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  澳元和新西兰元成为最新果断抽离“解放日”跌势的G-10货币,美元则难以重拾魔力。

  彭博美元即期指数在10月以来最低水平附近徘徊,而澳元和新西兰元势将连续第五天上涨,创出约一年来的最长连涨纪录。除挪威克朗外,所有G-10货币都收复了美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在4月2日“解放日”宣布对等关税所引发的失地。

  在风险敏感型货币的反弹加速之前,美国对受欢迎的消费电子产品暂缓加收关税,上周也宣布较高对等关税被暂停执行。与此同时,美元空头押注反映出,投资者担心特朗普混乱的关税政策削弱了美元的避险地位,同时提高了美国经济衰退的可能性。

  “美国政策公信力受到损害,政策不确定性风险溢价可能会持续一段时间,”西太平洋银行驻悉尼外汇策略主管RichardFranulovich称。“我们预计美元将持续走软。”

  澳元和新西兰元在过去五个交易日上涨近7%,超过了所有其他G-10货币的同期涨幅,澳大利亚央行对未来降息的谨慎态度为澳元提供了额外支撑。

  “我们看到澳元和新西兰元从大幅下跌中反弹,得益于市场情绪企稳以及市场波动性下降,”澳新银行驻悉尼分析师FelixRyan称。

  不过他表示,这些货币的上行空间应会有限,并补充称风险情绪仍然不稳定,而且美国关税政策存在不确定性。

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