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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  歌尔股份发布的2025年一季报显示,实现营业收入163.05亿元,同比下降15.57%;归属净利润4.69亿元,同比增加23.53%;扣非净利润2.923亿元,同比增长6.09%。

  对于一季度的收入下滑,华西证券分析称,主要系智能硬件部分客户的产品处于生命周期中后段正常降量。净利润增长主要系一季度公司外汇衍生品投资收益及对联营企业的投资收益增加,共计带来1.44亿元投资收益(去年同期为亏损0.04亿元)。

  其他财务指标方面,公司资金回笼速度加快,应收账款第一季度末余额为83.11亿元,较期初的178.81亿元减少53.52%;货币资金稳步提升至217.44亿元,较期初增加24.49%。经营活动现金流净额15.36亿元,同比增长0.13%。同时,公司一季度销售毛利率提升至12.41%,同比提升3.21个百分点;销售净利率提升至2.68%,同比提升0.79个百分点,盈利能力持续修复。

  虽然营业收入下降,但歌尔股份在报告期内仍然加大研发投入,当期研发费用为10.96亿元,同比增长32.83%。

  相较于2024年全年营收、净利润双增长的趋势,歌尔股份一季度业绩增长有所放缓。

  但环比来看,相比于去年四季度,歌尔股份一季度营收环比下降47.92%,净利润环比增长46.59%。按照往年走势,一季度通常为公司淡季,营收、净利处于一年中的低位。

  此前歌尔股份发布的2024年年报显示,公司实现营业总收入1009.54亿元,同比增长2.41%;归母净利润26.65亿元,同比增长144.93%;扣非净利润23.93亿元,同比增长178.30%;基本每股收益为0.79元,加权平均净资产收益率为8.46%。

  从业务表现看,歌尔股份精密零组件业务、智能声学整机业务以及智能硬件业务板块中的VR/MR、智能穿戴等细分产品线业务进展较为顺利,综合毛利率提升。同时,公司加强精益运营、推动盈利能力修复的各项工作取得了一定成果,整体盈利水平同比显著提升。

  4月22日,截至记者发稿,歌尔股份报20.91元,跌2.01%。

  本文源自:时代财经

  作为典型的“耐心资本”,险资的投资动向历来颇受市场关注。

  随着A股上市公司陆续披露2024年年报,险资最新重仓持股情况也随之出炉。

  Wind数据显示,截至4月18日,从已披露2024年年报的上市公司来看,共有367家A股上市公司的前十大流通股东名单中出现险资身影,合计持仓市值超1.34万亿元。若剔除中国人寿保险集团持股中国人寿、中国平安集团持股中国平安的影响后,险资实际持仓市值为5218.86亿元。

  从行业(wind行业)分布来看,非银金融成为险资的首要重仓行业,持股市值超过8219.41亿元,主要是中国人寿保险集团持有中国人寿的市值超8100.42亿元所致。第二大重仓行业是银行,持股市值近3666.01亿元,占据实际持仓市值70%,依旧青睐配置高股息股票。

  据wind数据不完全统计,2024年第四季度,险资在前述367只个股中对超过230只个股进行加配。其中,增持超80只个股,并成为超170只个股的新进前十大流通股东。值得关注的是,险资在坚守银行主阵地的同时,正加码有色金属板块,神火股份、洛阳钼业等三只个股均获得超7000万股加配。

  为进一步拓宽权益投资空间,4月8日,金融监管总局发布《关于调整保险资金权益类资产监管比例有关事项的通知》(下称《通知》),优化保险资金比例监管政策。

  中国平安向时代财经表示,《通知》对保险公司进一步加大权益投资比例,增强行业资产配置的灵活性,提升资产负债匹配的质量和效率,增强经营的稳健性具有积极意义。公司将进一步发挥好大规模长线资金的优势,灵活运用多种综合金融工具和投资策略,持续加大对战略性新兴产业、先进制造业、新型基础设施及价值型品种等领域投资力度。

  银行股占70%实际仓位,

  高股息策略延续

  银行股作为高股息、高分红的典型代表,长期以来是险资的重点配置对象。从已经披露2024年年报的上市公司来看,截至2024年4季度,险资重仓的银行股中,以股份制银行居多。

  剔除掉中国人寿和中国平安后,银行成为险资持仓市值最高的行业。截至2024年4季度末,险资现身14只银行股的前十大流通股东名单中,包括平安银行、浦发银行、民生银行、兴业银行、招商银行等。截至2024年4季度末,险资合计持有银行股市值超3666.01亿元,占实际持仓市值近70.25%。此外,险资在电气设备、电信服务、交通运输、食品饮料等行业持股市值均超百亿元。

  某券商非银金融分析师向时代财经表示:“银行股的稳定性和高分红特性,与保险资金追求长期稳定收益的投资理念高度契合。这使得银行股在险资的资产配置中占据重要地位。”当前十年期国债收益率已跌破1.7%,传统固收资产难以覆盖险资负债成本。银行因为较高的股息率,形成罕见的收益安全垫。

  从险资持仓市值排名前十的个股来看,银行股占据了7席,分别为平安银行、招商银行、浦发银行、民生银行、兴业银行、华夏银行、邮储银行;其余3家为中国电信、中国联通、贵州茅台。这一格局与2024年3季度末的相比变化不大。

  数据显示,险资重仓的招商银行、邮储银行等标的,近三年股息支付率均稳定在30%以上。

  除了上述持仓市值排名前十的个股,险资持仓市值较高的还有金风科技、中国石化、招商公路、上海医药、北京银行等,在2024年4季度末对这些股票的持股市值均超过30亿元。

  在银行股内部,险资对不同银行的持仓市值也存在差异。其中,险资持有平安银行的市值居银行股首位,中国平安集团、平安人寿合计持仓市值1315.68亿元;紧随其后的是浦发银行,富德生命人寿持仓市值598.17亿元。此外,兴业银行、招商银行、民生银行、华夏银行等银行股,险资合计持仓市值也超过百亿元。

  值得关注的是,中小银行正逐渐成为险资布局的新战场。国华人寿旗下产品在2024年第四季度加仓常熟银行3704.72万股,新进成为常熟银行前十大流通股东。有市场分析人士认为,中小银行在区域经济发展中具有独特的优势,随着经济的逐步复苏,中小银行的业绩增长潜力可能会得到进一步释放。

  随着银行板块股价的波动,险资在银行股的布局上也呈现出有增有减的态势。2024年第四季度,中国人寿减持邮储银行3.04亿股,持仓市值减少12.30亿元。这已经是中国人寿连续三个季度减持邮储银行,2024年2-4季度合计减持近8.48亿股。而平安人寿则在2024年第四季度增持邮储银行1174.22万股,成为邮储银行第7大流通股东,这也是平安人寿连续第三个季度增持邮储银行。

  有色金属成险资新战场,

  三股新进超7000万股

  2024年第4季度,保险资金在复杂市场环境中展现出灵活配置能力。数据显示,险资对234只个股实施加配,重点向石油石化、有色金属、电气设备、食品饮料等行业倾斜,同时收缩化工、交通运输等周期板块敞口。

  在维持原有持股的基础上,2024年第4季度还加大对电信服务、石油石化、煤炭、钢铁等行业股的投资力度,约82只个股获险资增持。其中,增持幅度较大的案例受到关注。例如,中国人寿增持中国电信7143.47万股,瑞众人寿增持平煤股份2862.20万股。此外,险资对中国石化、华菱钢铁等个股的增持幅度也超过2000万股。

  据时代财经统计,2024年第4季度险资新增重仓股173只。其中,有色金属板块成为险资调仓的重点领域,对神火股份、洛阳钼业、宏达股份这三只个股新进持仓数量均超过7000万股。

  “有色金属板块在全球经济复苏和新能源产业发展的推动下,需求有望持续增长,同时部分金属品种的供应存在一定的不确定性,这使得险资加大了对该板块的布局。”上述券商非银金融分析师向时代财经表示。

  在险资新增重仓股中,上海医药、神火股份、宇通客车、水晶广电、北京文化等个股,险资期末持仓市值均超过6亿元。新华保险及其附属子公司在2024年第4季度加仓了上海医药,跻身其前十大流通股东行列,持股仓值超34.05亿元;前海人寿分红保险产品、瑞众人寿以及中国人寿普通保险产品新进成为神火股份前十大流通股东,合计持仓市值近14.12亿元;太保寿险股票红利型产品则新进成为宇通客车前十大流通股东,持仓市值近10.08亿元。

  在减持方面,险资减持较多的是非银金融、有色金属、交通运输、食品饮料等行业股,有19只个股被险资减持超过1000万股。其中,中国平安集团对中国平安减持1.31亿股;中国人寿对中国铝业减持6433.38万股,对双汇发展减持4295.13万股;平安人寿对唐山港减持了3007.02万股。

  值得一提的是,4月8日国家金融监督管理总局发布《通知》,简化档位标准,将综合偿付能力位于[150%,200%)、[250%,300%)、高于350%的险企的权益投资比例上限上调5%,进一步拓宽权益投资空间。根据国金证券简单测算,预计当前人身险行业增配权益空间约2.56万亿元。

  普华永道中国金融行业管理咨询合伙人周瑾向时代财经指出,在当前的环境下,保险资金发挥长期资金和“耐心资本”的优势,加大对权益资产的配置,助力资本市场的稳定与发展,支持国家战略产业布局与新质生产力的孵化,是保险资金运用的重要功能,也是保险行业自身资产负债匹配和穿越周期投资的长期需要。

  “尤其近期美国挥舞关税‘大棒’,对全球贸易和金融市场造成巨大冲击,并引发股市剧烈波动。金融监管总局发布《通知》,尽管其中措施未必会立马体现在进入A股的增量资金上,但可及时向市场释放巨大信号,并与中央汇金公司的ETF增持操作以及央行承诺的再贷款流动性支持承诺举措一起,提振A股市场的信心。”周瑾表示。

  近期A股市场缩量调整,权重护盘与结构性分化并存,防御性板块、潜在政策催化方向表现较好,市场交易主线围绕政策驱动的内需消费与高股息防御方向展开。经济数据方面,中国一季度经济数据超预期,GDP同比增速和3月社零总额同比增速分别为5.4%和5.9%,均超前值与预期。同时,中国3月出口同比增长12.4%,大幅高于预期,关税影响暂未体现。

  金鹰基金表示,海外关税谈判期市场波动缓和,国内政策对冲的积极因素有望增多。虽然短期内各国市场的波动率有所收窄,但美国关税政策对全球的冲击或仍在初期阶段,无论是供应链体系,或是市场对海外再通胀、衰退以及对全球贸易保护主义额负面担忧,目前仍未见到明确改善点。国内方面,政策对冲关税负面冲击的积极因素显著增多,但市场在关税未有明确方案前,观望情绪显著提高,交投活跃度回落。临近财报密集发布期和4月政治局会议,内需政策明确为经济转型期的主要抓手,后续对冲关税的政策落地节奏仍有待关税对各国贸易局面的影响,如国内政策超预期率先出招,亦利好于提振市场信心。

  后续投资关注方向上,金鹰基金表示,即将进入政策预期与数据验证阶段,短期内关注政策发力点、内需消费赛道和防御性红利资产的投资机会,中长期维度关注科技板块国产替代潜力,兼顾具备风险对冲价值的黄金和军工板块。高政策预期赛道,关注被赋予“进一步释放我国超大规模市场的活力潜力”使命的地产产业链,以及有望获得政策进一步加持的大消费板块。关注大金融板块、电力行业等高股息资产在市场情绪谨慎期的投资价值。国产替代方向,消息面上,英伟达H20芯片被限制出口至中国,长期关注国产替代方向,建议关注半导体、AI算力、消费电子等领域的布局机会。防御性板块,关税冲击下,长期贸易格局已经被破坏,可考虑适当增加黄金、军工和粮食能源等防御型资产配置,以对冲全球地缘政治形势日趋复杂带来的各种“意外情形”。

  风险提示:

  本资料所引用的观点、分析及预测仅为个人观点,是其在目前特定市场情况下并基于一定的假设条件下的分析和判断,并不意味着适合今后所有的市场状况,相关指数、行业等的过往表现不代表未来表现,也不代表本公司旗下基金的业绩表现,不构成对阅读者的投资建议。基金过往业绩不代表未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的过往投资业绩不预示基金的未来表现。投资有风险,投资需谨慎。您在做出投资决策之前,请仔细阅读基金合同、基金招募说明书和基金产品资料概要等产品法律文件和本风险揭示书,充分认识基金的风险收益特征和产品特性,认真考虑基金存在的各项风险因素,并根据自身的投资目的、投资期限、投资经验、资产状况等因素充分考虑自身的风险承受能力,在了解产品情况及销售适当性意见的基础上,理性判断并谨慎做出投资决策。本资料不构成本公司任何业务的投资建议或保证,不作为任何法律文件。本公司或本公司相关机构、雇员或代理人不对任何人使用此全部或部分内容的行为或由此而引致的任何损失承担任何责任。

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