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  ◎记者赵明超

  ETF再迎历史性时刻,全市场ETF规模首次突破4万亿元。

  从近期资金流向看,“国家队”等各路增量资金持续加仓,仅4月7日以来,权益类ETF净申购额超过2300亿元。尤其在市场震荡之时,ETF成交频放量,长线资金买入信号更加显著,对于稳市场、稳预期具有重要作用。与此同时,超70只指数基金正在或即将发行,更多增量资金入市可期。

  ETF规模突破4万亿元

  据Choice测算,截至4月18日,ETF总规模达到4.01万亿元。其中,权益类ETF规模合计超过3.3万亿元,占比超过八成。

  千亿级权益类ETF频现。截至4月18日,华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF规模为3757.12亿元,这也是目前国内规模最大的ETF。易方达沪深300ETF规模为2599.62亿元,华夏沪深300ETF规模逼近2000亿元,达到1906.83亿元。此外,华夏上证50ETF、嘉实沪深300ETF规模都超过1600亿元,南方中证500ETF规模也在千亿元以上。

  其中,华夏沪深300ETF、华夏上证50ETF等“巨无霸”份额频创历史新高。

  ETF规模快速突破4万亿元,得益于长线资金的进场。

  4月7日,中央汇金及中国国新、中国诚通等国有资本运营平台宣布增持ETF。据测算,截至4月18日,4月7日以来,权益类ETF净申购额合计超过2300亿元。

  事实上,长线资金已是ETF的重要持有人。在2024年初,中央汇金开始增持多种类型的ETF。截至2024年6月底,中央汇金的ETF持仓金额猛增至5905亿元,持仓范围也进一步扩大,涵盖中证1000ETF、创业板ETF、科创板ETF等。在2024年下半年的震荡行情中,中央汇金增持步履不停。截至2024年底,中央汇金持有ETF金额合计突破万亿元。

  “过去五年,指数投资生态越来越完善,大量原本未参与指数投资的个人投资者和机构投资者开始使用指数化投资工具。”易方达基金指数研究部总经理庞亚平表示,以保险、银行理财等为代表的中长期资金也持续入市。

  ETF成为市场稳定器

  4月7日至9日,在市场出现大幅波动时,巨量资金买入,权益类ETF净申购额累计达到2013.05亿元。仅在4月8日,权益类ETF净申购额超过1100亿元,创ETF单日净申购额纪录。

  4月14日以来,大资金买入信号依然十分显著,ETF尾盘频放量。

  例如,4月16日,市场震荡调整,在临近尾盘时,多只大盘蓝筹风格ETF成交量骤然放大。以华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF为例,当日成交额为83.73亿元,最后20分钟成交额为56.12亿元,占全天成交额的近七成。从资金流向看,据Choice测算,4月16日,权益类ETF净申购额超过290亿元。

  在业内人士看来,大资金真金白银扫货,在为市场带来增量资金的同时,也提振了投资者的信心。

  “历史上中央汇金等长线资金入市对于对冲风险、提振市场信心有积极意义。从投资者结构来看,当前A股仍以个人投资者为主,在外部超预期利空影响下,市场较容易出现非理性回调。中央汇金等长线资金购买股票ETF直接为市场提供资金支持,化解资金面负反馈,对于稳市场、稳预期具有重要作用。”中金公司分析师黄凯松表示。

  更多增量资金可期

  在资金持续借助ETF入市的同时,指数基金“货架”仍在密集上新,后续增量资金可期。截至4月20日,共有52只指数基金正在发行,另有20只指数基金发布基金份额发售公告,即将启动发行。

  此外,新品持续上报。4月14日以来,首批4只科创综指增强策略ETF相继上报。从此前科创综指相关基金的发行来看,较为火热。据统计,科创综指ETF及联接基金合计募集规模已超400亿元,其中,15只科创综指ETF已上市,募集规模合计228亿元,14只已发行ETF联接基金,募集规模合计176亿元。此外,近期,场外科创综指产品已获批16只。

  随着增量资金持续进场,站在当前时点,多家机构对后市持较为乐观的态度。建信基金认为,当前A股估值已处于较低区间,耐心资本和产业资本有望在资金层面为市场提供有力支撑。随着上市公司财报披露期的到来,基本面定价的重要性逐步抬升,看好内外需低相关、科技成长、红利和内需政策发力四大方向的投资机会。

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