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  近日,国家统计局发布今年一季度经济数据,来看解读↓

  工业增长节节走高蓬勃向上

  首先来看工业,今年一季度,我国工业延续较快增长态势,产业升级步伐加快,新质生产力加速培育,为经济增长提供了新的动力。

  在这份一季度的中国经济答卷上,可以看到,全国规模以上工业增加值延续较快增长态势,同比增长6.5%,较1—2月份加快0.6个百分点,较上年全年加快0.7个百分点。在工业41个大类行业中,38个行业增加值同比增长,增长面为92.7%。

  国家发展改革委国家信息中心宏观经济研究室副主任邹蕴涵:说明整个工业的增长保持了一个节节走高、蓬勃向上的态势。在这里边,有几方面的积极影响来支撑工业的增长,第一方面是累积效应,也就是过去持续发力推动产业升级,非常突出的就是高技术制造业的增长。

  透过这份答卷,可以看到,高技术制造业增加值同比增长9.7%,其中,光纤制造、航空航天相关设备制造、集成电路制造等行业增加值分别增长22.5%、22.4%和21.1%。

  工业新动能的不断壮大也使得数字化生产持续赋能产业向智能化转型。一季度,数字产品制造业同比实现两位数增长,智能无人飞行器制造、智能车载设备制造、服务器等行业增加值分别增长49.6%、25.0%和66.3%。

  专家表示,今年一季度,高技术制造业的增长达到了2022年6月以来累计增速的新高点,展现出了非常好的一个增长态势。

  国家发展改革委宏观经济研究院研究员张林山:我国制造业正在向高端化、智能化、绿色化迈进,产业升级步伐加快,新质生产力加速培育。半导体、生物医药等领域技术创新不断取得新进展,数字经济渗透率持续提高,推动了高技术制造业和装备制造业的快速发展,为经济增长提供了新的动力。

  内外合力进一步释放消费潜力

  接下来看消费,今年一季度,消费保持比较良好的态势,通过内外合力,进一步释放了消费潜力。

  在这份一季度的中国经济答卷上,可以看到,社会消费品零售总额124671亿元,同比增长4.6%。

  其中,多数商品类别保持增长,以旧换新商品销售良好。限额以上单位通讯器材类、家用电器和音像器材类、家具类商品零售额同比分别增长26.9%、19.3%和18.1%。服务零售额同比增长5.0%,增速比1—2月份加快0.1个百分点,高于同期商品零售额增速。

  国家发展改革委国家信息中心宏观经济研究室副主任邹蕴涵:整个一季度的消费保持了比较良好的态势,它有个非常突出的特征,是内外合力。内,就是指消费的内生增长动力,服务消费增长比较快,成为拉动消费的主要动力。外,是指政策发力,也就是今年消费品以旧换新的加力支持政策,推出早、时机准、见效快、效果也比较持久,对于整个支撑社会消费品零售总额的增长,发挥了非常重要的作用,进一步释放了消费的潜力。

  透过这份答卷,可以看到,随着县域商业建设不断推进,县乡消费市场活力日益增强。包含镇区和乡村地区的县乡消费品零售额占社会消费品零售总额的比重为40.2%,比上年同期提高0.1个百分点。其中,乡村消费品零售额16614亿元,同比增长4.9%。

  国务院发展研究中心市场经济研究所研究员陈丽芬:数字化带动了就业的下沉,也带动了消费的下沉,像外卖即时零售,在县域的渗透率也越来越高,还有越来越多的老百姓会选择到县域去旅游。县乡消费活力日益增强,占比也稳步提升,县乡消费成为消费增长的一个新动能。

  制造业投资快速增长企业对未来信心增强

  今年一季度,我国固定资产投资增速加快,设备购置投资实现较快增长,高技术产业投资增势良好,投资结构持续优化升级。

  在这份一季度的中国经济答卷上,我们可以看到,随着大规模设备更新政策持续加力推进,设备购置投资增长也在提速,一季度设备工器具购置投资同比增长达19.0%,比全部投资高14.8个百分点,对全部投资增长的贡献率超六成。

  国家发展改革委国家信息中心宏观经济研究室副主任邹蕴涵:今年一季度,固定资产投资的累计增速达到4.2%,其中大规模设备更新政策起到非常好的支撑作用,设备工器具投资对于带动整个投资发挥了非常关键的作用。

  透过这份答卷,可以看到,今年以来随着重大项目建设加快,基础设施投资拉动效应不断提高。一季度,基础设施投资同比增长5.8%,拉动全部投资增长1.3个百分点。

  透过这份答卷,可以看到,我国制造业高端化、智能化、绿色化扎实推进,新动能持续发展壮大。一季度制造业投资同比增长9.1%,制造业技改投资增长7.2%。与高技术产业投资有关的信息服务业投资、专业技术服务业投资以及航空、航天器及设备制造业投资均保持两位数增长。

  国家发展改革委宏观经济研究院研究员张林山:基础设施投资的增长有助于改善营商环境,为经济的长期发展奠定基础。制造业投资的快速增长则体现了企业对未来市场的信心,以及对技术创新和产业升级的积极投入。信息服务业、航空航天器等产业投资的高速增长,反映出我国在新兴产业领域的布局不断深化,新质生产力正在加速形成。

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