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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  21世纪经济报道记者杨坪深圳报道

  自“并购六条”发布以来,A股市场并购重组持续火爆。

  以深市为例,2024年9月24日以来,深市新增披露701单并购重组,金额合计2155亿元。其中重大资产重组76单,金额合计512亿元,分别同比增长192%、26%。2025年4月以来新增重大资产重组12单,环比增加300%。

  梳理来看,产业整合类并购仍是主流,围绕新质生产力方向的整合已成趋势,各种典型案例不断出现,包括试水未盈利资产收购,上市公司之间收购整合,拟IPO企业转向重组实现证券化,跨境并购等。

  产业整合占据主流

  据了解,新增披露的68单资产收购(不含资产出售)重组项目中,53单为产业链上下游及同行业并购,占比近八成,上市公司深耕产业链上下游、围绕主业开展整合升级、提升核心竞争力的产业整合逻辑基本确立。

  如EDA龙头企业华大九天(301269.SZ)收购芯和半导体,有利于打造全谱系全流程能力,构建从芯片到系统级的EDA解决方案。

  15单跨界并购中,超九成拟收购标的均符合新质生产力发展方向,四成为实际控制人主导资产注入。

  事实上,自“并购六条”发布以来,新增披露重组中,上市公司围绕科技创新和产业布局,向新质生产力方向整合升级已成为主流趋势。

  从标的所处行业看,电子、医药生物、化工、机械设备等高端制造业和战略性新兴产业数量占比过半,71%的新增披露重组标的符合新质生产力方向。如光智科技(300489.SZ)收购ITO靶材企业先导电科,友阿股份(002277.SZ)收购高性能半导体功率器件企业尚阳通。

  与此同时,还有部分上市公司谨慎试水未盈利资产“收购”。

  “并购六条”指出,支持上市公司开展基于转型升级为目标的跨行业并购及对未盈利资产的收购。随后,部分上市公司基于补链强链、提升关键技术水平等需要,筹划收购优质未盈利资产。

  2024年9月24日以来新增披露重组中,8单涉及收购未盈利资产,除1单为跨界并购外,其余7单均为有助于补链强链的产业整合类并购,不存在亏损上市公司收购大额亏损标的、收购后上市公司由盈转亏等情形。

  如橡胶助剂企业阳谷华泰(300121.SZ)跨界并购波米科技,标的公司主营聚酰亚胺材料,实现半导体封装关键材料进口替代,报告期内有一定亏损但持续收窄,亏损金额远低于上市公司盈利,且扣除股份支付费用后已实现盈利。

  23单拟IPO企业“转道”重组

  近年来,以“并购六条”为代表的系列并购重组政策提出,支持上市公司加强产业链整合,加快发展新质生产力,进一步增强监管包容度,持续提升交易效率。市场各方积极响应,重组市场活跃度较前期低谷明显回升。

  期间,拟IPO企业通过并购重组实现资产证券化的意愿明显提高。据了解,新增披露重组中,23单涉及收购拟IPO企业,其中5家为创业板撤回企业,4家为科创板撤回企业,11家曾接受IPO辅导。

  值得一提的是,拟IPO企业转向并购重组后,估值普遍出现明显下降。如佛塑科技(000973)并购标的金力新能源2022年12月申报科创板时投前估值约93亿元,重组预估作价下降至约54亿元。

  与此同时,上市公司间产业整合趋于活跃。

  “并购六条”支持上市公司之间吸收合并,支持沪深北交易所上市公司展开多方面合作,助力打造特色产业集群。产业龙头上市公司加速“A并A”“上市公司间吸收合并”。去年9月24日以来,1家上市公司拟进行吸收合并,即海联讯吸收合并杭汽轮B,提升存续上市公司投资价值。

  收购上市公司子公司、新三板挂牌企业也成为并购新路径。

  2024年9月24日以来,1家上市公司拟收购其他上市公司子公司,如威尔泰(002058)收购沪市公司紫江企业(600210)从事锂电池材料业务的子公司,助力业务转型升级;3家上市公司拟收购新三板挂牌企业,如因赛集团(300781)收购从事公关传播业务的新三板挂牌公司智者品牌,打造全链路营销服务平台。

  跨境并购亦呈现边际复苏迹象。

  近年来,出于寻找新的增长点、降低海外关税压力等需求,上市公司积极通过跨境并购“走出去”,优质境外标的受产业方更多关注。“并购六条”以来,深市2家上市公司筹划跨境重组,如光弘科技(300735)收购AllCircuitsS.A.S.100%股权及TISCircuitsSARL0.003%股权,进一步补链强链。 

  21世纪经济报道记者叶麦穗广州报道

  防范和化解利差损风险,是寿险业高质量发展的前提。在长端利率下行背景下,保险公司提高投资收益的同时,进一步压降负债成本是市场普遍共识。

  21世纪经济报道记者注意到,在部分头部寿险公司提出“分红险占比超过50%”目标后,2025年初,新华、国寿、平安、太保、太平等头部寿险公司发力分红险销售。对此,招商证券非银首席分析师郑积沙指出,分红险或成为险企未来转型的胜负手,包括今年的未来三年分红险合计增量将达18058亿元。

  险企开年发力分红险

  由于担忧利差损,自2025年保险“开门红”以来,新上市的分红险、万能险等浮动收益型产品数量和占比出现双增。头部险企都在此类产品上摩拳擦掌,成为今年寿险市场竞争的重点区域。

  近日,新华人寿一口气发布了盛世荣耀智赢版终身寿险(分红型)、盛世安盈养老年金保险(分红型)两款分红险产品。新华保险广东分公司总经理董松芳在接受记者采访时表示,当前,在低利率与市场波动的双重挑战下,居民财富管理正加速向“稳收益、抗风险、长周期”方向转型,与此同时,保险“新国十条”明确要求“培育耐心资本,深化保险产品供给侧改革,重点发展浮动收益型产品”,在此背景下,分红险作为兼具“人身保障+保证利益+浮动收益”的长期金融工具,成为政策与市场的双重选择。

  新华人寿产品市场部总经理助理韦祎表示,当前在政策层面,保险资金作为典型的“耐心资本”,通过长期投资国家战略产业和区域建设,既支持实体经济高质量发展,也为分红险的收益提供底层支撑;市场层面,在利率下行周期中,分红险通过“保证利益托底+红利浮动分配”模式,可以帮助家庭抵御通胀与经济波动,满足长期财富保值增值需求。

  为了能够提高新引力,两款分红险已被纳入个人养老金产品目录,通过个人养老金资金账户投保,每年最高缴存额度1.2万元,每年最高节税5400元,适合想通过长期资金积累叠加减税政策,规划养老的纳税人群。

  中国保险行业协会披露的数据显示,今年一季度,人寿保险共推出新产品超170款,其中分红型、万能型人寿保险占比近四成。此外,在120余款年金保险中,分红型、万能型的年金保险占比超三成,较去年上升10个百分点。

  其实从去年开始分红险就已经初露峥嵘。部分头部险企日前披露的2024年年报显示,分红险规模正不断增长。新华保险分红型保险长期险首年保费收入从2023年的900万元迅速增长至2024年的9.18亿元,增幅高达10100%;太保寿险2024年分红型保险新保期缴规模保费达19.87亿元,同比增长1016.3%;中国平安2024年分红险规模保费约650亿元,同比增长3.7%,其在产品结构中的占比持续提升。

  行业资深理赔专家、北美高级寿险管理师孙晓四在接受记者采访时表示,分红险重回“C位”,主要有三个原因,一是利率下行与理财需求升级。银行存款利率持续走低(如大额存单进入“1%时代”),而分红险通过保底收益(如2%)和浮动分红(预期可达3%—3.5%)提供“类刚兑”属性,成为保守型投资者的避险选择。二是对抗市场波动的需求。股市、债市波动加剧,分红险通过“保障+分红”双引擎设计,既提供基础保障,又通过保险公司投资能力分享市场红利,契合投资者对“稳中求进”的诉求。

  或成为险企未来转型的胜负手

  且险企对分红险的投入会持续加大。中国平安联席首席执行官郭晓涛在此前的中国平安2024年度业绩发布会上说,未来分红险在全行业产品结构中的占比将超过50%,目前“这一趋势符合预期”。郭晓涛同时看好公司分红险产品未来表现,“以平安现在的投资回报业绩以及我们整个投资组合来看,我们非常有信心在未来和今年的发展过程中,给我们的客户在分红险上带来超越市场平均的投资回报,进一步增强我们分红险的竞争力。”

  新华保险总裁龚兴峰在此前的业绩发布会上介绍说,为应对当前利率环境及财富保值需求,新华保险建立了预定利率动态调整机制和资产负债联动工作机制,不断丰富产品供给,防范利差损风险。其中提到,将加大浮动收益型产品供给,重点加大分红型产品转型,不断推出新的分红型产品,聚焦养老财富管理功能,形成高性价比的、有特色的保障产品组合,从而带动财富保值需求的满足。

  中国人保副总裁兼人保寿险总裁肖建友则表示,人保寿险2025年将加大保障型产品及长期分红、万能等浮动收益型产品供给。

  市场认为这一转型与监管政策及市场环境紧密相关。2024年9月,金融监管总局将普通型保险产品预定利率上限下调至2.5%,分红型产品预定利率上限降至2.0%。这意味着,分红险能够为保险公司提供更多降低刚性负债的空间。而分红险的浮动收益则与险企的投资能力和投资收益密切相关。根据监管规定,保险公司为各分红保险账户确定每一年度的可分配盈余时应当遵循普遍接受的精算原理,并符合可支撑性、可持续性原则,其中分配给保单持有人的比例不低于可分配盈余的70%。

  招商证券非银首席分析师郑积沙表示:过往寿险行业每一次重要产品转型,都离不开监管政策的制定与变更。当前随着新一轮政策周期开启,分红险有望迎来全新发展机遇,甚至成为决定险企未来转型的胜负手。

  郑积沙预计,中长期来看,假设2025-2027年人身险公司原保险保费收入增速均为10%,新单保费占比均为30%,分红险在新单保费中的占比按照上市险企规划逐年提升至50%,则每年分红险新单增速分别为230%、47%和38%,规模分别为4028亿元、5908亿元和8123亿元,合计增量将达18058亿元。

  来源:兴证全球基金

  自2011年起,兴证全球基金携手媒体合作启动中国投资人峰会项目,为国内外企业领袖、投资人、学界专家等搭建一个交流分享的平台,共同探寻资本市场的新变化和新机遇,讲好中国故事、传播好中国声音。

  当宏观叙事纷繁交织,回归投资的本质变得尤为重要。

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价值投资的“可为”与“边界”在哪里?

“新经济”与“旧引擎”,如何洞察未来的投资机遇?

  2025年度中国投资人峰会将延续传统,以海内外会场联动的形式,在上海及奥马哈两地举办。

  本年度峰会以“可为”为主题,将联手财联社、腾讯新闻等媒体打造一场思想碰撞的盛会,传递价值投资和长期投资的专业声音。

  洞见机遇,创造“可为”

  共聚中国上海,美国奥马哈

  2025年度中国投资人峰会

  精彩即将开启,敬请期待

  【上海场】直播时间:4月28日14:00-17:30 

  【奥马哈场】直播时间:5月4日14:00-16:30 

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