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2020年国产精产品:一场音乐盛宴,重温那些难忘的青春岁月与梦想
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2020年国产精产品:一场音乐盛宴,重温那些难忘的青春岁月与梦想

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“超充并不一定普遍适用,巧克力换电更适合大众市场”。

日赚1.5亿元,营收止跌回升,宁德时代一季度交出一份亮眼成绩单后,在业绩说明会上回应兆瓦超充了。

这背后显示出宁德时代入局换电的决心,都说换电成本高,但在宁德时代看来超充站花钱也不少。

所以接下来在国内,宁德时代会积极扩大换电网络,今年联手中石化等要建1000座换电站。

在海外,宁德时代继续提速出海,欧洲持续向好,落子中东和澳洲,并且回应了外界最关心的话题,关税。

营收止跌,净利润历史第二高

宁德时代一季度率先交卷,终结连续五个季度收入下滑,2025年第一季度总营收847亿元,同比增长6.18%。

利润方面依然延续增长趋势,毛利水平同环比提升。

第一季度毛利为206.75亿元,同比增长11.5%,环比增长33.5%。公司综合毛利率为24.4%,同比微增1.1个百分点,环比提升9.4%。

当然,环比实现增长,还要结合去年第四季度水平来看,2024Q4的毛利率5年内第二次跌破20%,降到了15%。

这主要是由于质保金会计政策变更,宁德时代将质保金从“销售费用”重新分类到“营业成本”,导致营业成本增加,因此影响了毛利率的计算。

管理层在业绩会上透露,这部分金额占收入的3.8%。如果调回质保金会计变更影响,去年第四季度的毛利率实际为26.5%。

再看直接代表盈利水平的净利润,宁德时代的第一季度归母净利润为139.63亿元,同比大涨32.85%,创下单季利润历史第二高,仅次于上一季度的147亿元,大致相当于每天净赚1.5亿。

扣除非经常性损益后的净利润仍有118.29亿,同比增长27.92%。

相比毛利,净利润的增长幅度明显更高,主要原因出自财务费用。

财报显示,公司财务费用从去年一季度的3.13亿元,大幅下降831.10%至今年同期的-22.88亿元(相当于净收益),一定程度上带来更多利润。

宁德时代将其解释为,所持外币货币性项目受汇率变动影响。

简单点说,就是由于汇率变动,公司的外币资产(例如存款)可以兑换更多人民币,纯纯“净赚”。

而除财务费用之外,宁德时代对其他费用的把控仍保持相对稳定。

特别在研发层面,一季度研发费用为48.14亿元,同比虽增长10.92%,不过拉长时间线来看,最近十一个季度,基本都维持在40-50亿元左右。

整体看这份业绩,尽管处于淡季,宁德时代仍在今年首季实现全面增长,扭转了去年因单价下滑带来的“不增收”局势。

这主要由公司主要业务——电池出货支撑,今年一季度,宁德时代的电池销量增长超三成,单季出货超过120GWh。

“万亿宁王”仍然是行业龙头,在稳住动力电池基本盘的同时,还在寻求新的增长曲线。

从宁德时代过去的财报中,其实已经能看到一个新的趋势,其2024年的出货结构中,几乎每卖出五块电池,就有一块来自储能业务,宁德时代趁势而上,开始大力推进换电了。

宁德时代大举推换电,回应兆瓦超充

宁德时代的业绩说明会有两大主题:

换电和出海。

首先来看换电,这是宁德时代当下最受关注,也是争议颇多的业务。万亿宁王的长期目标是建设1万座换电站,最近再次明确,今年计划先建设1000站,一季度已收获四个合作伙伴:

中石化,蔚来以及滴滴。

中石化此前就与宁德时代合作过储能等业务,最近关系进一步深化,双方今年将联合建设至少500座换电站。

然后是蔚来,宁德时代与其在一季度达成了业务和资本两个层面的合作。

业务上,蔚来子品牌萤火虫后续会利用宁德时代的换电站,双方换电网络「双网并行」。

资本层面,宁德时代计划投资蔚来能源不超过25亿元,巩固合作关系。

此外,近日还有报道称宁德时代寻求收购蔚来能源的控股股权,宁德时代对此没有明确回应,网传消息则显示蔚来创始人李斌本人回应了“卖换电站”:

不信谣,不传谣。

双方合作的换电路线长期以来都饱受争议,特别是在“1秒充2公里”的兆瓦闪充技术发布后,争议达到了顶峰。

引起争议的原因有很多,比如外界普遍认为部署换电站成本比较高,但在宁德时代看来,其实超充的成本也不低。

宁德时代认为超充需要兆瓦级充电桩才能实现,而建设这类充电站需要配备储能电柜,额外成本高,建设周期长,并不一定普遍适用。换电方案反而能够大幅降低车主购车的首购成本。

除了蔚来,宁德时代今年还会和多家主机厂合作推出换电车型。

不仅是日常的家用车,商业运营的网约车今后也有望采用换电。宁德时代和滴滴成立了合资公司时代小桔,会共同拓展换电市场。百度Apollo无人车也在规划通过换电补能,推动无人驾驶迈向7*24小时运营。

换电是宁德时代储能业务的纵向延伸,与此同时宁德时代还在横向上加速国际化,主要在资本布局和海外业务两大方面。

宁德时代披露已在4月10日接受了港交所聆讯,这距离其递交上市申请过去还不到两个月,推进港股上市比较顺利。

然后是海外业务,据宁德时代透露,其在欧洲市场经营情况还不错,动力电池的市场份额已从三年前的17%提升至2024年的38%,翻了一番还多,目前排名第一。尤其是在德国的工厂,已经开始盈利。

此外,中东和澳洲等地区的储能市场也正在快速发展,AI竞争火热对电力需求比较旺盛,也带动了储能需求,宁德时代在这两个地方接连拿到大项目。

那造成全球激荡的关税,会影响宁德时代的业绩吗?

宁德时代透露,目前美国出货量占总体比重还比较小,而且其提前预判,去年就做了预案,所以其认为关税对业绩影响较小。

结合一季度业绩和未来发展规划,换电已成为宁德时代新的投入重点,而另一边超充技术进一步发展,充电速度已经追上了燃油车,行业来到了新的十字路口,新的路线之争开始了。

只不过这一次,十字路口排在头两位的都是绿牌,都是中国玩家。

换电和超充,你更看好谁呢?

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