Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!
随机图片

体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!

更新时间: 浏览次数: 580

400电话:123456(点击咨询)
体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!各观看免费《今日汇总》
体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!各热线观看免费2025已更新(2025已更新)








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!各区点热线观看免费《今日发布》
Random Image 体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!各观看免费《今日汇总》2025已更新(今日/推荐)








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!电话区域:








遵义市(绥阳县、务川仡佬族苗族自治县、红花岗区、仁怀市、余庆县、赤水市、湄潭县、桐梓县、凤冈县、播州区、汇川区、习水县、正安县、道真仡佬族苗族自治县)








龙岩市(上杭县、武平县、连城县、永定区、新罗区、漳平市、长汀县)








汕尾市(陆河县、海丰县、城区、陆丰市)








淮安市(金湖县、淮阴区、洪泽区、清江浦区、淮安区、涟水县、盱眙县)  晋中市(和顺县、太谷区、左权县、榆次区、灵石县、昔阳县、祁县、平遥县、榆社县、介休市、寿阳县)








杭州市(余杭区、淳安县、建德市、临安区、萧山区、西湖区、钱塘区、桐庐县、上城区、临平区、拱墅区、滨江区、富阳区)








香港特别行政区








云浮市(云城区、郁南县、新兴县、罗定市、云安区)六安市(霍邱县、叶集区、金安区、舒城县、裕安区、霍山县、金寨县)








绥化市(明水县、北林区、庆安县、海伦市、安达市、望奎县、兰西县、肇东市、绥棱县、青冈县)  连云港市(赣榆区、东海县、灌南县、灌云县、连云区、海州区)








威海市(荣成市、乳山市、文登区、环翠区)








贺州市(富川瑶族自治县、昭平县、平桂区、钟山县、八步区)








延安市(黄陵县、宝塔区、延长县、安塞区、吴起县、子长市、富县、延川县、洛川县、黄龙县、宜川县、志丹县、甘泉县)








荆门市(掇刀区、东宝区、钟祥市、沙洋县、京山市)








百色市(田林县、隆林各族自治县、平果市、那坡县、靖西市、凌云县、右江区、德保县、田东县、田阳区、西林县、乐业县)








马鞍山市(雨山区、当涂县、和县、博望区、花山区、含山县)








济南市(槐荫区、莱芜区、钢城区、济阳区、历下区、长清区、天桥区、平阴县、章丘区、商河县、市中区、历城区)








阳泉市(平定县、城区、矿区、盂县、郊区)








青岛市(胶州市、莱西市、市北区、李沧区、即墨区、城阳区、崂山区、黄岛区、市南区、平度市)








海西蒙古族藏族自治州(格尔木市、都兰县、茫崖市、天峻县、乌兰县、德令哈市)








伊春市(伊美区、铁力市、丰林县、大箐山县、南岔县、乌翠区、汤旺县、友好区、嘉荫县、金林区)








牡丹江市(东宁市、东安区、西安区、绥芬河市、宁安市、阳明区、海林市、穆棱市、爱民区、林口县)








咸宁市(崇阳县、咸安区、嘉鱼县、通山县、通城县、赤壁市)








荆州市(松滋市、洪湖市、公安县、沙市区、石首市、监利市、荆州区、江陵县)








济源市








十堰市(竹山县、房县、竹溪县、茅箭区、郧阳区、张湾区、郧西县、丹江口市)








邵阳市(武冈市、邵东市、隆回县、新邵县、洞口县、大祥区、邵阳县、北塔区、城步苗族自治县、新宁县、双清区、绥宁县)








天津市(蓟州区、宝坻区、北辰区、河西区、津南区、东丽区、滨海新区、静海区、西青区、河东区、南开区、武清区、河北区、宁河区、和平区、红桥区)








成都市(青羊区、蒲江县、金堂县、崇州市、简阳市、锦江区、彭州市、都江堰市、青白江区、郫都区、金牛区、温江区、双流区、成华区、新都区、邛崃市、新津区、武侯区、大邑县、龙泉驿区)
400电话:123456(点击咨询)
体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!各观看免费《今日汇总》《今日发布》
体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!各观看免费《今日汇总》(2025已更新)








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!各观看免费《今日汇总》【2025已更新列表】
体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!中心2025已更新(今日/推荐)








体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!电话区域:








昌都市(类乌齐县、洛隆县、察雅县、八宿县、江达县、丁青县、左贡县、卡若区、芒康县、贡觉县、边坝县)








本溪市(桓仁满族自治县、南芬区、平山区、溪湖区、本溪满族自治县、明山区)








固原市(原州区、西吉县、隆德县、泾源县、彭阳县)








曲靖市(沾益区、麒麟区、师宗县、会泽县、马龙区、陆良县、罗平县、宣威市、富源县)  清远市(连州市、连山壮族瑶族自治县、清新区、清城区、佛冈县、阳山县、连南瑶族自治县、英德市)








乐山市(夹江县、市中区、金口河区、峨边彝族自治县、井研县、沐川县、马边彝族自治县、犍为县、峨眉山市、沙湾区、五通桥区)








临夏回族自治州(临夏县、广河县、永靖县、东乡族自治县、和政县、临夏市、康乐县、积石山保安族东乡族撒拉族自治县)








抚顺市(东洲区、新抚区、望花区、顺城区、抚顺县、新宾满族自治县、清原满族自治县)兰州市(榆中县、七里河区、西固区、城关区、安宁区、红古区、永登县、皋兰县)








随州市(曾都区、广水市、随县)  嘉兴市(桐乡市、海盐县、南湖区、秀洲区、嘉善县、海宁市、平湖市)








宜春市(丰城市、奉新县、铜鼓县、宜丰县、樟树市、上高县、高安市、靖安县、万载县、袁州区)








安顺市(关岭布依族苗族自治县、镇宁布依族苗族自治县、普定县、平坝区、西秀区、紫云苗族布依族自治县)








安康市(石泉县、平利县、旬阳市、宁陕县、白河县、镇坪县、岚皋县、汉滨区、汉阴县、紫阳县)常州市(钟楼区、溧阳市、武进区、天宁区、金坛区、新北区)








黄石市(阳新县、大冶市、铁山区、黄石港区、下陆区、西塞山区)








庆阳市(宁县、庆城县、环县、镇原县、华池县、西峰区、正宁县、合水县)








盐城市(盐都区、东台市、阜宁县、滨海县、大丰区、亭湖区、响水县、建湖县、射阳县)








洛阳市(栾川县、偃师区、瀍河回族区、涧西区、洛龙区、汝阳县、嵩县、新安县、老城区、孟津区、伊川县、洛宁县、西工区、宜阳县)








景德镇市(乐平市、浮梁县、昌江区、珠山区)








吕梁市(汾阳市、文水县、中阳县、柳林县、交城县、兴县、方山县、离石区、临县、孝义市、岚县、交口县、石楼县)








阜新市(清河门区、阜新蒙古族自治县、彰武县、细河区、太平区、海州区、新邱区)








漯河市(临颍县、召陵区、舞阳县、源汇区、郾城区)








五指山市(文昌市、琼中黎族苗族自治县、临高县、东方市、保亭黎族苗族自治县、白沙黎族自治县、乐东黎族自治县、定安县、屯昌县、昌江黎族自治县、澄迈县、陵水黎族自治县、万宁市、琼海市)








湘西土家族苗族自治州(吉首市、古丈县、龙山县、泸溪县、花垣县、凤凰县、保靖县、永顺县)








海口市(琼山区、美兰区、龙华区、秀英区)








茂名市(高州市、信宜市、电白区、化州市、茂南区)








东莞市








温州市(泰顺县、龙港市、洞头区、鹿城区、瑞安市、瓯海区、乐清市、文成县、永嘉县、苍南县、平阳县、龙湾区)








永州市(东安县、祁阳市、冷水滩区、蓝山县、宁远县、江永县、零陵区、江华瑶族自治县、双牌县、道县、新田县)








三沙市(南沙区、西沙区)

美国真正想要的是什么?是保住名义规模最大经济体的名头,还是为其国民提供财富和繁荣?

自去年美国总统大选以来,我一直在定期评论特朗普议程的各个方面以及它对美国、金融市场和世界其他地区可能意味着什么。该议程引发了不少混乱,但鉴于总统的政策制定“手法”粗笨且反复无常,这在很大程度上是意料之内的。

正如我在2月份和3月的评论中所指出的那样,其他经济体可能会通过提振内需、减少对美国消费者和金融市场的依赖来应对特朗普的冒犯。如果说目前的混乱局面尚有一些积极之处的话,那就是欧洲和中国已经开始寻求这种改变。德国正在放松“债务刹车”并允许实施急需的投资,而中国正在研究各类刺激国内消费选项。

对于所有依赖国际贸易和市场的国家来说,即便能够说服美国收敛其贸易战政策,新的贸易安排显然也是很有必要的。许多国家已经在想方设法增加彼此之间的贸易,同时针对迅速增长的服务贸易制定各类新安排以降低其非关税壁垒。

G7(七国集团)其他成员(加拿大、法国、德国、意大利、日本和英国)的合共体量几乎与美国一样大。再加上英国首相斯塔默“意愿联盟”的其他参与者,这些美国昔日盟友可以抵消特朗普关税造成的大部分损失。同理,如果中国能与印度和其他较大型新兴经济体密切协调去重新设计“一带一路”倡议,那也可能是变革性的。

这些举措将减轻美国关税政策和威胁的影响,但想实现它们可不容易——如果容易的话早就实现了。当今的贸易和金融安排包含了各种政治、文化和历史因素,而任何有利于中国的现状变化都将受到特朗普政府的阻挠。

因此重要的是其他大型经济体如何刺激内需、动员投资和建立新贸易纽带。在智库布鲁盖尔和荷兰央行最近主办的“全球化与地缘经济碎片化”研讨会上,我再次意识到,自本世纪初以来全球GDP的增长究竟失衡到了什么程度。对2000~2024年的年度名义GDP数据进行的简单分析表明,美国、中国、欧元区和印度合计贡献了全部增长的近70%,而美中两国又几乎占据了其中50%。

这一发现进一步凸显了一个事实,那就是美国的关税威胁必须以其他地区更高的国内需求来应对。但这里有一个现实问题:唯一能凭一己之力将自身需求和进口提高到足以弥补美国在全球经济中所流失份额的其他国家就是中国。

但如果中国并不是单打独斗呢?正如我们已经看到的那样,欧洲人已经在采取措施增加投资和国防开支,这既有利于欧盟经济,也有利于英国等其他国家。当然印度近年来的经济增长速度也快于许多其他国家,这表明该国具备一定空间来出台更多国内刺激措施。那如果所有这些经济体都能将自身政策与他人协调起来呢?

这种协调可能无法产生2009年伦敦G20(20国集团)协议那样的全球影响——该协议引入了广泛的全球改革和新机构以解决全球金融危机的成因及其后果。但如果这些国家能向世界其他国家发出信号,表明它们正在进行某种磋商以协调其经济政策并推进共同目标,这可能会产生相当积极的影响。

最后,布鲁盖尔研讨会上的另一项内容让我思索良久。布鲁盖尔高级研究员安德烈·萨皮尔在会上重点指出了日本的崛起(上世纪90年代日本GDP增长到相当于美国的70%左右)与当前中国崛起之间的相似之处。而如同现在一样,当时美国最担心的是自己会被“超越”。但美国真正想要的是什么?是保住名义规模最大经济体的名头,还是为其国民提供财富和繁荣?

这两者并不一定是一回事。美国现政府没搞明白的是其他国家的增长和发展其实可以让美国人自己变得更加富裕。也许有一天美国人能选出能够理解这一基本经济观点的领导人,但现在他们似乎注定要经历多年的动荡和持续的不确定性。

(作者系高盛资产管理公司前主席、英国前财政大臣)

新闻结尾 体育课和女朋友做了_享受无广告流畅观影体验,丰富资源一网打尽!的相关文章
总是麻烦D老师干一些奇怪的事情
如何评价甲亢哥在成都的直播
关税战下美国富人也扛不住了
逃离蟹堡王!原来蟹堡的真实配方竟然是?【逃离蟹堡王】
中国武术的硬功肉掌劈石、单指断石之类的,在街斗实战中有用吗?
经常在外面吃饭有什么危害?
  • 友情链接:
  • 中国肥胖率最高的省是河北 南京医科大学一宿舍楼突发火灾 日本女星广末凉子确认被捕

    查看更多评价 ∨