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  新华社北京4月22日电 美国国防部长赫格塞思的“信号门”风波已升级到2.0版本,被曝向“家人”聊天群分享美军打击也门胡塞武装信息,外界关于白宫打算给五角大楼“换将”的流言更盛。美国总统特朗普21日仍力挺赫格塞思,说依然“完全”信任他。

  只是,五角大楼近期乱象频出,已引发信任危机。赫格塞思就任防长以来已撤换多名军方将领,他最亲近的“核心圈”中已有四人因被指“泄密”于上周遭解职,赫格塞思暗示“泄密者”不甘被“炒”才向媒体继续“爆料”。

  白宫力挺否认有意“换将”

  特朗普把媒体关于防长疑似向家人泄密的报道斥为“假新闻”,表示赫格塞思“干得很棒,大家对他都满意”,自己依然“完全”信任赫格塞思。

  同一天,赫格塞思本人“炮轰”曝光“信号门2.0”的媒体及其消息源。“媒体净干这事,以心怀不满的前雇员为匿名消息源,企图……毁人名誉。这对我行不通。”他说,“个别泄密者被解雇,于是爆出了几篇报道,真叫人‘意外’。”

  赫格塞思坚称,他与特朗普“谈过”,将继续保持立场一致。

  白宫新闻秘书莱维特当天在社交媒体否认白宫开始寻觅新防长人选的说法,称美国全国公共广播电台对此事的报道“全是假新闻,基于一个明显不了解实情的匿名消息源”。

  美国记者曝光赫格塞思在安全高官聊天群中上传的美军作战计划截图。

  据《纽约时报》等美国媒体20日报道,赫格塞思上月不仅在一个美国国家安全高官聊天群中分享美军作战方案、遭一名被动“入群”的美国记者曝光,还在另一个私人聊天群中几乎同步分享了相同信息,群聊中有他的妻子、弟弟和私人律师等13人。两个聊天群均设在社交软件“信号”上。

  据报道,赫格塞思今年1月创建了上述包含其家人的聊天群,当时他的防长提名尚未正式获国会参议院通过。赫格塞思在群中分享上述敏感军事行动信息时,用的还是私人而非公务手机登录。按知情人士说法,赫格塞思的助手在相关行动前一两天还提醒他不要在“信号”聊天群中讨论敏感行动信息。

  目前,赫格塞思等涉事官员仍坚称自己并未“泄密”。

  五角大楼上下不同心?

  “信号门2.0”曝光前,美国国防部刚经历人事“巨震”。赫格塞思的四名亲密下属,包括高级顾问丹·考德威尔、国防部办公厅副主任达林·塞尔尼克、副防长办公室主任科林·卡罗尔和国防部发言人约翰·尤利奥特,均因敏感或涉密信息外泄调查而被去职。负责调查泄密事件的负责人之一、国防部办公厅主任乔·卡斯珀也被曝已萌生退意。

  考德威尔、塞尔尼克、卡罗尔都对外“喊冤”,自称遭到莫须有的诽谤和攻击。尤利奥特却撰文称,五角大楼陷入“彻底混乱”,赫格塞思因其推动的“古怪、令人困惑的清洗”成了孤家寡人,甚至建议特朗普“炒”掉他。

  本届美国政府1月就职以来,五角大楼已有多名将领遭撤换,涉及多个层级官员,上至美军前参谋长联席会议主席查尔斯·布朗,下至公开质疑副总统詹姆斯·万斯的美军驻丹麦自治领地格陵兰岛前指挥官苏珊娜·迈耶斯。

  据路透社分析,特朗普在其首个总统任期内“炒”掉不少与他唱反调的高级军官,包括两任防长,而赫格塞思迄今仍对特朗普亦步亦趋,包括“以惊人速度”重组国防部、向美墨边境派驻军队、喊话欧洲涨军费、取消民主党执政时在部队内推行的多元化政策。

  路透社解读,白宫察觉到,对抗赫格塞思的人不仅限于其“核心圈”,而是散布在整个国防部。特朗普21日告诉媒体记者,赫格塞思在国防部“要赶走一大批坏人”,“他正在这样做”。白宫新闻秘书莱维特说:“当整栋五角大楼跟你以及你正尝试推行的伟大改革对着干时,就会发生(媒体爆料)这样的事。”

  美国国会中,已有至少9名民主党籍参议员公开呼吁赫格塞思辞职,认为第二起“信号门”事件足以说明他无法胜任防长一职。共和党方面大部分人则保持沉默。

  路透社援引一名白宫官员的说法报道,当初赫格塞思的任命在国会颇受争议,险些通不过,假如特朗普政府眼下“抛弃”赫格塞思,则正中反对他的民主党人下怀。(记者:海洋)

  今日港股先抑后扬,早盘三大指数集体低开,恒生科技指数一度跌近2%,午后在南向资金的爆买下,强势转涨,三大指数集体收红。

  科网板块整体表现较强,小米集团-W领涨近6%,阿里巴巴-W涨超1%,腾讯控股跟涨;美团-W与京东打响外卖大战,跌超4%。此外,中旭未来、网易云音乐、心动公司等涨幅居前。

  重仓港股互联网龙头的港股互联网ETF(513770)下探回升,场内价格一度涨逾1%,收涨0.94%,收复10日线,日线2连阳,全天成交额4.33亿元。

  港股自上周五(4月18日)以来连续4日休市,今日一开闸,南向资金就迫不及待涌入,今日大举净买入213.6亿港元。

  今年以来,南向资金已净流入超6000亿港元。尤其是4月对等关税扰动以来,南向资金明显加大了抄底力度。截至4月17日(随后两日港股通关闭),4月的12个交易日里,南向资金累计净流入达1658.08亿港元,创同期历史新高;加上今日,区间共有8个交易日净流入超百亿元,历史罕见。

  南向资金的火热涌入彰显了对港股后市的乐观预期。究其原因,港股互联网ETF(513770)基金经理丰晨成认为,或与以下三方面因素有关:

  • 美方将关税工具化、武器化到了毫无理性的地步,短期内提升中国商品关税税率到100%以上,暴露其在经贸领域将关税当成胁迫的手段。后续继续操弄关税数字游戏已无意义,中美贸易战在关税方面后续负面意外的可能性降低,贸易完全脱钩短期内对美冲击明显,仍应被视为双方博弈的一个阶段,双方仍可能恢复谈判并回撤部分关税。
  • 短期内国内资本市场支持性措施稳定了市场情绪。未来国内大规模刺激政策作为后手棋,应对未来长期中美贸易摩擦对外需和个别行业冲击影响就业和GDP增速。
  • 在经历多年超配美国资产后,美股投资者的关注点今年以来正更多转向海外市场以寻求机会:实际资金配置仍长期处于低配欧洲/中国、超配美国的状态。美国市场仍非常拥挤。受到消费者支出降温、持续的通胀威胁、增长担忧加剧以及华盛顿的不确定性等因素影响,美股2月中旬以来去杠杆化持续。美国宏观环境不确定性上升使得全年看资金从美股中流出在非美资产中找寻价值合理,受贸易战影响较小的资产。

  变局时刻,把握港股核心科技龙头。港股互联网ETF(513770)及其联接基金(A类 017125;C类 017126)被动跟踪中证港股通互联网指数,通过重仓港股互联网龙头,成为本轮港股科技行情的高效投资利器。数据显示,本轮行情启动以来至3月末,中证港股通互联网指数累计涨幅超33%,明显优于恒指、恒科指同期表现,区间最大涨幅更是高达53.59%,领涨弹性突出。

  注:中证港股通互联网指数近5个完整年度的涨跌幅分别为:2020年,109.31%;2021年,-36.61%;2022年,-23.01%;2023年,-24.74%;2024年,23.04%。指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。

  截至2025年3月31日,港股互联网ETF(513770)年内日均成交额7.14亿元,支持日内T+0交易,不受QDII额度限制,流动性佳! 

  提醒:近期市场波动可能较大,短期涨跌幅不预示未来表现。请投资者务必根据自身的资金状况和风险承受能力理性投资,高度注意仓位和风险管理。

  数据来源:沪深交易所、Wind、华宝基金等。

  风险提示:港股互联网ETF被动跟踪中证港股通互联网指数,该指数基日为2016.12.30,发布于2021.1.11,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基金风险等级为R4-中高风险,适宜积极型(C4)及以上的投资者。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金投资有风险,基金投资须谨慎。

MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错!

  来源:国际金融报

  隔夜美股大跌,三大指数跌幅均超过2%。形成对比的是,A股表现温和,交易略有放量,板块依旧在轮动。

  4月22日,A股市场以AI(人工智能)为主的科技股回调,但医药股表现不错。

  受访人士认为,关税战对市场的冲击或将逐步脱敏,在“稳股市”政策托底之下,A股下行空间或有限,短期内维持区间震荡态势。结构性行情成为当前市场的主旋律,建议投资者灵活调整持仓结构。

  日成交额升至1.09万亿元

  4月22日,A股表现温和。

  沪指收涨0.25%报3299.76点,创业板指收跌0.82%报1928.43点,科创50下跌0.31%,沪深300微跌0.02%,北证50收跌0.64%,上证50微涨0.14%。

  交投氛围上,今日成交额较昨日略有上升,达1.09万亿元。

  个股方面,共计2532只个股收涨,涨停股93只;2670只个股收跌,跌停股24只。

  板块涨跌互现,商贸零售、建筑材料涨幅超过1%,交通运输、房地产、医药生物、农林牧渔也收涨,传媒板块跌逾1%,通信、计算机、机械设备、电力设备、国防军工、电子等板块均微跌。

  医药股大涨,减肥药、创新药概念涨逾2%,昨日大涨的机器人执行器回调2.52%,人形机器人跌近2%。

  “结构性行情成为当前市场的主旋律,建议投资者灵活调整持仓结构,重点关注高股息防御板块、科技消费主线以及政策驱动的行业机会。”排排网财富研究部副总监刘有华向《国际金融报》记者,当前市场呈现出“政策托底明显,但上行动能不足”的运行特征。国家队托底意图非常明显,带动了上证指数的上涨,展现出较强的政策底支撑。但当前市场也面临业绩披露和外部环境不确定性等因素制约,整体上行空间受到一定限制。从盘面特征来看,市场交投活跃度持续低迷,成交量维持在相对低位,说明投资者风险偏好仍处修复阶段,资金在有限的热点板块间快速轮动博弈,导致市场赚钱效应难以持续扩散。

  短期区间震荡为主

  在关税战背景下,相比美股,A股展现出更强的韧性。在国家队资金入场支撑下,A股市场不断回暖,近期整体维持震荡态势。

  “风险最大的阶段已经过去,但考虑到外部环境仍然复杂,短期稳定红利、自主可控以及内需对冲相关资产仍将占优。”银华基金方面认为,市场在国家队的呵护之下仍然平稳运行,被动资金延续大额流入,但规模较上一周有所减少。后续关注国内内需政策预期升温下,风险偏好企稳后,科技成长与部分内需资产的投资价值。

  “短期内或将继续震荡磨底。”富荣基金分析,首先,不确定性仍需时间消化。中美关税问题对出口的影响,以及国内稳经济政策的对冲效果等,需待二季度数据进一步验证。其次,中美博弈范围扩大但影响趋弱。中美摩擦已从贸易领域蔓延至科技、金融等领域,例如近期AI芯片H20禁售的苗头显现。不过,此类事件的市场预期已部分消化,后续可能呈现反复拉锯的博弈模式,其对市场的冲击或将逐步脱敏。而在“稳股市”政策托底之下,A股下行空间或有限。投资者可以稳中求进,聚焦内需相关的消费板块及自主可控产业链。

  青岛安值投资高级研究员程天燚对记者表示,关税战对基本面产生负面影响,中美双方是双输格局,短期不具备大幅上涨基础,整体市场以区间震荡行情为主。财报季之际,应更注重业绩层面的影响,同时临近4月底,政治局会议即将召开,为了对冲关税的影响可能会有更多政策出台,后续关注内需和自主可控进行布局。

  就波动较大的人形机器人板块而言,前海开源基金首席经济学家、基金经理杨德龙告诉记者,由于受到关税战的冲击,在“黑色星期一”当天,人形机器人等科技板块因前期涨幅过大,出现了较大的获利回吐,股价大幅回落。然而,这不仅不会改变这轮“科技牛”行情的大趋势,反而为前期踏空的投资者带来了很好的布局机会。人形机器人正处在技术爆发的临界点,目前已逐步完成0到1的阶段,未来将逐步进入1到10的阶段。

  欧洲天然气价格走低,在每兆瓦时约35欧元附近波动。随着船运液化天然气到货量保持强劲,库存补充进展顺利。

  在长周末假期过后,基准期货周二一度下跌多达4%。尽管全球部分液化天然气设施仍有停产,LNG船货到港量仍略高于季节性平均水平,显示供应状况良好。

  在经历了冬季库存消耗后,夏季补库情况备受关注。尽管最初的价差结构使得储气缺乏经济性,但目前价格已出现小幅正向价差,即远月价格高于近期价格。

  这可能会在未来几天或几周内激励补库,尽管交易员通常更倾向于更大的价差空间。

  行业咨询公司Zenergi在一份报告中表示,天气变暖和液化天然气供应充足也将有助于稳定价格。

  阿姆斯特丹时间下午3:04,作为欧洲天然气基准的荷兰近月合约期货下跌3.2%至每兆瓦时34.53欧元。

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