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  Carmignac跨资产业务负责人表示,新兴市场股票正在翻过多年来表现严重不佳的一页,建议逢涨卖出美股,并将资金配置到新兴市场。

  这家资产管理规模为339亿欧元(385亿美元)的公司预计美元会进一步下跌。

  “我们看到资金从美国向世界其他地区轮动,这意味着美元可能会走弱,”FredericLeroux于4月22日表示。“在经历了15年的跑输表现之后,新兴市场可能再次大放异彩。”

  新兴市场股指今年迄今已上涨1.4%,势将五年来首次超过跑赢全球其他地区主要股指,一项汇率指标已上涨2.7%。

  投资界对新兴市场的乐观看法日益升温,这与几个月前投资者对新兴市场的压倒性悲观看法形成巨大反差。

  今日,记者在深圳金融监管局召开的新闻发布会上获悉,截至3月末,该局监管的银行业总资产13.87万亿元,各项贷款余额9.79万亿元,各项存款余额10.21万亿元;监管的保险机构实现保费收入639.72亿元,同比增长4.40%。

  其中,普惠型小微企业贷款余额1.91万亿元,同比增长7.3%。新发放贷款利率同比再降0.33个百分点,不良率保持1.5%的较低水平。

  与此同时,作为“中国外贸第一城”,深圳金融机构正积极应对外贸变局,全国首单“跨境电商保”保险试点落地,多家银行推出跨境结算、融资及汇率避险专项服务。

  小微企业贷款余额达2.93万亿

  一季度,深圳在普惠金融方面表现尤为亮眼。截至3月末,深圳全口径小微企业贷款余额2.93万亿元,同比增长5.8%,其中普惠型小微企业贷款余额1.91万亿元,同比增长7.3%,连续五年居全国大中城市首位。综合融资成本进一步下降,新发放的普惠型小微企业贷款利率同比下降0.33个百分点。资产质量整体可控,普惠型小微企业贷款不良率1.50%,比各项贷款不良率低0.10个百分点,维持在较低水平。

  “园区贷”方面,截至3月末,试点银行对试点园区内企业授信金额115.38亿元,发放贷款65.38亿元,平均贷款利率3.50%。

  外贸方面,截至3月末,深圳外贸企业贷款达1.1万亿元。继续实施出口信用保险“大统保”,推动出口信用保险实现全市中小外贸企业全覆盖,2024年服务小微企业突破2.2万家,支持企业出口909.1亿美元,同比增长27.5%。

  积极应对关税影响

  深圳一直被认为是“中国外贸第一城”。深圳海关数据显示,2024年深圳进出口总额达4.5万亿元,连续多年实现快速增长。其中出口总额2.81万亿元,连续32年居内地城市首位。跨境电商是贯通国内国际双循环的重要引擎,而深圳拥有超过12万家贸易型企业,约占全国总数的一半,进出口总额达3720亿元,占全国总量的14%。

  随着美国“对等关税”落地,深圳市金融机构如何积极准备应对措施?

  记者注意到,近期深圳保险业推出诸多创新举措。

  记者从深圳金融监管局处获悉,近日,深圳财险业6家机构共同签发全国首单“跨境电商保”保证保险,标志着保险创新服务跨境电商深圳试点正式启动。

  业内一般认为,传统跨境电商企业境内采买的现款交易模式制约了跨境电商行业的发展,导致跨境电商企业“有单不能接”。同时全球贸易不确定不稳定因素增多,现款采购使外贸交易面临的流动性风险增大,导致跨境电商企业“有单不敢接”。

  “跨境电商保”则可一定程度上解决上述痛点。该产品以深圳地区跨境电商为投保人,依托真实贸易场景,开发期限短、费率低、保障灵活的专属保证险产品,承保跨境电商对外应付账款风险,为跨境电商境内赊购采买提供信用支持。其由深圳辖内6家保险机构按市场化、法治化原则组成共保体,加强信息共享、提升承保能力、分散业务风险。

  此外,中国信保深圳分公司相关负责人在会上表示,针对“对等关税”对外贸企业带来的挑战,目前中国信保深圳分公司一方面提升美国项下案件的处理优先级,加快案件处理速度;另一方面通过提升限额满足率及限额审批时效,支持企业积极向“一带一路”相关国家、东盟国家、RCEP成员国扩大出口规模,对冲不利影响。

  深圳银行业也在开立账户、跨境结算、融资、外汇管理等方面加大对企业的金融支持。

  跨境结算方面,工商银行深圳分行方面透露,计划通过与主流跨境电商平台、公共服务平台及外贸综合服务平台合作,为跨境电商出口企业提供高效便利的一站式开户、收结汇、数据报送等多元化服务;建设银行深圳分行也推出跨境电商阳光化产品,可为企业提供高效合规、零成本、线上化跨境收结汇服务,助力电商企业经营降本增效。

  资金支持方面,多家银行针对小微外贸企业推出融资产品。工商银行深圳分行方面透露,基于亚马逊等平台的交易数据,推出“跨境电商贷”,给予最高500万元的纯信用贷款,在利率方面也将提供差异化支持,并受影响的外贸企业开启续贷绿色通道,帮助受影响的企业释放流动性;中国银行深圳分行制定《外贸小微客群服务方案》,通过“出口E贷”、“跨境E贷”、跨境电商贷、汇率保值业务等产品为外贸小微企业提供差异化融资服务;建设银行深圳分行创新推出了国内首个全线上、无抵押的融资产品——“跨境快贷”,小微外贸企业客户只需登录国际贸易“单一窗口”完成几步操作,即可获得低成本融资服务。

  汇率避险方面,也有银行针对性推出方案。中国银行深圳分行称,提供汇率避险保值服务,依托推出的中小微企业防范极端汇率风险方案,加大对美贸易小微企业的专项关注和服务。

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