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△哈佛大学校园

  当地时间4月18日,特朗普政府表示,已要求哈佛大学提供过去十年来的外国资金及部分外国关系的记录。

  美国教育部致函哈佛大学校长,表示哈佛大学在2014年至2019年期间披露的信息“不完整且不准确”。有分析称,这是美国政府针对哈佛大学的最新升级行动。(央视记者徐德智)

  新闻多看点

  近日,美国联邦政府以冻结联邦经费为要挟,要求多所高校“整改”,美国著名私立学府哈佛大学则选择“硬刚”。

  美国哈佛大学14日拒绝了特朗普政府提出的对其管理结构、招聘及招生政策进行大幅改革的要求。美国政府随即宣布冻结该校总额约22.6亿美元的联邦经费。15日,特朗普再发出威胁,要取消哈佛大学的免税资格,并要求该校道歉。

  美国国务卿卢比奥周五表示,除非未来数日内出现进展迹象,否则美国总统唐纳德·特朗普将停止斡旋俄乌冲突。此番言论发表于美乌领导人在巴黎举行首次实质性高级别面对面会谈之后,欧洲多国代表亦参与其中。

  “我们不会无休止地耗费数周乃至数月推进此事。因此需要立即——我指的是未来几天内——判断能否在未来几周达成目标。若可行则继续,否则我们将转向其他优先事项。”卢比奥强调。

  此番强硬表态与周四巴黎会谈的乐观氛围形成反差。卢比奥此前称其提出的美国和平框架获积极回应,乌克兰总统泽连斯基办公室亦评价会谈“具建设性且成果积极”。

  01

  特朗普为什么要求美联储降息?

  《财富》杂志:特朗普欲借降息抵消通胀

  在第一任期中,特朗普就频繁公开批评美联储及鲍威尔,经常敦促美联储降息。开启第二任期以来,特朗普在推进其关税政策的同时,又多次对鲍威尔施压,要求其降息。

  《财富》杂志网站17日报道说,特朗普希望降低利率,以“抵消”他自己的关税政策所带来的通胀。美联社则认为,特朗普的关税政策令美国经济衰退风险加剧,而特朗普似乎希望把责任推到鲍威尔身上。

  彭博社记者怀特洛表示,不管是不是总统,特朗普都一向对利率有自己的想法,经常与美联储主席的想法相悖。特朗普的想法似乎是,“我要制定经济政策,美联储应该配合我”。

  02

  美联储为何选择暂时不降息?

  美媒分析多重因素令美联储暂不降息

  △美联储(资料图)

  美国《华盛顿邮报》分析了美联储暂不降息的四大原因:

  一是美联储想在行动前看到更多显示美国经济受阻的实质性证据。

  二是当前美国发动贸易战的背景是通胀依然高于美联储设定的2%目标。

  三是美国政府发动的贸易战存在显著不确定性,美联储因而不太可能快速行动。

  四是当前金融市场虽然高度震荡,但依然“功能正常”,而美联储一般在大型金融机构突然崩溃时才快速干预,以免引发系统性金融问题或经济衰退。

  03

  美联储未来会不会降息?

  高通胀与增长放缓或夹击美联储左右为难

  据英国《金融时报》报道,市场目前普遍预测,美联储将在6月宣布降息25个或50个基点。然而,美国彼得森国际经济研究所所长亚当·波森认为,美联储“可能而且有理由等到9月”再降息。

  由于美国政府当前的关税政策,美国经济正面临通货膨胀加剧和经济增长放缓同时发生的风险,这可能令美联储陷入“艰难权衡”的困境。美联社分析称,就业疲软、失业率上升通常会导致经济衰退,此时美联储往往会通过大幅降息以刺激借贷和支出。如果通胀加剧,美联储可能被迫维持甚至提高利率来抑制物价上涨。

  美国有线电视新闻网特约编辑理查德·奎斯特:难点在于美联储的双重职责,保障就业市场健康和保持物价稳定,这两点正处于矛盾之中。就像鲍威尔说的那样,他也指出了一个路线图。他说,如果要在两者中选择,来优先处理哪一个,那么要处理两者中更加紧迫的问题。现在的情况可能是高通胀更加紧迫,这意味着什么呢,高通胀意味着要保持高利率。鲍威尔的表态可能暗示着,美联储正为某种形式的滞胀做准备。在这种情况下经济增长会停滞,通胀居高不下,而失业率开始上升,而美联储只能两害相权取其轻,选择去处理通胀问题。

  本报记者 吴晓璐

  去年4月19日,证监会发布《资本市场服务科技企业高水平发展的十六项措施》(以下简称“科技十六条”),从上市融资、并购重组、债券发行、私募投资等全方位提出支持性举措。

  一年来,围绕服务科技创新和新质生产力发展,资本市场持续加力,《关于深化科创板改革 服务科技创新和新质生产力发展的八条措施》(以下简称“科创板八条”)、《关于深化上市公司并购重组市场改革的意见》(以下简称“并购六条”)、《关于资本市场做好金融“五篇大文章”的实施意见》等支持举措陆续出台,支持科技创新的监管体系和市场生态不断完善。

  在市场人士看来,资本市场在制度包容性、资源配置效率和服务链条完整性上不断实现突破,服务新质生产力基础不断夯实。下一步,要以注册制改革为牵引,优化投融资制度机制,全方位服务新质生产力发展。

  中国银河证券首席策略分析师杨超在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,从源头来看,要建立健全精准识别科技型企业的制度机制,以确保资源能够有效配置到具有创新能力和发展潜力的科技企业中。同时,要持续推进资本市场制度创新,进一步完善多层次资本市场体系,满足不同类型、不同发展阶段科技创新企业的融资需求,为科技企业提供更加高效的融资平台。此外,要引导资金特别是险资等中长期资金,加大对科技创新领域的投资力度,为科技创新提供长期稳定的资金保障。

  对“硬科技”企业包容度提升

  资本市场与新质生产力相辅相成、相互促进。一年来,资本市场大力支持科技型企业上市融资、再融资,引导资源向科技型企业聚集,并为资本市场带来更多源头活水。据Wind资讯数据统计,截至4月18日,过去一年中,有99家公司登陆A股,合计募资609.71亿元,其中,科创板、创业板、北交所分别新增15家、43家和17家,上市募资额分别为120.40亿元、251.22亿元、43.14亿元。综合来看,科创板、创业板、北交所合计新增75家,占比75.76%,合计募资414.76亿元,占比68.03%。

  从行业来看,上述99家新上市公司中,新一代信息技术产业、新材料产业和高端装备制造产业等战略性新兴产业企业数量较多,分别有25家、22家和15家,募资金额分别为171.27亿元、124.54亿元、91.19亿元。

  截至目前,科创板、创业板、北交所上市公司中高新技术企业占比均超过九成,全市场战略性新兴产业上市公司家数占比超过一半。

  从再融资来看,一年来,171家上市公司再融资规模为2867.48亿元(定增募资2411.93亿元,可转债募资437.65亿元,优先股募资17.9亿元),其中,公用事业、非银金融、基础化工行业募资规模较高,分别为461.61亿元、414.92亿元、324亿元。

  今年两会期间,证监会主席吴清答记者问时表示,用好“绿色通道”、未盈利企业上市等制度,稳妥实施科创板第五套上市标准等更具包容性的发行上市制度,更精准支持优质科技企业发行上市。

  3月28日,上交所受理了未盈利企业北京昂瑞微电子技术股份有限公司(昂瑞微)的科创板IPO申请,引起市场关注。

  市场人士认为,这说明资本市场支持新质生产力的制度包容性持续提升。深圳大象投资控股集团总裁周力在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,未盈利企业IPO获受理,反映了资本市场对研发投入大、盈利周期长的科技型企业的容忍度提升,表明监管层支持“硬科技”企业发展的决心。

  杨超表示,这表明资本市场对科技型企业的支持更加注重其长期发展潜力,为更多具有高成长性的科技企业提供上市融资的机会,同时有助于引导更多科技企业加大研发投入,提升自主创新能力。

  在市场人士看来,加大对科技型企业的支持力度,首先要健全精准识别科技型企业的制度机制,才能更好地支持“硬科技”企业。杨超表示,进一步健全精准识别科技型企业的制度机制,要注重企业的研发投入、人才配置、专利技术等指标,以准确衡量企业的科技属性;考虑企业在行业中的核心竞争力,判断其关键技术优势与长期发展前景,建立完善动态评估机制;还要加强信息披露要求,企业要准确披露研发进展、风险因素等信息。

  周力认为,精准识别科技型企业时,应考虑核心专利数量、研发投入占比、国产替代能力、核心技术人员稳定性等;评估企业所处行业前景、客户资源及商业模式可行性;建立企业成长性跟踪机制,定期评估技术进展与市场适配性,防止“伪科技”企业套利。

  科创企业并购积极性增强

  并购重组是科技型企业拓宽融资渠道、完善产业链布局、增强硬科技属性的重要手段,也是传统企业寻找第二增长曲线、向新质生产力转型的重要渠道。据Wind资讯数据统计,截至4月18日,一年来,A股公司发布168单重大资产重组,同比增长66.34%。

  尤其是去年9月份“并购六条”出台后,A股并购重组市场活跃度明显提升,科创板、创业板公司并购产业链上下游公司的积极性明显增强,半导体等“硬科技”行业领域并购重组活动显著增多。另外,科技型企业借道并购重组登陆A股、上市公司收购优质未盈利资产等典型案例也不断落地。

  吴清还表示,抓紧完善“并购六条”配套机制,在估值定价、审核流程、支付工具等方面进一步打通堵点,大力推进企业并购以优化资源配置、促进企业发展,推动更多科技创新企业并购案例特别是具有示范意义的典型案例落地。

  周力认为,进一步支持科创企业并购,激发其并购活力,需完善以下配套机制:提高轻资产科技型企业并购估值包容性,探索基于未来收益或知识产权的估值方法;扩大小额快速审核机制适用范围,缩短审批周期,提升效率;对突破关键技术的并购设立“绿色通道”,加快审核进度;鼓励科创板、创业板企业并购上下游技术型标的,支持通过吸收合并实现资源整合;完善并购后业绩承诺监管,防范商誉减值风险。

  杨超认为,还需要引导中介机构提升专业服务能力,充分发挥其在并购重组中的桥梁作用,促成更高质量的并购重组。

  科创债迅速扩容

  除了上市和并购重组外,资本市场还从私募创投、区域性股权市场、债券等方面协同发力,服务科技创新和新质生产力发展。

  一方面,鼓励支持私募和创投基金管理人坚守长期主义,完善私募和创投基金监管制度规则,围绕优化退出“反向挂钩”政策、支持私募股权二级市场基金(S基金)和并购基金发展等,进一步畅通多元化退出渠道,逐步构建引导私募创投基金“投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技”的市场生态。

  另一方面,推动区域性股权市场高质量建设“专精特新”专板。截至目前,全国35家区域性股权市场中,已经有26家“专精特新”专板建设方案备案,吸纳约万家专精特新企业。

  此外,科技创新公司债(以下简称“科创债”)自推出以来迅速扩容,成为支持科技型企业融资的“主力军”。据Wind资讯数据统计,近一年来,交易所发行科创债570只,环比增长46.91%,合计募资6238.28亿元,环比增长43.93%。

  推动科创债高质量发展,是加强债券市场对科技创新精准支持的重要方式。周力认为,推动科技创新公司债券高质量发展,要鼓励政策性金融机构为民营科技企业发债提供担保,降低融资成本;探索知识产权证券化等创新金融品种,拓宽融资场景;将优质科创债纳入基准做市品种,吸引险资、养老金等长期资金配置;推动险资、年金投资早期科创基金的比例提升。

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