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拔萝卜哼哼唧唧原声|探究背后的逻辑
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拔萝卜哼哼唧唧原声|探究背后的逻辑

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  本报记者 刘 萌

  消费是我国经济增长的重要引擎。最近几天,多地相继出台或部署了新一轮扩内需促消费政策。

  4月22日,吉林省人民政府办公厅印发《吉林省提振消费专项行动实施方案》,其中提出2025年省级财政安排3亿元,省与市或县1:1配比后,发放6亿元消费券,支持各地开展促销活动;同日,辽宁省印发《辽宁省提振消费6条政策》。

  还有一批提振消费政策“在路上”。4月22日,广东省召开省政府常务会议,审议《广东省提振消费专项行动实施方案》,强调要全力挖掘新的消费增长点,优化离境退税“即买即退”服务,积极促进入境消费,结合“五一”、端午假期推出系列文旅促消费活动,抓住十五运会契机掀起体育消费、健康消费热潮,大力开发人工智能、机器人、低空经济等新技术应用场景,加快培育新型消费;同日,浙江省委书记王浩在杭州专题调研入境旅游和外贸工作时强调,抢抓“五一”消费旺季,创新多元化消费场景,积极推进“入浙游”大模型应用,打造一批消费“爆款”和热点。

  中国信息协会常务理事、国研新经济研究院创始院长朱克力在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,近期各地陆续推出的刺激消费政策主要围绕文旅消费、加快更新大宗消费、数字消费创新和民生领域展开。这些政策组合既有立竿见影的短期刺激,又包含培育新型消费生态的长远考虑,反映出地方政府在经济复苏中兼顾治标与治本的平衡思维。

  家电等大宗消费具有消费占比高、产业链长、带动力强的特点。4月23日,商务部消费促进司负责人谈2025年一季度我国消费市场情况时表示,一季度以旧换新成效明显,绿色智能产品销售快速增长。

  从各地新一轮支持政策来看,以旧换新继续“加量”。以吉林为例,上述《吉林省提振消费专项行动实施方案》提出,在用好年度内国家超长期特别国债资金基础上,省级财政再安排2亿元,加力支持实施消费品以旧换新;在家电、手机、家装等领域建立“即买即补”“支付立减”“即买即送”“送新收旧”“上门服务”等机制,让政策直达消费者,增强消费者获得感。

  苏商银行特约研究员付一夫向《证券日报》记者表示,二季度,在外部不确定性因素反复的情况下,预计国内稳增长、扩内需的政策力度会进一步加码,而后续随着一揽子稳增长措施的不断推进,以及各项促消费政策协同作用效果逐步显现,预计消费市场的持续向好态势将会得以延续。

  朱克力认为,近期,文旅消费受益于“五一”假期和政策加持将快速回暖,各地发放新一轮消费券也将对餐饮、商超等即时消费起到立竿见影的提振作用。

  谈及如何激发市场活力,更好释放消费潜能,付一夫表示,首先,进一步创新线上线下消费场景,充分考虑消费者在不同消费情景下的消费诉求,激发其消费意愿;其次,进一步优化消费供给,不断丰富产品品类,提高产品与服务质量,迎合消费升级的客观大势;再次,应当进一步加大力度稳就业,关键在于通过减税降费、发放补贴、减少裁员、加大金融支持力度等多个方面来稳定中小微企业的运行,从而稳住就业大盘,让越来越多的人拥有更加稳定的收入来源,进而敢于消费;最后,进一步完善社会保障体系,特别是要妥善处理居民的养老、医疗问题,解决民众消费的后顾之忧。

  支持上海国际金融中心建设、提升跨境金融服务便利化

  央行等多部门携手为企业全球化发展注入金融“活水”

  ◎记者张琼斯韩宋辉

  中国人民银行4月23日举办新闻发布会,介绍《上海国际金融中心进一步提升跨境金融服务便利化行动方案》(下称《行动方案》)有关情况。据了解,以《行动方案》出台为契机,各方将优化跨境金融服务政策,更好服务企业跨境展业兴业,为企业全球化发展注入更多金融“活水”。

  增强上海国际金融中心竞争力影响力

  日前,中国人民银行、金融监管总局、国家外汇局和上海市人民政府联合印发了《行动方案》,从提高跨境结算效率、优化汇率避险服务、强化融资服务等五方面提出了18条举措。

  中国人民银行党委委员、副行长陆磊表示,《行动方案》有两个核心要点:一是突出上海国际金融中心建设;二是聚焦提升跨境金融服务便利化。

  “上海国际金融中心建设取得了重大进展,人民币金融资产配置和风险管理中心建设步伐显著加快,跨境交易和资金流动便利性大幅提升,金融生态持续优化。”陆磊坦言,但与金融强国目标要求相比仍然存在一定差距,需要有针对性地加以改进和提升。

  陆磊表示,以《行动方案》出台为契机,中国人民银行将不断优化跨境金融服务政策工具箱,形成更加适配外向型经济的金融体系。

  上海市委常委、常务副市长吴伟表示,将全力配合金融监管部门抓紧推动《行动方案》落地落实,确保每项举措都能转化为企业看得见、摸得着的实际红利,更好服务企业跨境展业兴业,为企业全球化发展注入更多金融“活水”。

  降低企业跨境交易的时间和资金成本

  上海是中资企业“走出去”的桥头堡。《行动方案》推出系列金融支持政策,赋能中资企业“走出去”。

  “当前全球产业链、供应链深度调整,越来越多的中国企业‘出海’寻求新的发展机遇。上海是中国对外开放的重要窗口,上海自贸试验区具备先行先试的制度优势。”吴伟在回答上海证券报记者提问时表示,《行动方案》将对更好地服务企业“走出去”起到重要作用。

  《行动方案》将助力企业增强全球化的经营能力。吴伟表示,《行动方案》提高跨境结算效率、优化外汇业务管理模式等措施,有助于减少企业跨境交易时间和资金成本,提升企业资金管理效率,拓宽企业融资渠道,助力企业扩大海外市场份额;完善汇率避险服务、加强保险保障等措施可以帮助企业更好应对跨境业务相关风险,增强企业参与国际经济合作的信心和能力。

  国家外汇局外汇研究中心主任陈之为介绍,《行动方案》针对服务“走出去”企业出台的政策还包括:优化外债登记管理和跨境担保流程,更好满足企业“走出去”过程中存在的银团贷款需求等。

  “提高金融服务企业‘走出去’能级,需要监管部门、地方政府、金融机构共同努力。”吴伟透露,上海将在近期举办金融服务企业“走出去”推进大会,启动覆盖全市16个区的“百园千企送金融”活动,组织金融机构深入园区楼宇,面对面了解企业需求,精准提供金融服务。

  为企业拓展海外市场保驾护航

  《行动方案》还将为企业拓展海外市场抵御风险、保驾护航。

  吴伟介绍,通过新推出的“汇率避险政策性担保”业务,企业无须缴纳保证金即可办理人民币与外汇衍生产品相关业务,能够帮助企业有效、低成本地规避汇率风险。

  作为“保险的保险”,再保险深耕特殊领域海外风险管理,专注解决企业在“走出去”过程中面临的各类棘手问题。金融监管总局财产保险监管司司长尹江鳌表示,金融监管总局先后出台三份政策文件,从准入、监管、财税等方面支持再保险机构业务人才等在上海集聚。

  陆磊表示,在提升跨境金融服务便利化的同时,必须高度注重风险防控体系建设,积极运用大数据、人工智能、区块链等技术来提升金融监管数字化水平,完善跨境资金流动监测预警和响应机制,加强法治供给,营造良好环境。

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