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专题:聚焦2025年IMF和世行春季年会

  新浪财经北美站康路

  国际货币基金组织(IMF)与世界银行(WBG)2025年春季年会于4月21日至4月26日在位于美国华盛顿特区的两机构总部举办。新浪财经作为官方媒体合作伙伴到会报道。

  在2025年春季IMF/世界银行春季会议期间,马来西亚中央银行行长阿卜杜勒·拉希德·加富尔(AbdulRasheedGhaffour)系统阐述了马来西亚如何在全球宏观动荡中实现价格稳定、守住货币政策独立性,并推动东盟区域金融合作。

  阿卜杜勒指出,马来西亚之所以能在全球多数经济体面临高通胀的背景下保持物价稳定,源于三方面因素:一是长期通胀基数较低;二是工资谈判压力相对温和;三是疫情期间的财政刺激保持克制,有效避免了需求过热。“我们并没有追求高强度刺激,而是更强调长期稳健。”

  在应对疫情后的通胀波动时,央行并未立即加息,而是观察通胀是由供给端还是需求端驱动。当价格压力开始从供给冲击转向需求推动时,马来西亚央行便开始渐进式地正常化利率政策。他表示:“我们采取小幅、逐步、基于数据的加息方式,既避免了过度紧缩,也维持了市场信心。”

  时逢美联储遭遇政治压力,问及如何看待央行独立性,阿卜杜勒表示,马来西亚央行始终坚持让价格稳定为首要目标,并保持灵活性与时效性,不受短期政治压力影响。

  针对当前愈发复杂的地缘政治形势与全球贸易碎片化趋势,阿卜杜勒指出,马来西亚作为开放型经济体,确实面临不确定性冲击,“我们此前的增长预期已经相对保守,但即便如此,最近的贸易摩擦加剧程度仍超出预期。”

  尽管外部挑战增加,他强调马来西亚当前仍处于相对有利的位置:去年的经济增速主要由国内消费推动;劳动参与率上升;高质量外国投资持续涌入,特别是与国家产业政策配套的制造业项目;第三季度出口增长超过全球平均。“这不是临时反应,而是过去几年国内需求结构性转型的成果。”

  他强调,马来西亚的贸易结构多元化程度高,为外部冲击提供了缓冲。

  在东盟层面,阿卜杜勒表示,成员国财政部长与央行行长已就当前形势展开密切磋商,形成共识,即区域国家应加快在基础设施、支付系统和跨境资本市场等方面的合作进程。他重点提到,未来将向多边扩展,继续扩大东盟成员国之间的支付结算。

  周三热门中概股多数上涨。纳斯达克中国金龙指数(HXC)收高2.93%。

  上涨股当中(按市值从高到低),台积电涨4.23%,阿里巴巴涨2.67%,拼多多涨2.13%,网易涨1.61%,携程涨2.34%,百度涨2.88%,贝壳涨4.25%,理想汽车涨0.84%,腾讯音乐涨5.20%,小鹏汽车涨7.34%,日月光半导体涨4.41%,联电涨3.24%,富途控股涨3.45%,满帮涨2.40%,华住酒店集团涨1.34%,蔚来涨4.80%,哔哩哔哩涨3.23%,BOSS直聘涨5.26%,唯品会涨1.17%,WSP控股涨2.93%。

  下跌股当中(按市值从高到低),京东跌0.33%,中华电信跌1.65%,中通跌0.37%,微牛跌8.13%,中国新城农村跌0.43%,新东方跌0.68%。

  美股周三收高,科技股领涨,纳指上涨2.5%。美国总统特朗普称无意撤换美联储主席鲍威尔,并暗示可能下调对外关税。美财长贝森特称签署“重大贸易协议”机遇已至。美联储褐皮书凸显贸易担忧。

  道指涨419.59点,涨幅为1.07%,报39606.57点;纳指涨407.63点,涨幅为2.50%,报16708.05点;标普500指数涨88.09点,涨幅为1.67%,报5375.85点。

  领涨中概股列表:

  领跌中概股列表:

  (截图来自新浪财经APP行情-美股-中概股热门板块)下载新浪财经APP

  国际油价下跌,此前有报道称一些OPEC+成员国将寻求加速增产。

  WTI原油期货下跌2.2%,结算价略超每桶62美元,上述报道让市场进一步承压,因为之前该社另有报道称,哈萨克斯坦新任命的能源部长表示,该国无法减少其三个最大项目的产量,因为它们由国际石油巨头控制。不过,这一说法后来被收回。

  特朗普之前表示他不打算解雇美联储主席鲍威尔,这刺激股市反弹,为原油价格提供了支撑。

  “覆水难收,”CIBCPrivateWealthGroup高级能源交易员RebeccaBabin在谈到哈萨克斯坦收回能源部长的言论时表示,“更大的问题在于,沙特阿拉伯将如何回应”。

  这位能源部长的言论让市场担心OPEC+是否会在未来几个月继续以快于预期的速度推进增产。这可能会增加供应。

  短期内相对强劲的市场供应,但分析师普遍预计今年晚些时候市场将出现供应过剩。

  这位能源部长的评论引发了人们对OPEC+未来几个月是否会继续以快于预期的速度上调产量的担忧。这可能会增加供应,但分析师普遍预计今年晚些时候将出现供过于求的局面。

  WTI 6月原油期货下跌2.2%,结算价报每桶62.27美元。

  布伦特6月合约结算价下跌2%,报每桶66.12美元。

  特朗普政府启动调查进口中型和重型卡车及零部件对国家安全的影响,这是其关税计划的延伸。

  根据《联邦公报》的通知,美国商务部的这项调查将评估“少数”外国供应商带来的国家安全影响,称这些供应商能够主导美国进口的部分原因在于政府补贴和“掠夺性贸易行为”。调查内容还包括本土制造商能否满足美国需求,以及外国利用出口限制“将对卡车及零部件供应的控制武器化”的可能性。

  重量超过10000磅的卡车以及零部件和衍生品将受到调查。

  商务部在4月22日启动的调查是正在推进的五项贸易调查之一,其他四项分别涉及铜、木材及制品、半导体以及药品。

  这些调查均依据《贸易扩展法》第232条款展开,通常在270天内得出结论,但特朗普政府已开始加快执行贸易政策。

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