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前20期商动态:净持仓较上日增加4132手

4月18日,硅铁前20名期货公司(全月份合约加总)多单持仓31.45万手,空单持仓33.40万手,多空比0.94。净持仓为-1.95万手,相较上日增加4132手。

据统计,近两年价格和净持仓数据的相关系数为-0.28,两者存在弱负相关关系(反向性)。

数据时间2025-04-18

硅铁指数收盘价

5728

净持仓

-19,525

硅铁主力合约机构动向:

从净多头持仓排行来看,中财期货以8056手净多排行榜首,日内净多头头寸减少33手,该公司品种主力合约近一年盈利为-2,229.5万元。

净空排行方面,国泰君安期货以1.32万手拔得头筹,日内净空头头寸增加623手,该公司品种主力合约近一年盈利为12,326.08万元。

分类

会员持仓

净持仓

净持仓增减

近一年盈利(万)

净多

前三

中财期货

8,056

-33

-2,229.5

海证期货

7,920

687

-2,126.84

东方财富期货

7,131

584

-10,084.17

净空

前三

国泰君安期货

13,216

623

12,326.08

华泰期货

12,685

859

1,922.7

中金财富期货

5,498

338

3,951.91

国泰君安期货净持仓与价格变化对比图

从上文可以得出,硅铁年内盈利最高的机构为:国泰君安期货。

在过去的20个自然日(14个交易日)中,国泰君安期货净头寸增加5次,减少9次,增减调仓胜率为71.43%。

数据时间2025-04-18

净持仓数值

-13,216

收盘价

5682

增减变化

-623

  新浪科技讯4月18日晚间消息,在2025AIPartner大会上,闲鱼CTO陈举锋公布了闲鱼AI产品的最新数据:闲鱼全线AI产品已覆盖近2000万用户,通过智能托管服务累计售出的GMV已达4亿元。

  目前,闲鱼注册用户数已突破6亿大关,日均GMV超10亿元,每天有400多万件闲置物品发布。

  陈举锋表示,“面对大模型时代的来临,我们希望通过应用AI技术建立‘闲鱼超级智能体’,重构产品链路,对用户体验进行全方位升级。”

  据悉,“闲鱼超级智能体”由购物智能体和售卖智能体组成,分别服务买卖双方。其中面向卖家的售卖智能体已于2024年分批上线,主要包括智能发布和智能托管两大AI产品。

  智能发布依托于图像识别、自然语言生成等AI技术,用户仅需上传一张图片,即可自动生成带有闲鱼风格的商品描述,帮助用户智能定价、一键发布。自去年10月上线以来,智能发布日新用户数以月均60%的增幅快速扩张,至今年4月,每天有近40万人使用AI智能发布。经过多轮模型优化,用户对AI生成文本的采纳率高达85%,商品动销率提升15%。

  智能托管则是为卖家提供24小时全方位的宝贝托管服务,帮助卖家即时调整售价、实时回应买家咨询。上线半年以来,智能托管售出的商品交易额破4亿元,环比同年2月实现翻倍,闲鱼人均托管商品数从1.08件提升到2.54件。(闫妍)

  李强主持召开国务院常务会议,会议指出,要持续稳定股市,持续推动房地产市场平稳健康发展。

  就业公共服务。要稳定外贸外资发展,一业一策、一企一策加大支持力度,支持外资企业境内再投资。要促进养老、生育、文化、旅游等服务消费,扩大有效投资,大力提振民间投资积极性。要持续稳定股市,持续推动房地产市场平稳健康发展。相关举措一旦推出,要直达企业和群众,提高落地效率,确保实施效果。

4月18日,FPG盛财国际表示,根据美国能源信息署(EIA)的最新预测,美国石油产量预计将在2027年达到1400万桶/日的峰值。这一预测反映了美国石油产业在未来几年内的发展趋势,同时也揭示了页岩油革命的局限性。

  FPG盛财国际认为,尽管自2019年以来,美国页岩油产区的单井产量翻了一番,但二叠纪地区的钻机效率提升正在放缓,产量下降曲线变得更加陡峭。这意味着生产商必须“跑得更快才能保持原地不动”,即需要不断增加投入才能维持现有产量。

  此外,EIA还预测美国天然气产量将在2032年达到1190亿立方英尺/日的峰值。这一预测显示,美国的天然气产量和需求都将在2032年达到顶峰,之后逐渐下降。

  FPG盛财国际进一步分析,美国石油和天然气产量的峰值预测对市场有着深远的影响。随着产量的增长放缓,投资者需要更加关注市场的供需动态和价格波动。对于能源行业的投资者来说,这意味着需要更加谨慎地评估投资机会,特别是在页岩油和天然气领域。

  FPG盛财国际建议投资者关注那些能够适应市场变化、具有成本优势和技术创新能力的能源公司。这些公司更有可能在产量增长放缓的背景下保持竞争力。

  上海市市长龚正今天(4月18日)会见了英伟达总裁兼首席执行官黄仁勋一行。

  欢迎全球知名高科技企业把握中国超大规模市场和上海扩大高水平对外开放的机遇,汇聚全球资源要素,加强与本地企业深度合作,共创科技发展美好未来

  龚正说,上海作为中国的经济中心城市,正以“五个中心”为主攻方向,加快建成具有世界影响力的社会主义现代化国际大都市。集成电路和人工智能是上海重点发展的先导产业,近年来实现了快速发展。上海已成为中国集成电路综合技术实力最强、产业规模最大、产业链最完善的城市。欢迎英伟达等全球知名高科技企业把握中国超大规模市场和上海扩大高水平对外开放的机遇,汇聚全球资源要素,加强与本地企业深度合作,共创科技发展美好未来。上海将一如既往打造市场化、法治化、国际化一流营商环境,助力各类企业实现更好更大发展。

  遵从各国法律,也秉持对中国市场的承诺,并致力于以最好的方式为中国市场提供服务

  黄仁勋说,人工智能发展潜力巨大,各国应加强合作与共享,推动共同进步与世界繁荣。中国市场对英伟达十分重要,不仅因其体量巨大,更在于这里拥有优质的客户群体和良好的产业生态。过去30年,正因为深耕中国市场,英伟达的业务蒸蒸日上。上海是英伟达的重要研发基地,拥有良好的营商环境和产业环境。英伟达遵从各国法律,也秉持对中国市场的承诺,并致力于以最好的方式为中国市场提供服务。

  英伟达公司是全球知名的跨国高科技企业,在芯片开发、图形处理器等领域处于领先地位,在沪设立了研发中心。

  摄影:张春海

  来源:证券日报之声

  本报讯(记者冯雨瑶)

  分红超预期!

  4月18日晚间,重庆百货大楼股份有限公司(简称“重庆百货”;600729)发布的2024年度利润分配方案显示,公司拟向全体股东每10股派发现金红利约13.62元(含税),合计拟派发现金红利6亿元(含税)。本年度公司现金分红占本年度归属于上市公司股东净利润的比例45.64%。以重庆百货4月18日收盘价32.96元/股计算,公司2024年的股息率约为4.13%。

  重庆百货主要从事百货、超市、电器和汽贸等业务经营,拥有重庆百货、新世纪百货、商社电器、商社汽贸等驰名商标和商业品牌。截至2024年底,公司开设各类商场、门店273个(按业态口径计算),经营网点已布局重庆35个区县和四川等地。

  重庆百货4月18日晚间发布的2024年年报显示,公司去年实现营业收入171.39亿元,同比下降9.75%;实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润13.15亿元,同比增长0.46%。经营现金流净额为20.23亿元,同比增长35.54%,2024年度,公司整体营收下降主要系经营承压,公司百货、汽贸业态受行业下行影响等因素。

  过去一年,受经济增速放缓、消费市场低迷、行业变革加剧等多方面影响,零售企业经营发展承压。面对复杂多变的市场环境,重庆百货以“增长+效率”为主线,持续打造“两个系统性”建设,提升“六大能力”、打造“六大卖场”,聚焦商品力,打造新场景,加快数智化变革,推动组织优化升级,持续降本增效,致力于经营业绩总体保持稳定。

  例如,在打造新场景方面,公司围绕“六大卖场”,加快业态融合,推动场店差异化调改,着力提升场店竞争力。其中,百货通过空间重构、品牌换新、体验升级、增加非购等举措,推动南充商都、永川商都等调改,业态柜位调改率26.4%,新增非购面积3.37万平方米。超市探索生鲜+折扣、精致生活馆、品质超市三种模式,年内调改焕新10家门店,调改后多项经营指标双位数增长。

  展望2025年,重庆百货有关人士表示,将借力国家消费刺激政策,以消费者为中心,以“结构性增长”为目标,持续提升“六大能力”,深入“六大卖场”,稳存量、拓增量、抓创新,推进实施“1363”经营策略,确保公司高质量健康发展。

1.最近拟披露财报发布日

腾讯控股(00700.HK)将于2025年5月14日公布2025年一季报。

2. 腾讯控股一季度业绩预期怎么样?

截至2025年04月17日,根据朝阳永续季度业绩前瞻数据:

预测营业收入1726.00~1778.26亿元,同比增长8.2%~11.5%;预测净利润508.67~567.00亿元,同比增长21.4%~35.4%;预测经调整净利润558.22~623.09亿元,同比增长11.1%~24.0%。

关注后续财报数据披露后能否超预期,朝阳永续港股季度业绩前瞻数据将为投资者提供业绩鉴定。

3. 腾讯控股最新卖方观点

国盛证券认为:腾讯控股在AI应用市场表现突出,腾讯元宝APP月活数位居国内前三。2024年公司业绩稳健增长,收入和净利润均实现显著提升。在游戏、广告和金融科技及企业服务领域均取得增长。腾讯积极推进AI技术迭代,资本开支增加,尤其在自研混元基础模型、AI应用、云服务和变现方面取得进展。预计未来几年腾讯收入和利润将持续增长。

分业务来说:

1)腾讯元宝:月活数位居国内AI原生APP前三,2月接入DeepSeek-R1模型,用户可自行选择DeepseekR1或混元T1模型。

2)腾讯游戏:2024年国内游戏收入增长10%,国际游戏收入增长9%,主要得益于《无畏契约》、《火影忍者》等游戏表现。

3)广告业务:2024年广告收入同比增长20%,受益于AI推荐和素材生产。

4)金融科技及企业服务:2024年收入同比增长4%,达到2120亿元。

5)AI云服务:2024年AI云收入同比接近翻倍,公司加大算力采购,期望驱动云服务收入更高增长。

国海证券认为:腾讯控股预计2025Q1实现营业收入1778亿元,同比增长11%。增值服务、游戏业务、社交网络、在线广告业务和金融科技与企业服务均实现增长。毛利率预计提升至54%,毛利润964亿元,同比增长15%。NON-IFRS经营利润和归母净利润分别同比增长15%和23%。公司核心业务表现强劲,AI技术赋能全生态,推动业务增长。

(注:本文相关盈利预测数据均来自朝阳永续盈利预测数据库)

风险提示:本文所示数据或案例仅供参考之用,不能作为未来投资依据。投资股票有风险,市场波动、公司业绩、政策因素等都可能导致股票价格波动。请您在投资前充分了解相关信息,并根据自身的风险承受能力做出投资决策。

更多业绩前瞻数据,“码”上了解

上市公司盈利预测数据,是卖方分析师群体对上市公司业绩预测的共识与分歧。盈利预测数据基于各券商分析师对于上市公司“盈利预期数据的研究”,并挖掘产生“一致预期数据”。

朝阳永续盈利预测数据库由盈利预测基础库和盈利预测衍生库构成。首先,基于合法授权的海量卖方研报,朝阳永续形成原始盈利预测数据库,通过直接数据挖掘,提供A股一致预期数据及港股一致预期数据,投资者可以将其作为市场参考基准。其次,针对投资者研究需求,朝阳永续深度挖掘盈利预测数据形成盈利预测因子库及业绩确定性因子,可为投资者提供直接用于研究应用的盈利预测因子和策略。最后,通过对研究成果的衍生挖掘,也可为投资者提供业绩预期挖掘和研究员行为挖掘。

截止目前,朝阳永续盈利预测数据库已覆盖私募、公募、证券、银行、期货、资产管理公司、保险、信托等各类金融投研机构,伴随着香港科技、红利等资产的火热,朝阳永续盈利预测数据库将继续秉持“让数据更有价值”的使命,为投资者持续提供全面、准确、及时的盈利预测数据及服务。

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