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  天齐锂业一季度预计净利润8200万元至1.23亿元,同比扭亏。

  4月23日晚间,天齐锂业(002466)发布业绩预告称,预计2025年第一季度实现归母净利润为8200万元至1.23亿元,上年同期为亏损38.97亿元,同比实现扭亏为盈;预计第一季度实现扣非净利润为3200万元至4800万元,上年同期为亏损39.17亿元。

  谈及一季度业绩扭亏原因,天齐锂业表示,尽管受锂产品市场波动的影响,公司2025年第一季度锂产品销售价格较上年同期下降,但得益于公司控股子公司WindfieldHoldingsPtyLtd锂矿定价周期缩短,其全资子公司TalisonLithiumPtyLtd化学级锂精矿定价机制与公司锂化工产品销售定价机制在以前年度存在的时间周期错配的影响已大幅减弱。

  随着国内新购锂精矿陆续入库及库存锂精矿的逐步消化,公司各生产基地生产成本中耗用的化学级锂精矿成本基本贴近最新采购价格。同时,受自产工厂爬坡及技改的积极影响,公司2025年第一季度锂化合物及衍生品的产销量实现同比增长。

  此外,截至公告日,公司重要的联营公司SociedadQuímicayMineradeChileS.A.(以下简称“SQM”)尚未公告其2025年第一季度业绩报告。

  公司全面考虑所能获取的可靠信息,沿用一贯方式,采用彭博社预测的SQM2025年第一季度每股收益等信息为基础来计算同期公司对SQM的投资收益。鉴于SQM税务争议裁决对其净利润的影响已于2024年度确认,根据前述彭博社预测数据,SQM2025年第一季度业绩预计将同比增长,因此公司在本报告期确认的对该联营公司的投资收益较上年同期增长。

  值得一提的是,天齐锂业近期也发布了2024年成绩单。3月26日晚间,天齐锂业公告,2024年公司实现营业收入130.63亿元,同比下降67.75%;归母净利润亏损79.05亿元,上期同期盈利72.97亿元。

  在财报中,该公司表示,尽管公司2024年度锂化合物及衍生品的产销量实现同比增长,但受到锂产品市场波动的影响,报告期内锂产品的市场价格整体呈现大幅下滑趋势,公司锂产品销售价格及毛利较上年同期大幅下降。同时受公司控股子公司泰利森化学级锂精矿定价机制与公司锂化工产品销售定价机制存在时间周期的错配影响,报告期公司经营业绩出现阶段性亏损。

  此后,天齐锂业召开了业绩说明会。其中公司对后续锂产品价格和供需情况展望等是投资者关注的重点。

  天齐锂业表示,从需求来看,公司对新能源行业的长期发展有信心。2024年,全球能源转型已进入关键阶段。从速度、规模、强度三个维度来看,目前全球锂行业仍然处于发展的上升期。因此从中长期来看,公司认为锂行业基本面在未来几年将持续向好。

  值得一提的是,2024年,中国新能源汽车继续快速增长,年产销量首次突破1000万辆。根据中国汽车工业协会统计数据,2024年,在政策利好、供给丰富、价格降低和基础设施持续改善等多重因素共同作用下,中国新能源汽车持续增长,产销量同比增长超过30%。同时,2024年度中国锂离子电池出货量同比增长也超过30%,在全球锂离子电池总体出货量的占比达78.6%。由此可见,2024年全球动力和储能电池仍维持着整体增长的态势。

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