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  今日(4月16日),大盘几乎全天低位震荡,尾盘奇迹拉升,高股息方向表现尤为亮眼。聚焦“高股息+低估值”大盘蓝筹股的价值ETF(510030)场内价格收涨0.92%。

  

  成份股方面,银行、能源、电信等多个板块成份股有亮眼表现。截至收盘,上海银行大涨3.29%,中国石油、特变电工、中国神华等涨超2%,光大银行、江苏银行、工商银行等多股涨超1%。

  当前,从资金面、消息面以及估值层面来看,180价值指数或迎来较好配置时机。

  资金面上,今日,价值ETF(510030)标的指数180价值指数成份板块大举吸金。Wind数据显示,截至收盘,银行、交通运输分别以36.4亿元、25.7亿元的主力资金净流入额在30个中信一级行业中高居前两位。值得注意的是,银行、交通运输均为180价值指数重要的成份板块,截至2025年3月末,持仓占比合计超过50%。

    

  消息面上,国家统计局今日公布一季度重磅经济数据。经初步核算,一季度国内生产总值318758亿元,按不变价格计算,同比增长5.4%,比上年四季度环比增长1.2%。分产业看,第一产业增加值11713亿元,同比增长3.5%;第二产业增加值111903亿元,增长5.9%;第三产业增加值195142亿元,增长5.3%。

  国家统计局表示,总的来看,一季度,随着各项宏观政策继续发力显效,国民经济起步平稳、开局良好,延续回升向好态势,创新引领作用增强,发展新动能加快培育壮大。

  值得注意的是,180价值指数成份股涵盖金融、基建、能源等国民经济核心行业龙头个股,或将较大程度获益于国内经济的企稳回升。

  估值方面,当前180价值指数仍处估值低位。Wind数据显示,截至昨日(4月15日)收盘,180价值指数市净率为0.83倍,位于近10年来29.45%分位点的位置,中长期配置性价比凸显。

  

  展望后市,中信建投表示,考虑到当前保险资金负债成本仍有较强刚性,高股息策略有望成为重要配置方向之一。长期来看,红利资产的配置逻辑预计仍会延续,红利资产长期估值向上有望增厚险企长期投资业绩。

  华创证券研报指出,一季度以来,风格轮动后红利策略关注度边际有所下滑,但也带来当前配置性价比。在长端利率尚未出现显著抬头信号的前提下,预计险资及其他如社保、养老金等依旧有以股息部分补偿利息收入下滑的逻辑,或持续买入优质红利资产。

  华安证券指出,国内宏观政策对冲预期升温,叠加稳市信号明确,流动性呵护和风险偏好提振下,市场有望继续震荡缓慢上涨。当前市场上涨的主要动能在于关税风险利空消化后对宏观政策的期待提升,因此4月底前后的重要会议定调和政策安排将是观察市场变化的重要时间窗口,在此之前预计市场或将延续震荡缓慢上行的态势。

  价值投资,选择“价值”!价值ETF(510030)紧密跟踪上证180价值指数,该指数以上证180指数为样本空间,从中选取价值因子评分最高的60只股票作为样本股,覆盖21只“中字头”个股!上证180价值指数成份股均为“低估值+高股息”大盘蓝筹股,包括中国平安、招商银行、工商银行等金融板块龙头股,以及基建、资源等板块龙头股,成份股股息率高,在波动行情中具有较好的防御属性。

  本文图片、数据来源于沪深交易所等,截至2025.4.16。风险提示:价值ETF被动跟踪上证180价值指数,该指数基日为2002.6.28,发布日期为2009.1.9。指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。180价值指数近5个完整年度的涨跌幅为:2020年:-3.17%;2021年:-3.37%;2022年:-11.74%;2023年:-4.13%;2024年:27.09%。文中提及个股仅为指数成份股客观展示列举,不作为任何个股推荐,不代表基金管理人和基金投资方向。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,华宝基金亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。投资人应当认真阅读《基金合同》、《招募说明书》、《基金产品资料概要》等基金法律文件,了解基金的风险收益特征,选择与自身风险承受能力相适应的产品。基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,根据基金管理人的评估,价值ETF的风险等级为R3-中风险,适合适当性评级C3(平衡型)及以上投资者。销售机构(包括基金管理人直销机构和其他销售机构)根据相关法律法规对以上基金进行风险评价,投资者应及时关注基金管理人出具的适当性意见,各销售机构关于适当性的意见不必然一致,且基金销售机构所出具的基金产品风险等级评价结果不得低于基金管理人作出的风险等级评价结果。基金合同中关于基金风险收益特征与基金风险等级因考虑因素不同而存在差异。投资者应了解基金的风险收益情况,结合自身投资目的、期限、投资经验及风险承受能力谨慎选择基金产品并自行承担风险。中国证监会对以上基金的注册,并不表明其对该基金的投资价值、市场前景和收益做出实质性判断或保证。基金投资须谨慎。

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