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　　汇通财经APP讯——周二早盘，现货黄金价格升至历史新高3500美元附近，随后在超买压力下小幅回调。市场持续受到特朗普反复无常的关税政策影响，投资者对全球经济前景保持警惕，推动避险需求不断升温。据市场调查显示，“黄金价格的上涨趋势仍具韧性，市场在等待更多经济数据确认降息节奏后将重新布局多头。”

　　特朗普施压美联储削弱美元，支撑非收益资产黄金

　　特朗普近日再次抨击美联储主席鲍威尔，批评其行动迟缓未能及时降息，甚至威胁提前将其撤职，引发市场对美联储独立性和政策连贯性的高度关注。

　　与此同时，CME美联储观察工具显示，市场已充分定价6月启动降息，全年至少三次降息的预期不断巩固，这使美元维持在三年低点附近，进一步强化了黄金作为对冲货币贬值的吸引力。

　　地缘局势升级，进一步增强避险需求

　　在刚结束的复活节短暂停火之后，俄罗斯对乌克兰东部和南部地区发起新一轮大规模无人机及导弹攻击。地缘紧张局势未见缓解，持续为黄金提供额外支撑

　　技术面来看，日线RSI仍高于70，显示黄金短线过热，回调风险上升。目前价格关键支撑区域3450美元附近，若失守，或进一步测试3400美元心理关口。该价位若能企稳，将吸引逢低买盘重新入场。

　　若跌破3400美元，下方支撑看向3350区域，甚至可能触及3320美元。但整体趋势仍保持上涨，若整理后重返3450美元上方，黄金有望挑战3550甚至更高水平。

　　编辑观点：

　　当前黄金市场的强势不仅仅是对传统避险因素的反应，更深层是全球货币政策预期的巨大分化所驱动。美联储若继续受政治干预影响而被迫提前降息，将削弱美元全球货币地位，黄金将成为首选的储值替代资产。

　　技术上短线回调属正常现象，中长期黄金依旧有望维持强势格局，应密切关注美联储动态与贸易局势演变。

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