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  汇通财经APP讯——周四亚洲交易时段,USD/CHF在0.8160附近盘整,距离前一交易日触及的0.8099历史低点仅一步之遥,这是自2011年9月以来的最低水平。自4月2日美国总统特朗普宣布新一轮关税调查以来,美元持续承压,瑞郎作为传统避险货币需求显著上升。

  瑞郎兑美元自4月初以来已上涨超7%,为G10货币中表现最强。

  美国关税政策扩大至关键资源行业,市场前景更添不确定,特朗普政府近日宣布启动对关键矿产资源的进口调查,涵盖铜、半导体、药品与木材等多个战略行业,标志着与亚洲国家的贸易担忧情绪进一步升级。

  市场担忧美国国内在这些关键资源上的产能不足,将导致长期经济供应链瓶颈,从而影响整体经济表现。

  “投资者正在重新评估美元资产的安全性,因为政策的不确定性正在不断上升。”——瑞银全球外汇策略分析师ChristinaLiu尽管最新数据显示,美国3月零售销售增长1.4%,显著高于预期和前值,但该数据并未能改变美元整体弱势格局。美元指数(DXY)周四维持在99.60附近,略高于前期低点。

  投资者目前将目光投向即将公布的美国建筑许可、新屋开工、费城联储制造业指数与初请失业金人数等经济数据,以判断美元是否有望迎来阶段性反弹。

  瑞士央行面临挑战,瑞郎升值或引发政策转向,瑞郎的急剧升值也带来副作用:瑞士国内通缩压力明显上升。市场开始猜测瑞士央行(SNB)是否可能重新考虑负利率政策,以遏制本币升值。

  但由于瑞士近年来曾多次被美国点名“汇率操纵”,SNB目前在汇市干预上显得格外谨慎。

  “瑞士央行干预空间受限,可能采取更加间接方式控制瑞郎升值节奏。”——瑞士信贷资深经济顾问HansKeller

  编辑观点:

  随着美国关税政策的不断扩展与不确定性上升,全球金融市场的避险需求迅速回升,瑞郎作为传统避险货币获得了空前青睐。尽管美国部分经济数据表现强劲,但政策信号混乱使得美元缺乏持续反弹动能。

  瑞郎升值虽有助于吸引全球资本避险流入,却也为瑞士央行带来了政策压力。在外部因素扰动未解的背景下,USD/CHF可能在未来几个交易周内维持弱势,除非美联储明确释放紧缩信号或国际局势出现缓解。

  今天(17日),商务部召开例行新闻发布会。会上,新闻发言人何咏前谈到美国对小额包裹关税政策进行破坏性调整时表示,这将严重影响美国消费者的利益。

  何咏前表示,跨境电商具有效率高、到货快、费用低的独特优势,能更好满足消费者个性化、多样化消费需求。是国际贸易创新发展的重要趋势,已经成为人们不可或缺的生活方式。

  商务部新闻发言人何咏前:近期,美国对小额包裹关税政策进行破坏性调整,将严重影响美国消费者的利益,我想强调的是,跨境电商是契合全球消费发展趋势,惠及亿万消费者的新型贸易方式,相关领域政策调整应以便利化为方向。我们愿同各国一道,加强交流合作,共同促进跨境电商健康可持续发展。(央视新闻)

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