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  一、信披不及时遭警示

  上海沪紫律师事务所刘鹏律师代理的投资者诉万通发展(维权)证券虚假陈述一案已获一审胜诉。案件回溯,2023年3月29日,万通发展收到一则警示函,上交所对公司控股股东嘉华控股及其一致行动人万通控股予以监管警示,此事源于未及时披露重大事项。(刘鹏律师专栏)

  2023年2月6日,公司控股股东及其一致行动人合计持有的1.06亿股公司股份被冻结,占公司总股本的5.17%。就前述事项,相关股东已收到中国证券登记结算有限责任公司出具的《股权司法冻结及司法划转通知》,但迟迟未披露。直到上交所多次发出监管工作函和问询函,要求其核实相关情况并及时履行信息披露义务,不过公司非但不履行信披义务,反而在股份被冻结,且未及时披露的时间段内进行了减持操作,直到2023年2月20日才进行相关信息的披露,给公司股价带来了较大的影响,严重侵害了投资者的知情权。

  二、投资者可提起诉讼

  上市公司信息披露违法违规行为是违反《证券法》相关规定的,新《证券法》第八十五条中规定了信息披露违法违规致使投资者在证券交易中遭受损失的,信息披露义务人应当承担赔偿责任。依据法院判决支持的索赔条件为于2023年2月8日-2023年2月17日期间买入,并在2023年2月18日之后卖出或仍持有而亏损的还可报名。(万通发展维权入口)

  凡是在上述区间内有交易记录并遭受损失的即可积极参与维权。关于本案的维权时效,依据三年诉讼时效原则,其诉讼时效尚未届满,建议尽早加入维权挽回损失。中国证监会历来秉持“零容忍”原则,致力于维护市场秩序和保护广大投资者的合法权益。在此背景下,受损投资者应积极采取行动,维护自身权益。

  (本文由上海沪紫律师事务所刘鹏律师供稿,不代表新浪财经的观点。刘鹏律师,专注证券维权19年,自2006年执业以来,成功为中青宝、国华网安(维权)、劲嘉股份(维权)等300余家上市公司的中小投资者成功维权,案件在办数量超过14000起,胜诉率达99.2%。作为业内资深证券维权律师,刘鹏律师精准把握案件核心,诉讼经验丰富,索赔策略高效,为投资者争取最大权益,维权实力行业领先。证券维权,选对律师是关键!专业决定胜算,经验确保结果,首选刘鹏律师,让您的索赔更稳妥、更高效!)

  来源:金十数据

  黄金已悄然上位成为市场“首选”避险资产!而这一切和特朗普脱不了干系。

  近期的贸易动荡推动投资者涌向避险资产,黄金价格因此一路飙升,而作为竞争性资产的美国国债和美元则出现下跌。

  澳大利亚联邦银行矿业和能源大宗商品研究主管VivekDhar表示,这与美国总统特朗普执政下美国贸易政策的巨大转变有关,黄金已“填补空白”,成为市场首选的避险资产。

  Dhar补充说:“近期这种涌向避险资产需求的独特之处在于,美元和美国国债的避险吸引力下降,导致它们遭到抛售。”

  黄金价格持续创下新高,周二触及每盎司3500美元,更多分析师预测金价将进一步上涨。摩根大通预计这种贵金属将在2026年第二季度达到4000美元,并在2025年第四季度达到平均每盎司3675美元。

  相反,最近几周美国国债出现抛售,30年期国债收益率本月早些时候触及2023年11月以来的最高水平。同时,美元指数一直在下跌,LSEG数据显示,今年迄今已累计下跌8%。

  尽管今年迄今30年期美债收益率仅上涨约2个基点,但特朗普宣布对等关税后一周内,该收益率飙升超过30个基点——基准的10年期美债收益率也飙升了30个基点。同时,LSEG数据显示,今年迄今现货黄金价格已上涨25%。

  尽管长期美国国债收益率已从本月早些时候触及的高点回落,且随着特朗普收回了关于解雇美联储主席鲍威尔的言论,美元小幅走强,但美国资产在投资者中的地位已受到打击。

  世界黄金协会策略师JohnReade指出:“虽然这远非一个‘美元消亡论’的故事,但公平地说,人们对美国及其经济和主要资产——美元和美国国债——的信心已经减弱了。”

  为何掀起“淘金热”?

  美国国债收益率与黄金之间传统的负相关关系似乎已经破裂。通常,当收益率较高时,由于持有不支付利息的黄金机会成本更高,黄金的吸引力会随之下降。

  UniversityofWaikato会计、金融与经济学院讲师MichaelRyan表示,黄金的抗通胀属性使其变得“特殊”。

  Ryan说,预计关税将推高美国通胀,这意味着未来利率会更高,这反过来又会对美国国债构成压力。

  他补充道:“然而,从历史上看,黄金被认为是规避通胀的工具,这或许解释了为何人们偏爱它——因此,或许正是黄金这种被认为的抗通胀特性使其变得‘特殊’。”

  分析师认为,导致黄金和美国国债之间传统关系破裂的另一个因素,可能是人们对美国和“美国例外论”叙事的信心下降。

  ANZ大宗商品策略师SoniKumari表示:“由于经济和地缘政治的不确定性,人们对美国资产的信任正在减弱。”

  市场普遍认为特朗普的贸易战是一个政策失误,而黄金被认为独立于任何货币和财政政策,这也提升了其吸引力。

  贺利氏高级贵金属交易员AlexanderZumpfe表示:“与货币或政府债券不同,黄金不带有信用风险,并且与单一国家的经济或政治轨迹无关。”在对传统金融工具的信心动摇时期,这一点尤为重要。

  进一步提升黄金吸引力的是美元吸引力的减弱。美元走弱通常会使以美元定价的大宗商品(包括黄金)对持有其他货币的人来说更具吸引力。

  多元化驱动

  新加坡银行首席投资策略师EliLee表示,与发达市场同行相比,新兴市场央行过去一直低配黄金。现在它们已转向黄金,并可能继续成为强劲买家,因为它们正在分散其以美元计价的储备持有。

  近期美元的抛售引发了关于全球“去美元化”的讨论,让人质疑美元作为世界储备货币的吸引力,其中,黄金曾多次被提出作为潜在的替代性主要储备货币。

  Dhar说:“各国意识到,黄金可能是规避美国因不遵循其政策而冻结货币储备的潜在对冲。”

  Dhar补充道,虽然美元抛售对黄金有利,但考虑到运输和仓储黄金的成本——且黄金是一种不支付利息的资产,这限制了其吸引力——目前仍难以看到未来会出现美元的大幅转移。

  此外,FranklinIncomeInvestors投资组合经理ToddBrighton表示,虽然人们对美国国债的避险地位进行了一点重新评估,但考虑到它是世界上流动性最强的市场,最终仍然“非常难以”取代。

  他说,随着世界正转向一个更多极化的世界,美国国债作为避险资产的地位不会在短期内被取代。黄金仍然是该行预计的杰出资产。FranklinIncomeInvestors认为宏观经济风险和相对轻的投资者仓位相结合,为进一步上涨奠定了基础。分析师表示:“我们认为这——以及黄金市场的其他潜在下跌——都是投资者做多黄金的机会。”

  风险提示及免责条款:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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