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  投资者对德国经济的信心大幅下滑,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普时断时续的贸易措施有可能抑制刚刚萌芽的复苏。

  周二公布的数据显示,4月份ZEW研究所预期指数从前一个月的51.6降至-14。接受彭博调查的分析师预计该指数降至10。

  “美国贸易政策的不稳定变化严重影响了德国的预期,”ZEW总裁AchimWambach在声明中称。“不仅已宣布的对等关税可能对全球贸易产生影响,而且其不断变化的特点也大大增加了全球不确定性。”

  自特朗普对汽车以及随后对整个欧盟征收关税以来,围绕德国新政府加大支出计划的乐观情绪迅速减弱。虽然关税暂停而等待谈判,但德国的顶级研究机构已将2025年经济增长预测下调至仅0.1%,警告可能会更糟。

  这可能意味着经济连续第三年萎缩,凸显出依赖出口带来的脆弱性并强调了重新思考该国商业模式的必要性。

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