什么新订单,接下来一些厂家可能会关注BC电池或者组件的扩产,若给这些厂家提供设备,则有望带来订单的一个增量。她预计,2026年后订单有望有新的增长,主要来自BC电池组件扩产推动。

责任编辑:李未来主编:张豫宁

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