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一个成熟智慧的人,虽然知道命运在许多局部是不可预见的,但在总体上却是符合某种自然和社会规律的,所以就会不时地对自己的前景作一番展望。

认为市场不可测的人分两种:一种是无招胜有招的高手,另一种是懒惰的新人。

最高明的交易者不但敢冒风险,也学会接纳与拥抱风险。

投机生存之道,善猎者必善等待。耐心等待机会,耐心等待最有利的风险/报酬比,耐心掌握机会。

数不胜数的所谓错误只有在事过境迁,投机者的思维、认识、境界到了一定层次以后才能恍然大悟。

交易的任何阶段都不可大意,有时战役到了最后阶段看似大局已定却可能暗流涌动,所以一定得老练起来,不要因为麻痹大意而痛失好局。

越来越多的人开始炒股,对市场来说,未必是一个积极的信号。

因为,对股票市场来说,往往离不开“七亏二平一赢”的定律,当多数人开始跑步进场的时候,这个时候就应该要引起我们的高度警惕,因为市场是残酷的,最终赚钱的还是少数人。

股票交易其实是一种投资行为,谈不上有什么大忌讳,只不过是你要重视它,做一些必要的准备而已。

有一句老话不是嘛,机会永远留给有准备的人。

中国股市:不管你信不信,这就是中国股市的本质,句句肺腑

中国股市真的有价值投资吗?

中国股市本质:中国股市是一个“资金市”

任何一个国家的股市都是由资金堆砌起来的,股价攀升的背后是资金不断累积或轮番炒作的结果。

但是这一过程,A股和美股是不同的。美股可以用存量资金不断轮炒而抬升股价或维持股价(价值投资)

而中国股市如果没有了新鲜资金的供应,就会陷入熊市难以抬起头,根本原因在于资金投资的对象有较大的差异。

中国股市里,多数没有投资价值而只有投机价值

它们大都是早期没有竞争实力而又需要到股市融资以维持部分垄断优势的公司

普遍都不具备很好的生产能力、研发能力、管理水平和盈利水平

很多上市公司的总资产回报率甚至低于一年期的储蓄存款利息率

所以自中国股市发展19年以来,我们很难看到经济产业打在某些板块上的烙印。

这些普遍质地不良的上市公司股票一旦被炒高,就会达到60倍以上的市盈率,进而导致大量存量资金纷纷出逃的现象。

一荣俱荣、一损俱损,就是大量劣质公司充斥于中国股市的结果。

股市运转是需要大量资金维持,这里的资金一部分直接被上市公司以股票的形式换走

一部分则被股市以税金、手续费、咨询费等名义消耗掉,剩下的部分才是用来维持股价上扬的

在中国股市里,无论哪一次牛市发生时都可以看到巨大的成交量,那都是过度投机和资金疯狂涌入的结果。

尤其是06-07年,管理层仅公募基金就批了8000亿元直接进场

沪指上涨到6124点,纯粹是中外资金合力助推的“资金市”效应

而一旦熊市来临,曾经再受宠的绩优股都会被拦腰斩断,这又是“资金市”的附属“价值”。

主力操盘的套路有多深?

做股票的人一定知道股票市场有主力,主力会刻意误导散户

主力明明要启动行情却偏偏故意先来个大跌,导致我们看不清楚真实的方向。该买时卖,该卖时买。

这样的行为就是通过策略强加于我们的风险。

攻击线:5日均线

很多主升浪的个股都是沿着5日均线上攻,其作用为助攻。

如果由日线系统切换成周线、月线,那就是中长线投资。

5日均线拐头向上,助涨;5日均线走平,意味着股票做平台;5日均线向下,起到助跌作用。

操盘线:10日均线

作用参考5日均线作用,需要强调一点,操盘线是波段行情的的重要指标。

一旦拐头向上,陡峭有力,说明中期上涨力度强,及时跟进。

庄家洗盘骗线

K线是由当日开盘价、收盘价、最高价、最低价组合形成的柱状图线,它表示的是一定时间内股价的波动情况。

理论上讲可以根据一根或一组K线,预测股价后市涨跌,这就是K线学。因为K线学是根据K线的形态去判断涨跌,所以主力就利用书本上讲授的形态做骗线。

长下影线表示下方支撑比较强,庄家特意拉出下影线(如上图骗线提示),然后股价继续下跌。

识别这类骗线的要点在于该形态出现前成交量是连续放大还是萎缩,如萎缩则骗线可能就较大。

底部区间头天涨停

如果在底部区间,一种可能是涨停板成交量过大,抛压比较重,那么第二天主动选择高开低走,洗去获利和不坚定筹码,提高散户持筹成本。

另一种可以判断主力吸筹不足,涨停板是缩量的涨停,吸筹困难。为控制股价,降低吸筹成本,来进行打压吸筹,第二天即便就是高开低走,成交量出现大幅放大。

在实战操作中,我们一要观察股价所处的位置,另外就是要观察成交量的变化,我们可以从股价走势,K线图和成交量分析师主力的思维。

大家不要绝对主力都赚钱,其实你错了,很多主力资金被套出不来的!而散户船小好调头!

不管是什么样的涨停板,不管他是否强,你要记住一点,如果做错了,一定要敢于及时止损,而不是在等待中被套牢!

投资感悟

永远要记住:市场的风险我们无法控制,但是我们可以控制自己。控制你自己的关键,就是制定交易计划,严格执行。

股市与投资者心理所想的走势发生变化的时候,投资者就会去责怪市场的走势有问题,而不是纠正自己的操作思路,这就是他们失败的原因。

投资者要学会尊重市场,相信自己的判断是建立在基本面和股市的环境变化中的,应该顺应市场运行规律的变化,才能在市场中有希望获利。

(转自:金融小博士)

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