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麻豆精品新区乱码卡:对比之下的突出优势分析
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澳门特别行政区

  美国总统特朗普在暗示,如果美联储不尽快降息,他将把贸易战造成的任何经济疲软都归咎于美联储。在这一过程中,他也可能试图削弱美联储的有效性,通过这种方式让这个历来独立的机构失去合法性。

  特朗普在周一的社交媒体帖子中重申了上周的主张,要求美联储现在就应该降低利率。他说:“通货膨胀几乎不存在。”他抨击美联储主席鲍威尔是“太迟先生”,是个“大输家”。他还指责美联储去年秋天降息是为了影响2024年大选。他写道:“鲍威尔一直都‘太迟’了,除了去年选举的时候,他当时降息是为了帮助“瞌睡乔”(SleepyJoeBiden)和后来的卡玛拉当选。”

  特朗普在TruthSocial上发布的帖子中阐述了他对美联储长期以来的一种观点,那就是美联储应该更积极地响应总统的要求。根据他的声明以及其他顾问的看法,美联储远非超然于华盛顿政治之外,而是早已政治化了。鲍威尔及其同僚曾表示,美联储在制定政策时不会考虑政治因素。在担任主席的七年里,鲍威尔大部分时间都在努力巩固美联储的非政治性基因。美联储曾在2008年全球金融危机过后遭受猛烈的政治攻击。

  “我们将只根据……我们对数据的最佳分析来做决定,”鲍威尔上周表示。“这是我们唯一会做的事情。”

  一些分析师表示,特朗普对美联储的攻击就是想让美联储为即将到来的经济疲软背锅。前得克萨斯州共和党参议员菲尔-格拉姆(PhilGramm)说:“人们很容易想找人救场,至少要找个人来当替罪羊。”

  RenaissanceMacroResearch的经济研究主管尼尔-达塔(NeilDutta)表示,特朗普及其顾问曾说去年经济不需要低利率,现在却需要更低的利率,他们在放松政策方面没有采取一种具有逻辑一致性的主张。达塔说:“美联储去年降息不是为了帮拜登。他们降息是为了帮劳动力市场,当时劳动力市场实际上因为高利率而放缓。”他预计,由于特朗普反复无常的贸易政策,本季度经济很可能陷入衰退,而美联储对此无能为力。

  周一美国股市当日收盘大幅下跌,道琼斯工业平均指数收跌971.82点,跌幅2.48%,标准普尔500指数收跌2.36%,纳斯达克综合指数收跌2.55%。当天稍早前,美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体平台“真实社交”上发文,再次敦促美国联邦储备委员会作出降息决定。周二黄金价格在亚洲市场早盘上涨,可能受避险需求推动。洲际交易所数据显示,现货金价上涨0.5%,至每盎司3,440.04美元,此前一度触及每盎司3,444.41美元的盘中纪录高位。美国总统特朗普周一在社交媒体上发帖再次呼吁美联储立即降息,称通货膨胀正呈下降趋势,而经济增长可能会放缓,除非“太迟先生这个大输家现在就降息”。

  道明证券分析师MollyBrooks表示,特朗普不太可能解雇鲍威尔,此举将引发漫长的法律斗争。由于鲍威尔的任期将于2026年5月结束,现在试图把他赶下台可能不值得,Brooks认为这是一种风险回报因素。不过必须承认特朗普干预美联储的风险是华尔街的另一个担忧,市场非常紧张。

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