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        青海春天(600381.SH,ST春天(3.750,-0.20,-5.06%))股价连跌三天,跌幅超过14%,

        4月16日至18日,青海春天股价连续大幅下跌,这或是因为一份关于公司的审计报告。

        4月17日,青海春天发布公告,公司年审会计师对其业绩表现进行了质疑。

        其中,2024年四季度,特别是12月份,青海春天酒水营业收入异常增长,占全年该业务销售收入的50%左右。年审会计师认为,这一增长缺乏商业合理性。

        年审会计师还表示,初步认定青海春天经调整或者扣除后的营业收入将不足人民币3亿元,将触发《上海证券交易所股票上市规则》规定的财务类退市风险警示。

        一家上市公司财务人员向长江商报记者表示,青海春天的年审会计师已对其年度报告真实性表示质疑,如果审计内容属实,该公司存在粉饰业绩等问题。

        2024年四季度收入预增111%

        2024年3月15日,央视315晚会曝光最高卖到5.86万元一瓶的听花酒,其标榜功效神奇,但该酒的国际专利未被认定。

        而听花酒是青海春天旗下产品,随后公司在成都、北京和西藏的子公司分别被罚,公司业绩也受到影响。

        2024年前三季度,青海春天实现营业收入1.98亿元,同比增长23.22%;净利润亏损9045.18万元,上年同期亏损7033.12万元。

        彼时,青海春天表示,如果公司经审计的利润总额、净利润或者扣除非经常性损益后的净利润孰低者为负值且营业收入低于3亿元,公司股票将会被实施退市风险警示。

        2025年1月,青海春天发布的2024年业绩预告显示,公司预计2024年利润总额为亏损1.37亿至1.66亿元、归属于上市公司股东的净利润为亏损1.45亿至1.74亿元、归属于上市公司股东扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为亏损1.17亿至1.46亿元。

        至此,青海春天连续5年亏损。

        不过,长江商报记者注意到,业绩预告中,青海春天介绍,公司预计2024年实现营业收入为3.11亿至3.39亿元,扣除与主营业务无关的业务收入和不具备商业实质的收入后的营业收入为3.05亿至3.33亿元。

        由此计算,2024年四季度,青海春天实现营业收入为1.13亿至1.41亿元,与上年同期相比增长111.62%至164.53%。

        一家上市公司财务人员向长江商报记者表示,青海春天同时满足“净利润为负”和“营收低于3亿元”时,才会导致公司ST,“该公司四季度收入大幅增长,导致公司避免被实施退市风险警示”。

        单季营收增长缺乏商业合理性

        4月17日,青海春天发布公告,公司收到担任公司2024年度审计工作的政旦志远(深圳)会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙)(简称“年审会计师”)《关于青海春天药用资源科技股份有限公司2024年度财务报表审计阶段性说明》。

        该说明中年审会计师对青海春天的业绩表现进行了质疑。

        数据显示,2024年四季度,特别是12月份,青海春天酒水营业收入异常增长,占全年该业务销售收入的50%左右。

        年审会计师认为,这一增长“缺乏商业合理性”。首先,在整体消费需求下行、公司白酒市场规模有限且非稀缺商品的情况下,经销商大规模提前采购不符合行业常规。其次,部分客户12月销售异常增长,期后仍有大量库存,且公司经销商协议存在退货相关约定,退货风险难以判断。如众香国、苏州金独花等公司客户2024年12月销售异常增长,但期后销售比例较低,存在年底突击发货确认收入的嫌疑。

        此外,年审会计师也注意到,青海春天2024年1月对成都听花令一次性确认销售收入2654.83万元,而该客户截至2024年底大部分酒水尚未实现对外销售。该部分收入所涉及的金额大概为6810.76万元。

        该说明中还表示,青海春天2024年冬虫夏草销售收入1.52亿元,其中11—12月销售大幅增长,占全年该品类业务销售收入的50%左右,且销售形成大额应收账款5687.23万元。冬虫夏草销售实施分期付款交易属于2024年度新增销售模式,与行业及公司2023年度现款现货的交易习惯不符,不具备商业合理性。

        曾收上交所监管工作函

        实际上,青海春天发布2024年业绩预告后,上交所随即下发监管工作函,要求公司就营业收入真实性等问题作出回复,重点说明2024年四季度业绩大幅增长的原因及合理性、是否存在为规避实施退市风险警示而突击确认收入的情况。

        2月26日,青海春天针对上交所的问询公告回复称,每年的四季度为白酒行业传统的销售旺季,此期间市场需求普遍增长,且2024年四季度公司逐步恢复主要媒体的广告投放、与经销商共同加强线下品鉴会、活动赞助等系列市场营销活动,对符合条件的经销商调整部分支持政策,给予年度激励及季度激励,大大提高经销商的经营积极性。

        青海春天表示,“行业周期叠加上述广告、线下品鉴等营销活动加强、经销商对市场销售预期和经营信心、积极性提高等因素,因此公司酒水销售业务业绩在四季度出现大幅增长是合理的,也符合行业规律,四季度销售业绩的增长,也使得该板块业务2024年的营业收入同比出现大幅度的增长。”

        关于是否存在突击确认收入的情况,青海春天介绍,公司的酒水业务经销商为预收货款进行销售,协议约定不得退货,根据合同约定的交付方式,公司收到货款后,将商品发送至经销商或经销商指定的地址,在核实数量及商品外观进行签收后,确认收入,“不存在未满足收入确认条件而确认收入、年底突击确认的情形”。

        年审会计师表示,根据审计准则的规定,预计会对青海春天2024年度财务报表整体发表无法表示意见或者否定意见的审计意见类型。

        截止到目前,年审会计师表示,根据获取的审计证据,初步认定按照营业收入确认原则及上海证券交易所《营业收入扣除指引》,青海春天经调整或者扣除后的营业收入将不足人民币3亿元,将触发《上海证券交易所股票上市规则》规定的财务类退市风险警示。

        上述上市公司财务人员向长江商报记者表示,青海春天的年审会计师已对其年度报告真实性表示质疑,如果审计内容属实,该公司存在粉饰业绩、信披违规等问题。

《电鳗快报》

  俄罗斯塔斯社周一援引法庭文件称,莫斯科一家法院裁定谷歌公司泄露在乌克兰阵亡俄罗斯军人的个人信息罪名成立。据报道,法院文件称,在YouTube上发布的一段视频,披露了俄罗斯军人在乌克兰阵亡的信息,以及他们的个人数据。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  海通国际发布研报称,预计古茗(01364)2025-27年收入各108.4/128.4/144.2亿元,经调净利各18.8/21.9/23.8亿元。参考可比公司,基于古茗相对高成长性和行业领先地位,以及门店快速拓展带来的规模效应、盈利改善,给予古茗2025年25X

  PE,对应合理目标市值506亿港元,合理目标价为24.2港元(对应汇率为HKD/CNY=0.93),首次覆盖给予优大于市评级。

  海通国际主要观点如下:

  公司概况

  4A级全国现制饮品品牌。古茗是全国4A(Available,Adorable,Affordable,Addicted)级现制饮品品牌,把握中国消费者的饮品消费升级大趋势,聚焦中低线城市消费者对新鲜、便利、性价比的饮品消费需求,以供应链为基础,数字化为手段,对重点市场逐个击破,稳扎稳打做全国化扩张。截至2024年末,古茗国内门店数已达9914间,覆盖中国17个省。根据灼识咨询数据,按2023年GMV计,古茗是中国第二大现制茶饮店品牌,市场份额为9.1%;若按价格带划分,古茗是中国最大大众现制茶饮店品牌,市场份额为17.7%。

  现制饮品

  即饮饮料的升级需求,增速领跑中国饮料市场。现制饮品本质上是在经济增长、人均可支配收入提升背景下出现的消费升级需求,是对即饮饮料(瓶装饮料)的部分替代。其通过采用新鲜材料和现制现饮方式提供口感更优且更差异化的产品,通过规模化开店提升便利性,利用先进生产技术和数字化降本增效,以高性价比不断获取市场份额。根据灼识咨询数据和预测,2018-2023年现制饮品行业市场规模年复合增速22.5%,高于中国饮料市场平均的9.4%;预计2023-2028年复合增速17.6%,亦高于同期中国饮料市场平均的10.7%。

  慢即是快,稳固地基托举高质量发展

  不同于其他头部现制饮品品牌的全国规模化发展,古茗自2010年成立以来,开拓门店超万间但仅覆盖全国17个省份,主要集中在华东和华南区域,且尚未涉足海外市场。虽然门店布局区域化,但现存门店质量很高,2023年加盟商店均年经营利润达到37.6万元,经营利润率20.2%,是行业均值的1.5-2.0倍。作为中国现制饮品中门店数仅次于蜜雪冰城和瑞幸咖啡的品牌,古茗供应链基础扎实,运营效率高,且发展空间大。门店拓展方面,古茗选择地域加密策略,专注中低线城市饮品消费升级需求。供应链建设方面,古茗自建完整供应链系统,支持门店的高频冷链配送,把新鲜的原料成本控制得接近常温且品质稳定。在产品上新方面,古茗能在不乏创新的同时以最快且最标准化的方式紧跟主流趋势。门店运营方面,古茗以数字化自动化筑底,加盟商全身心投入提升门店业绩。

  风险提示:经济及消费增长不及预期,现制饮品市场增长放缓,行业竞争加剧,食品安全风险,扩张速度不及预期。

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