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婚前教育by鱼一三:畅谈学习与生活的妙趣横生之处
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4月23日,金丰来表示,近期黄金价格飙升至每盎司3500美元,比特币价格也突破9万美元,而美元指数则徘徊在三年来的低点附近,这些现象可能预示着全球金融秩序正在发生更深层次的结构性变化。

  金丰来认为:“黄金有时可以被视为政策制定者‘疯狂’行为的最直接指标。”他提到,关税政策正在扰乱金融流动。他将当前的金融结构比作一只对冲基金,无论是国内还是国外的参与者都借入美元进行海外投资。当贸易流动受到干扰时,金融流动也会受到影响。这意味着未来需要更多地通过国内融资来弥补赤字。

  金丰来还提到,全球多家央行正在积极购买黄金,这或许是一种去美元化的趋势。他强调,未来资产配置可能会发生变化,黄金是其中的受益者之一。国际货币基金组织(IMF)预计全球经济增长率仅为2.8%,这是自疫情以来的最低水平,而国债收益率则上升至4.37%以上。金丰来警告称,经营成本正在上升,全球运营变得更加昂贵。

  金丰来还提到,市场波动加剧部分是由于近期对美联储主席的公开批评。他警告说,如果美联储真的因为压力而降低利率,人们可能会认为这是受到了外界干预的结果。他强调,目前尚未看到长期通胀预期出现明显变化。

  金丰来认为,投资者应密切关注美联储主席任期结束后的继任者人选。这一决定将向市场传递出特朗普政府所能施加的压力有多大。对于金丰来而言,黄金仍然是一个战略性配置。他个人的风险承受能力中包含大量黄金和黄金矿业投资,但他不会将这种偏好强加于他人。

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