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《姜可》姜可林慕笔趣阁|在国际市场的表现及机会
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《姜可》姜可林慕笔趣阁|在国际市场的表现及机会

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十堰市(茅箭区、张湾区、郧阳区、竹山县、竹溪县、房县、郧西县、丹江口市)









梅州市(兴宁市、蕉岭县、梅江区、梅县区、平远县、大埔县、五华县、丰顺县)  济南市(济阳区、平阴县、钢城区、莱芜区、槐荫区、天桥区、市中区、商河县、长清区、章丘区、历城区、历下区)









红河哈尼族彝族自治州(金平苗族瑶族傣族自治县、河口瑶族自治县、石屏县、建水县、个旧市、屏边苗族自治县、蒙自市、元阳县、开远市、红河县、弥勒市、泸西县、绿春县)









玉树藏族自治州(治多县、囊谦县、杂多县、曲麻莱县、玉树市、称多县)









通化市(梅河口市、通化县、二道江区、集安市、辉南县、柳河县、东昌区)杭州市(滨江区、临安区、桐庐县、临平区、萧山区、西湖区、拱墅区、余杭区、淳安县、上城区、富阳区、钱塘区、建德市)









铜川市(耀州区、印台区、王益区、宜君县)  重庆市(武隆区、长寿区、渝北区、梁平区、璧山区、云阳县、合川区、大足区、城口县、南岸区、开州区、巫山县、涪陵区、忠县、巫溪县、南川区、丰都县、荣昌区、沙坪坝区、奉节县、潼南区、黔江区、酉阳土家族苗族自治县、石柱土家族自治县、彭水苗族土家族自治县、綦江区、江北区、江津区、铜梁区、渝中区、万州区、永川区、大渡口区、九龙坡区、巴南区、秀山土家族苗族自治县、垫江县、北碚区)









南充市(阆中市、高坪区、南部县、嘉陵区、西充县、仪陇县、营山县、顺庆区、蓬安县)









兰州市(七里河区、安宁区、城关区、皋兰县、榆中县、红古区、西固区、永登县)









娄底市(新化县、娄星区、冷水江市、双峰县、涟源市)宁夏回族自治区









南宁市(邕宁区、江南区、马山县、宾阳县、上林县、武鸣区、隆安县、青秀区、横州市、西乡塘区、兴宁区、良庆区)









广西壮族自治区









新余市(渝水区、分宜县)









威海市(荣成市、环翠区、乳山市、文登区)









保定市(容城县、定兴县、阜平县、唐县、顺平县、安国市、定州市、望都县、博野县、徐水区、满城区、雄县、莲池区、安新县、涞源县、蠡县、清苑区、易县、涞水县、竞秀区、高碑店市、高阳县、涿州市、曲阳县)









太原市(迎泽区、尖草坪区、杏花岭区、万柏林区、阳曲县、清徐县、娄烦县、古交市、小店区、晋源区)

  随着美国总统唐纳德・特朗普发动的贸易战推高成本、扰乱供应链,并引发对全球经济的担忧,多个行业的企业纷纷提高产品价格、下调财务预期,并对日益增加的不确定性发出警告。

  周四发布的财报显示,全球各大企业在第一季度都遭遇了重重不确定性,企业高管们发现自己要应对特朗普政府在贸易问题上不断变化的立场。

  来自大型包装食品、饮料和消费品公司的言论,也突显了企业和投资者的担忧,他们担心特朗普的关税政策以及他对美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔的抨击,会打击美国企业界的信心。

  帮宝适纸尿裤制造商宝洁公司首席财务官安德烈・舒尔滕在该公司宣布提价计划以抵消大规模贸易战带来的额外成本影响后,在一次媒体电话会议上表示:“我们将不得不动用我们所有的手段,来减轻关税对我们成本结构和损益表的影响。”

  雀巢公司首席执行官洛朗・弗雷谢以及多芬香皂制造商联合利华也都指出,美国消费者信心正在下降。

  周四,股票市场走势低迷,美元的反弹势头也逐渐消退,因为投资者试图梳理特朗普政府在关税和美国央行美联储领导层问题上迅速变化的声明。

  虽然大多数关税已暂停90天,至7月8日,但10%的普遍税率以及对铝、钢铁和汽车进口的关税仍然存在。

  随着第一季度财报季进入第二个繁忙的星期,各公司都在计算这场混乱带来的成本,并阐述他们计划如何遏制其负面影响。

  宝洁公司、汽水和零食巨头百事公司以及医疗设备制造商赛默飞世尔科技公司,成为了最新一批因贸易动荡而下调年度利润预期的公司。美国航空公司撤回了其2025年的财务预期,与其同行情况一致。

  赛默飞世尔还对特朗普政府提议削减学术研究资金可能带来的影响发出了警告。

  宝洁公司的舒尔滕表示,调整价格和削减成本是其应对这场风暴的主要手段,因为由于缺乏替代方案,短期内很难改变从中国采购原材料的策略。

  路透社的分析显示,在过去两周里,全球已有近30家公司撤回或下调了它们的财务预期。

  周四早些时候,现代汽车表示,已成立了一个特别工作组来应对关税问题,并将一些途胜跨界车的生产从墨西哥转移到了美国。

  这家汽车制造商表示:“由于贸易战日益激烈以及其他各种不可预测的宏观经济因素,我们预计充满挑战的商业前景将持续下去。”

  该公司还表示,在重申其年度盈利目标的同时,正在考虑是否将一些运往美国的汽车的生产从韩国转移到其他地区。

  现代汽车及其子公司起亚汽车,合起来是全球销量第三大的汽车制造集团,其全球销售额约三分之一来自美国市场,而进口车约占其在美国汽车销量的三分之二。

  消费者信心

  德国政府周四下调了2025年的经济增长预期,加剧了人们对经济疲软的担忧。鉴于全球贸易争端带来的不确定性阻碍了经济增长并抑制了投资,德国政府现在预计经济将陷入停滞,而非此前预期的增长0.3%。

  另一个显示消费者信心下降的迹象是,瑞典卫生用品制造商爱生雅公司首席执行官马格努斯・格罗特告诉路透社,该公司发现北美酒店和餐馆对卫生用品的需求有所下降,原因是人们外出就餐减少,可能旅行也减少了。

  这与周三晚些时候墨西哥风味连锁餐厅Chipotle发出的警告相呼应,该餐厅称由于经济不确定性加剧,美国人在外出就餐上的花费减少,这促使该连锁餐厅下调了销售预期。

  电信设备制造商诺基亚指出,美国的关税会在短期内造成干扰,而向汽车制造商、飞机制造商和国防公司销售软件的达索系统公司,由于关税引发的市场波动而下调了预期利润率,其股价也受到了影响。

  雀巢和联合利华公布的季度销售额好于预期,但它们以及其他大品牌竞争对手正在放缓在美国的提价速度,以避免美国消费者转而购买零售商推出的价格更低的自有品牌商品。

  这或许有助于缓解人们对关税将导致通货膨胀大幅上升并拖累美国经济的担忧,不过包括雷朋眼镜制造商依视路陆逊梯卡集团、LG电子和Interparfums等其他公司则表示,它们正在提高在美国的产品价格,或者可能会这么做。

  百事公司董事长兼首席执行官拉蒙・拉瓜尔塔周四表示:“展望未来,我们预计市场将出现更多波动和不确定性,尤其是与全球贸易发展相关的不确定性,我们预计这将增加我们的供应链成本。”

  “与此同时,许多市场的消费状况仍然低迷,前景同样充满不确定性。”

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