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渺渺浮生因你成烟,如何走出过去的阴影?
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渺渺浮生因你成烟,如何走出过去的阴影?

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中国经济网北京4月17日讯赛力斯(601127.SH)今日股价下跌,收报130.76元,跌幅3.85%。

中原证券股份有限公司研究员龙羽洁4月16日发布研报《赛力斯(601127)年报点评:新能源驱动业绩扭亏关注新车表现》称,给予赛力斯“买入”投资评级。

  来源:WEMONEY研究室

  近日,浙商银行交出一份矛盾交织的2024年成绩单:消费贷规模骤降近300亿元、净利润增速从两位数跌至0.92%、经营现金流罕见净流出超1200亿元。此外,值得关注的是,该行开年四个月内已被罚超1900万元。

  面对合规与经营的双重压力,新任行长陈海强在业绩会上提出“智慧经营”理念,能否带领这家3.3万亿规模的股份行走出战略迷局?

  消费贷首降19.97%

  规模缩水293亿元

  浙商银行2024年年报显示,该行实现营业收入676.5亿元,同比增长6.19%;归母净利润151.86亿元,同比增长0.92%。总资产达3.33万亿元,增长5.78%。

  2024年,浙商银行业务出现三项主要变化,消费贷余额首降、净利润增速降至0.92%,以及经营活动现金流净流出1204.78亿元。

  先看消费贷,2024年,浙商银行个人消费贷款余额出现A股上市以来首次下降,从1467亿元降至1174亿元,同比下降19.97%,净减少293亿元。

  消费贷款作为商业银行零售业务的核心产品,其战略意义不仅在于利息收入,更在于是客户获取和综合金融服务的基础。

图源:整理自浙商银行近年财报数据

  梳理浙商银行2018年至今,个人消费贷款业务的表现,呈现出较为明显的波动性增长特征。数据显示,该行消费贷款规模从2018年的501.14亿元起步,在2019年(A股上市当年)实现较快增长,同比增速达85.57%,余额升至930.14亿元。2020-2021年保持两位数增长,增速分别为14.12%和13.97%,至2021年末突破1209.75亿元。

  2022年增长势头放缓,当年微增1.08%,余额达到1222.78亿元。2023年则实现19.98%的显著增速,规模创下1467.10亿元的历史峰值。然而,2024年年报显示,其个人消费贷款余额同比下降19.97%至1174.05亿元。

  与消费贷款下降形成对比的是,浙商银行同期个人住房贷款增长22%至1681亿元。零售信贷市场呈现结构性分化,住房贷款需求保持增长,显示消费者在房产等大宗消费与日常消费领域的信贷需求差异。

  消费贷与房贷增速差达41.97个百分点,体现出其零售业务结构性分化,尤其是消费金融与房贷业务发展失衡。

  净利增速放缓

  现金流净流出1205亿

  财务数据显示,在消费贷收缩的同时,浙商银行盈利指标承压。其中,净息差收窄30个基点至1.71%,叠加拨备覆盖率下降3.93个百分点,资本充足性面临挑战。同时,其归母净利润151.86亿元,增速降至0.92%。

  同为浙江上市银行的宁波银行净利润增速为6.23%、杭州银行为18.08%。回看浙商银行2020年至2024年财务数据可知,其净利润增速在2024年明显放缓。

  浙商银行2020年实现净利润123.09亿元,2021年增长2.75%至126.48亿元,2022年增速提升至7.67%达到136.18亿元,2023年同比增长10.5%至150.48亿元,2024年净利润151.86亿元,增速回落至0.92%,较上年下降9.58个百分点。

图源:整理自浙商银行近年财报数据

  浙商银行的非利息净收入在2024年达到224.93亿元,同比增长39.05%。

  非利息收入的增长主要得益于财富代销业务的增长,以及“把握债市收益率下行机会,交易性金融资产业务收益较好”。

  尽管如此,这部分非利息收入的增长,未能充分抵消传统业务中的利息收入下降,反映出银行在低利率环境下对利息收入的高度依赖问题。净息差收窄拖累利息净收入下降4.99%,利息收入依赖问题进一步凸显。

  浙商银行在继续增强非利息收入的同时,如何在收入结构上实现更为平衡的发展,仍是其未来盈利模式优化的关键。

图源:浙商银行2024年度报告

  此外,浙商银行的经营现金流也出现了明显的下滑,2024年经营活动现金流净流出1,204.78亿元,相当于其当年净利润的7.93倍,或反映出该行在维持传统业务增长的同时,未能有效提升现金流的稳定性,面临一定的流动性压力。

  同业普遍通过资产负债管理应对盈利与现金流压力,这一行业动向与浙商银行当前挑战形成呼应。

  开年已被罚1900万

  股东减持叠加市值不足同业半数

  除经营指标承压外,浙商银行在2025年还面临多重挑战,特别是在合规管理、股东信心和资本市场表现等方面。

  首先,合规管理问题。

  根据最新的公开信息,截至2025年4月11日,浙商银行已累计收到超过1900万元罚单。其中,2025年4月初,浙商银行杭州分行因主要违法违规行为“个人经营性贷款业务中签订空白合同,向保证人隐瞒实际贷款金额;员工与客户发生非正常资金往来”,被行政处罚罚款70万元。3月17日,滨海新区分行因贷后管理不到位被罚款30万元。1月27日,重庆分行因存贷挂钩、贷款“三查”不到位、绩效考核不符合监管要求等问题被罚款170万元。

  同日,国家金融监督管理总局上海监管局行政处罚信息公开表(沪金罚决字〔2025〕50-57号)显示,浙商银行股份有限公司上海分行因小微企业划型不准确、信贷业务不规范经营、资产池业务未纳入统一授信管理等数项主要违法违规行为,被处罚款1680万元。

图源:国家金融监督管理总局官网截图

  据不完全统计,过去一年,浙商银行累计被监管处罚总额达1364万元。

  其次,股东减持。1月21日,浙商银行公告显示,横店集团因经营发展需要计划减持所持股份,比例不超过该行总股本的1%。3月26日,浙商银行发布公告称,股东山东省国际信托股份有限公司通过大宗交易累计减持该行1.95亿股,占总股本的0.71%。此次减持后,山东国信持股比例降至2.09%。

图源:浙商银行公告截图

  其三,市值管理。截至2025年4月17日收盘,浙商银行A股总市值821.19亿元,为宁波银行(1620亿元)的50.69%,市值差异反映资本市场对其增长预期审慎。

图源:腾讯微证券

  值得关注的是,4月10日晚间,浙商银行发布公告称,经该行董事会审议,同意聘任陈海强为该行行长,任职资格尚待国家金融监督管理总局核准。同时,在陈海强任职资格获核准前,其代为履行行长职责,该行董事长陆建强不再代为履职。

  公开资料显示,陈海强,1974年10月生,硕士,正高级经济师。历任国家开发银行浙江省分行副主任科员,招商银行宁波北仑支行行长、宁波分行副行长等职。2015年加入浙商银行,先后担任宁波分行行长、杭州分行行长、首席风险官,2020年7月起任浙商银行副行长。

  陈海强在2024年度业绩说明会上表示,“智慧是生命的灯塔,智慧经营是银行行稳致远的指南针。浙商银行不再一味追求规模情结,不再走‘垒大户’的老路,不再关注‘挣快钱’,这些都是浙商银行追求长期价值的选择和方向。”

  浙商银行董事长陆建强提出该行转型目标,“从服务一家企业到服务整个产业生态转变、从抵押担保为主的‘当铺金融’向以算力为主的场景金融’转变、从传统关系营销向数字获客转变、对公为主‘垒大户’向普惠导向的小额分散转变。”

  董事长和新任行长将如何带领银行优化经营模式、加强风险控制、提升盈利能力以及强化股东和市场信心,我们将持续关注。

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