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正确的投资生涯都是一步一个脚印的

在投资生涯中,写交易日记是加快自我完善的最好途径。在交易日记中,你必须详细记录你的每一次的成功与失败,以及交易的真正原因,然后认真加以分析。久而久之,你就会发现,我们常常听信他人的小道消息冲进杀出,或者在没有出现明显的进出信号前过早交易,或者经常的违反自己既定的交易计划等等,总是在同样的地方犯错,在一个地方跌倒。用不了几个月,我们就可以找到很多同样的错误。只要认真加以总结和修正,将会十分有利于我们未来作出正确决定,使我们的投资技巧很容易迈上一个新的台阶。

很多人不愿意回顾过去的失败,认为这是向伤口中撒盐。想要成功,你必须面对自己的错误,只有认真总结失败教训,逐步加以改变,才是正确的态度,也是成功的必经之路。成功的过程就是不断与错误作斗争的过程。

另外,人的本能是从众的,这一点已经毋庸置疑,在证券市场上,巨大的利益驱动之下,人的心理更是趋于一致。而投机市场上大多数人注定是要失败的,因此想要成功,就必须要摆脱大众的思路。

所以我们必须要站在更高的位置审视自己,换言之,就是要仔细观察自己是否有大众地交易习惯,如果你发现自己的某种习惯是大多数人都具备的,就一定要加以改正。具体地办法就是永远不要在交易所里我行我素,而要交很多的股友,当你发现大多数人都有和自己一样的习惯,或者有很多人持有同自己一样的股票时就一定要加以改正。聪明的人总是从别人的身上吸取教训。摆脱大众的思维,就向成功又迈进了一步。

手中有10万闲钱,买入像中石油等5元以下的低价股,靠谱吗?

低价股是因为股票价格的长期下跌造成的,风险是涨出来的机会是跌出来的,长期的下跌造就了低价格,那低价股的风险自然是相对小的多。低价股有价值但是并不是所有的低价股都有价值,一些绩差股即将退市的低价股,即便是价格再低也不值得我们投资。

绩差股中的低价股并不值得我们投资。

低价股中有一些股票价格低是因为公司业绩差造成的,这样的低价股是因为公司自身的原因,公司自身出现了问题那么他的价值就会大大降低,其投资价值也就更小了。比如今年的仙股中弘股份,股价低于一元了,但是投资者这样的低价股是没有多大的价值的,有的只是风险;再比如因为巨亏导致股价大跌的保千里,公司亏损原因找不到,亏了多少都不知道这样的公司,股价再低谁又会去投资呢!

业绩稳定的低价股才有投资价值。

低价股中值得我们投资的是那些业绩稳定的公司,这些股票股价的下跌多是因为行情的问题或者所属行业近期不被看好的问题导致的。比如证券,电力行业中的低价股,这些股票的价格之所以低是因为这两个行业长期下跌的原因,但是有很多公司的盈利是没有问题的。再比如医药股,大市值个股,这些类型的股票虽然股价下跌了但是公司盈利情况并没有下跌有的公司业绩比之前更好了,对于这样的低价股才是我们要投资的重点。

一、投资是需要策略的,不能是瞎投资。

很多投资者对于股市的看法十分单纯,单纯到什么程度呢?只想知道能不能投资,根本不讲究一个策略与方法。而股市投资呢?最为注重的就是投资的策略与方法。那么,什么方法呢?面对100多家低价股,最为合适的方法就是,择优而入。其实很多上市公司的股票价格不能代表全部因素,不能说股票的价格低就是低劣的存在,还有一种原因可能就是股票基数的大而造成。所以面对这种情况,更需要注重价值,择优而入。

二、分配式投资以及定投式投资需要结合。

如果单纯的投资一家低价股上市公司,“中奖”的概率很低,并且还需要承担很大的风险。如果是择优10家、50家呢?就能够分散风险,有能够更好的受益。当然,这种分配式的投资也只能是针对低价股、风险股进行,能够提高安全系数,毕竟不可能每天都是处于下跌的状态,起码还是有着只有的。当然了,为了更好的规避风险,还可以进行定投式的投资,更具有优势。

假设牛市来临,这三类低价股最具发展潜力:

一,证券低价股。

我们都知道证券股市A股牛市的先行军,熊市行情中选择低价的证券股是最安全的投资方法。目前A股市场上有44家证券类上市企业,其中股价低于10元的16家,股价低于20元的则有39家。很明显和牛市中证券股的价格相比,选择券商股的价格是很低的。在选择证券股中的低价股时价格是我们首先要考虑的对象,其次是业绩,市值。有业绩的公司股价上涨幅度会更大一些,市值小的公司股价上涨时爆发力会更强一点。稳健的投资者可以选择证券股中低价,大市值的蓝筹股;而激进的投资者则可以选择小市值,上市不就的新股,这类股在未来牛市中的爆发力会更强一点。通常情况下,证券股市值大小的划分以500亿为划分界限,大于500亿的是股价稳定的大市值蓝筹股,而小于500亿的则是小市值爆发力强的个股。

二,中字头低价股。

14~15年的牛市中中字头个股普遍涨幅大于300%,其中最引人注意的是中国中铁,中国中冶,中国电建等国企。它们多数都是基建行业的上市A股,这些中字头个股的特点有三点,市值大,股价低,有业绩。漫长的熊市行情它们是最被低估的品种,当牛市来的时候它们的价值就体现出来了。有业绩,估值低,股价低的公司在牛市行情中自然会被资金想起来,而他们的股价也会因此大幅上涨。未来依然会是这样,尤其是16年之后上市的中字头个股会更有潜力;它们在未来的牛市中涨幅也必然会大于同类股。

三,科技低价股。

当下社会科技是生产力的象征,科技强则国强的口号也不是白喊的,对科技创新企业给予厚望,各种优惠政策都紧着高科技公司。现在如此未来也必然如此,14~15年的牛市中小创的科技股是沪深两市最耀眼的明星,比如十倍大牛股安硕信息,全通教育,网宿科技等都是中小创的科技股。上一轮牛市的科技大牛股多数计算机行业的上市企业,而下一轮牛市的科技大牛股我认为会出现在消费电子行业的上市企业中。因为最近五年国产手机的全球出货量不断增加,尤其华为,小米,OPPO等国产智能手机的销量都突破可一亿部。国产手机销量大增就会带动整个消费电子行业公司的业绩大增,有业绩支撑又是高科技公司那里未来牛市他们的股价就值得我们期待。相关产业链中的上市企业都会成为资金炒作的对象,比如芯片,集成电路,led屏幕等都会是未来科技大牛股的诞生地。

BOLL线由三条线组成,其中上下两条线可以分别看成是股价的压力线和支撑线,在两条线之间还有一条股价平均线。

BOLL指标中的上、中、下轨线之间的关系

1、当布林线的上、中、下轨线同时向上运行时,表明股价强势特征非常明显,股价短期内将继续上涨,投资者应坚决持股待涨或逢低买入。

2、当布林线的上、中、下轨线同时向下运行时,表明股价的弱势特征非常明显,股价短期内将继续下跌,投资者应坚决持币观望或逢高买出。

3、当布林线的上轨线向下运行,而中轨线和下轨线却还在向上运行时,表明股价处于整理态势之中。如果股价是处于长期上升趋势时,则表明股价是上涨途中的强势整理,投资者可以持股观望或逢低短线买入;如果股价是处于长期下跌趋势时,则表明股价是下跌途中的弱势整理,投资者应以持币观望或逢高减仓为主。

BOLL线的作用:

1、利用统计原理,求出股价的标准差及其信赖区间,从而确定股价的波动范围及未来走势。

2、利用波带显示股价的安全高低价位。

3、由上,中,下轨线构成,中轨线代表市场的主要趋势,起到支撑和压力的作用。

BOLL带的几种使用技巧:

1、开口代表着行情快速展开,尽管投资者都厌恶震荡行情,喜好趋势行情,但是行情往往来的很突兀,待发现确认后再进场,由于止损过大不符合盈亏比,难以决定是否追多或追空。

不过在明白了布林线开口原理后,只需设在中轨略上方即可,因为一旦股价回抽时突破中轨,即可确认这波大开是假的,越早出场越好。

下面看实例:深物业A(000011)

该股BOLL开口张大,之后股价跌破了BOLL中轨,然后股价开始一路下跌,跌破中轨就是卖出信号。

2、当布林线指标进入收口阶段后,之前的行情走势暂时告一段落,行情将进入反转阶段或暂时回调,如果拥有复合仓位,建议平掉一半仓位。如若后市再度突破中轨,平仓全部仓位为佳。

布林线进入收口阶段后,行情一般会陷入震荡整理,行情波动不大,以短线区间操作为主,止损设置在可见的最高最低点上下方即可。收口阶段是高抛低吸区间操作的良机。

实例:智光电气(002169)

该股当时BOLL逐步收口,股价维持震荡,之后股价跌破中轨,股价下跌。BOLL收口,股价跌破中轨也是卖出时机。

3、收口后,中轨若能成为有效的支撑阻力,就会出现三轨同向状态。三轨同向是市场行情极为强劲而且稳定的表现,也是最为考验投资者耐心的时候。牢牢抱住盈利的头寸,中轨成为很好的加仓点,也成为盈利提止损的参考点,直到跌破布林线中轨为止。

实例:九洲电气(300040)

该股BOLL收口,形成三轨同向,股价明显受到中轨支撑。在中轨位置可以选择加仓,之后股价上涨。

我们都知道庄家要建仓肯定是在低位的,若是股价涨上来了,建仓就没有必要了,庄家低位建仓,然后把低位的筹码拉上来,就能够获得丰厚的利润,既然已经获利,那么势必要出货,而散户跟风就给了庄家绝好的出货机会。

大趋势向上走,巧用妙计高点抛出,股价回落回踩中轨线则低点吸呐,等股价回踩飙升,我们的盈利就能起飞了。如此往复你也能够快速获得较大的盈利!

实例:中国铁建(601186)

该股股价突破BOLL上轨,可以获利卖出。之后股价回踩中轨,又可进行加仓,股价又迎来一波上涨。节奏明显。

如何利用BOLL指标捕捉主升浪:

1、股价横盘震荡或缓慢上行,BOLL呈现平行窄轨,股价运行在BOLL中轨和上轨之间,某日突然跌破中轨,但是却在下轨获得支撑,震荡了数天之后,上攻突破了中轨并且触到上轨附近,遇到了压力回踩中轨企稳,这时向上突破上轨并将发生大行情得概率非常大,这时经典的挖坑启动形态:

2、股价横盘震荡或缓慢上行,BOLL呈现平行窄轨,股价运行在BOLL中轨和上轨之间,某天突然加速,突破了上轨,BOLL的袋口(上下轨)也呈现打开的态势,这时发生行情的概率较大。这时经典的加速上涨形态:

3、之前就经过一波大涨,BOLL袋口也呈现打开状态,当OBLL收口时,股价从中轨下方穿越上来,这时候可能会发生新的行情。这时经典的逐浪上攻形态:

4、对于上面说的这三种刚进入加速后的股票,尖顶回落中轨,通常都是买入机会,之后至少会有一次上攻,上攻的力度较强,能够再次攻击山鬼,就构成上升通道,回落中轨都可以再次买;力度弱,构成了背离,这时候就要出局了。这是在上升通道做强势股的方法:

布林带在弱市中应用要注意以下要点

1、不能将股价向上穿越支撑线作为买入信号,而是要将个股的最低价的连线穿越布林带下轨作为可以初步关注该股的信号。

2、出现初选信号后,一般股价会有回抽动作,如果股价回抽不有效击穿下轨,而且布林带支撑线向上拐头。这时可以初步确认为买入信号。

3、买入信号的最终确认主要是观察成交量是否能够温和放大。

4、要注意布林带宽度是否已经处于收敛状态,这也是信号确认的一个重要因素。

布林线压力和支撑主图指标:

MID:MA(CLOSE,20),POINTDOT,LINETHICK1,colorwhite;

UPPER:MID+2*STD(CLOSE,20),linethick1,coloryellow;

LOWER:MID-2*STD(CLOSE,20),linethick1,colorcyan;

VAR1:=UPPER;

FF:=VAR1>REF(VAR1,1);

二分位:(H+L)/2,LINETHICK1,colorwhite,POINTDOT;

PARTLINE(VAR1,FF,RGB(255,0,0),1,RGB(0,255,0)),LINETHICK1;

VAR2:=LOWER;

FF:=VAR2>REF(VAR2,1);PARTLINE(VAR2,FF,RGB(255,0,0),1,RGB(0,255,0)),LINETHICK1;

VAR3:=MA(CLOSE,18);

FF:=VAR3>REF(VAR3,1);PARTLINE(VAR3,FF,RGB(255,0,0),1,RGB(3,3,255)),LINETHICK1;

VAR4:=MA(CLOSE,4);

FF:=VAR4>REF(VAR4,1);PARTLINE(VAR4,FF,RGB(235,1,1),1,RGB(3,3,255)),LINETHICK1;

RSV:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,10))/(HHV(HIGH,10)-LLV(LOW,10))*100;

支撑位:IF(A1X>=0,REF(EMA(C,14),BARSLAST(CROSS(A1X,0))+1),DRAWNULL),colorred,LINETHICK1;

阻力位:IF(A1X<0,REF(EMA(C,14),BARSLAST(CROSS(0,A1X))+1),DRAWNULL),colorgreen,LINETHICK1;

(转自:A股荟萃)

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