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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
杨禹事件起因:学习精品一二三区在线上司的高效沟通技巧!
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杨禹事件起因:学习精品一二三区在线上司的高效沟通技巧!

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铁岭市(开原市、西丰县、银州区、昌图县、清河区、调兵山市、铁岭县)








铜陵市(铜官区、义安区、郊区、枞阳县)








石家庄市(晋州市、裕华区、行唐县、鹿泉区、赞皇县、高邑县、长安区、辛集市、井陉矿区、栾城区、井陉县、新华区、桥西区、赵县、灵寿县、平山县、新乐市、藁城区、深泽县、元氏县、无极县、正定县)








三门峡市(渑池县、义马市、陕州区、卢氏县、灵宝市、湖滨区)








江门市(新会区、开平市、鹤山市、台山市、蓬江区、江海区、恩平市)








西宁市(城北区、湟源县、城中区、城东区、湟中区、城西区、大通回族土族自治县)








怀化市(溆浦县、辰溪县、鹤城区、会同县、洪江市、麻阳苗族自治县、新晃侗族自治县、中方县、芷江侗族自治县、通道侗族自治县、沅陵县、靖州苗族侗族自治县)








中山市








阿克苏地区(阿瓦提县、新和县、拜城县、沙雅县、库车市、乌什县、阿克苏市、温宿县、柯坪县)








邢台市(南和区、临西县、巨鹿县、宁晋县、任泽区、南宫市、临城县、平乡县、威县、隆尧县、清河县、襄都区、信都区、广宗县、沙河市、内丘县、新河县、柏乡县)








承德市(丰宁满族自治县、兴隆县、鹰手营子矿区、双滦区、围场满族蒙古族自治县、隆化县、平泉市、承德县、宽城满族自治县、滦平县、双桥区)








广西壮族自治区








惠州市(博罗县、惠阳区、惠东县、惠城区、龙门县)








儋州市








阳泉市(矿区、盂县、平定县、城区、郊区)








遵义市(桐梓县、赤水市、绥阳县、习水县、务川仡佬族苗族自治县、红花岗区、播州区、余庆县、道真仡佬族苗族自治县、正安县、汇川区、仁怀市、湄潭县、凤冈县)

  市场回顾与分析

  一级市场回顾

  上周一级市场国债、地方债和政策性金融债发行规模分别为4350亿、2006亿和1406亿,净融资额为3800亿、1227亿和1406亿。金融债(不含政金债)共计发行规模302亿,净融资额-224亿。非金信用债共计发行规模4082亿,净融资额920亿。暂无可转债新券发行。

  二级市场回顾

  上周债市窄幅震荡,曲线整体走平。主要影响因素包括:资金面、经济金融数据、美国政策波动等。

  流动性跟踪

  上周央行净投放流动性,对冲MLF到期和税期,资金面表现均衡。最终R001和R007分别较前周上行3.8BP和上行1BP。

  政策与基本面

  3月经济金融数据表现超预期,但市场对二季度后经济走势仍有担忧。高频数据来看:高频生产指标分化中上游强下游弱,房地产、出口景气度下行,油价回升、金价上涨。

  海外市场

  美与多国贸易谈判开始,海外市场波动率有所回落。10年期美债收盘在4.34%,较前周下行14BP。

  权益市场

  上周上证指数周一至周四连阳,国家队托底意图明显,相比之下,创业板表现稍弱。具体看,上周万得全A上涨0.39%,上证50上涨1.45%,沪深300上涨0.59%,创业板指下跌0.64%。上周A股成交量大幅缩量,日均成交额1.11万亿,周度日均成交量大幅减少5023亿。截至2025年4月17日,全A融资余额18023.00亿,较4月10日减少85.99亿元。

  债市策略展望

  债市再度进入观察震荡期,等待海内外事件的进一步发酵。当前宏观面较为复杂,市场缺乏明确方向。二季度将持续跟踪两件重点事项,一是中美关税谈判的后续进展,随着双方关税上升至100%以上,关税进一步加码已无实际意义,市场更关心中美潜在的协商进程,中美双方已阶段性释放谈判善意;二是,国内政策潜在加码的力度和方向,4月政治局会议作为季初讨论经济的会议,将成为市场观察年中政策基调的重要窗口,相比于往年的货币先行财政后至,本次财政可能更为积极,而货币的宽松更多是配合和被动的。在市场等待期间,市场偏好趋于摇摆,债市或维持震荡运行。考虑到二季度资金松紧情况一般好于一季度,对于负债端稳定的机构可关注5Y及以上长久期信用债的配置机会,当前长久期信用利差仍有较高压缩空间,信用债行情有望从中短久期轮动到长久期。转债方面,短期消息面频繁出现,给市场带来扰动。在进入到基本面定价阶段之前,市场阶段性的定价可能集中在关税博弈的拉扯摇摆、国内货币和内需政策的期待上,关注政策演绎。

  风险提示:本材料的信息均来源于已公开的资料,对信息的准确性、完整性或可靠性不作任何保证。本材料中的观点、分析仅代表公司研究团队观点,在任何情况下本文中的信息或表达的意见并不构成实际投资结果,也不构成任何对投资人的投资建议和担保。任何媒体、网站、个人未经本公司授权不得转载。

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