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  “关税战”对美国经济的反噬正在显现。

  美联储当地时间23日发布的经济状况“褐皮书”显示,随着经济不确定性增加,美国多个地区的前景显著恶化。《国际锐评》统计发现,在56页的“褐皮书”中,关税一词出现了107次,是上一期报告的两倍多,可见关税带来的不确定性影响之大。

  此前一天,国际货币基金组织(IMF)发布的《世界经济展望报告》大幅下调2025年美国经济增长预期,较1月预测值低0.9个百分点,在发达经济体中下调幅度最大。

  不难看出,“衰退风险”是当下人们对美国经济的最大担忧。正如英国《金融时报》近日指出,因为美国经济错误而感受到最大痛苦的是美国自己,而不是别人。美国智库彼得森国际经济研究所所长亚当·波森认为,受美国政府关税政策影响,美国经济陷入衰退的概率高达65%。

  近期,美国多地民众走上街头,抗议政府加征关税等政策。继加州之后,当地时间23日,美国又有12个州起诉联邦政府,要求停止关税政策,指责这些政策给美国经济带来混乱。这也能解释,为何美国领导人在经济问题上的支持率跌至其总统任内新低。事实证明,关税换来的不是“金钱回流”,而是美国经济的“滞胀风险”以及“衰退”预期。

  这样的预期之下,是普通人的切肤之痛。在社交媒体平台上,越来越多美国网友讨论起账单上出现的“关税附加费”。无论是提前囤货,还是涌入中国电商平台选择物美价廉的商品,反映的都是美国消费者的焦虑恐慌。美国前财长萨默斯警告称,美国正在推进的加征关税措施或导致200万人失业,每个家庭损失5000美元以上收入。事实上,美国消费者面对的,不仅是涨价的商品,更是充满不确定性的未来。美国密歇根大学发布的调查报告显示,4月份美国消费者信心指数连续4个月下跌,创下2022年6月以来的最低值。

  美国企业的日子同样不好过,普遍面临成本上涨,利润受到挤压。据外媒近日报道,因为关税问题,美国三大半导体设备制造商——应用材料公司、泛林集团、科磊公司一年就要损失3.5亿美元,整个行业合计损失将超过10亿美元。对小企业而言,震动更为剧烈。美国不少小企业主表示不得不裁员,更担忧会因关税政策持续而破产。

  如果再加上美国发起“关税战”招致的反制,美国经济受到的冲击会更大。其中,美国农业首当其冲。多年来,中国是美国大豆的头号买家。如今,当美国农民因为失去中国市场而怨声载道时,巴西、澳大利亚等国纷纷加大对华出口。美国大豆协会主席凯莱布·拉格兰指出,目前的情况让豆农“非常担忧”,豆农的生计岌岌可危。近日,欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩表示,如果与美国的谈判无法让它取消对欧关税,欧盟准备动用“最有力的贸易措施”进行反制。

  “当规则变成即兴表演,资本只能选择逃离。”美国前财长耶伦的话,道出了美国经济面临的另一个危机。美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)网站近日发文称,这场贸易战争让投资者逃离美国。这背后反映的,其实是美国经济信誉受到重挫,投资者感受到巨大不确定性。如今在美国,美股大跌、美债被抛售、美元指数同步下跌已不罕见,“卖出美国”成为国际投资界热词。美国银行最新的全球基金经理调查显示,有意减持美国股票的全球投资者数量创下自2001年有数据以来最高纪录。澳大利亚麦格理集团策略师加雷思·贝里直言,“过去三个月发生的事或许足以令美元在今后数月内持续遭抛售”。

  外界注意到,这两天,美方不断释放消息,又是说中美关税战将很快降温,又是称中美之间正在谈判甚至将会达成协议。对此,中方明确回应:目前中美未进行任何经贸谈判;如果美方真的想解决问题,就应该正视国际社会和国内各方理性声音,彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施。

  解铃还须系铃人。美方该从一系列数据中读出危机、吸取教训,通过与贸易伙伴平等谈判解决贸易关切。一味威胁讹诈,换来的只会是自身更深的痛苦,也会让所谓“让美国再次伟大”成为幻象。(国际锐评评论员)

  中新社北京4月25日电(记者谢雁冰李晓喻)全国人大常委会法工委发言人黄海华25日在记者会上称,生态环境法典草案拟提请十四届全国人大常委会第十五次会议初次审议,将以法典化立法方式对中国现有的生态环境法律制度机制和规则规范进行系统整合、编订纂修、集成升华。

  黄海华介绍,生态环境法典统筹考虑大气、水、土壤等生态环境要素,坚持山水林田湖草沙一体化保护和系统治理,协同推进降碳、减污、扩绿、增长,解决生态环境领域制约高质量发展与高水平保护的突出问题。草案主要内容包括:完善生态环境领域的通用性制度规范,集成优化污染防治法律制度规范,统领协调生态保护法律制度规范,对绿色低碳发展、应对气候变化、碳达峰碳中和等作出原则性、引领性规定,完善生态环境领域法律责任制度等。

  他表示,编纂生态环境法典,既不是简单的法律汇编,也不是完全的新立新定,而是以法典化立法方式对中国现有的生态环境法律制度机制和规则规范进行系统整合、编订纂修、集成升华,并适应新形势新要求进行必要的制度创新,增强中国生态环境法律制度的系统性、整体性、协同性、时效性。

  黄海华介绍,生态环境法典编纂目前采取了适度法典化的模式,对现行有效的30多部生态环境法律分情况处理:一是,将生态环境保护方面的综合性法律和有关污染防治方面的法律等全部纳入法典中,根据新形势新要求进行编订纂修。二是,将现行有关流域、区域、自然资源、生物多样性等生态要素、生态系统方面和循环经济、节约能源等方面的法律制度规范,择其要旨要则纳入或者体现到法典之中,使法典保持一定的开放性、兼容性。三是,适当考虑绿色低碳发展、应对气候变化、碳达峰碳中和等方面法治需求,填补法律空白,作出一些原则性、引领性规定,体现法典的时代性、前瞻性。(完) 青瓷 小说_带你领略最受欢迎的影视作品与独特文化魅力!的相关文章 LPL 2025 赛季第二赛段「连续奇迹团」iG 2:1 击败 JDG,如何评价这场比赛?的相关文章
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