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  近期A股上市公司密集披露2025年一季报,百亿级私募的最新持仓情况浮出水面。

  来自第三方机构私募排排网的最新监测数据显示,截至4月22日,按照2025年一季报A股上市公司前十大流通股东名单统计,共有15家百亿级证券私募机构旗下产品出现在23家上市公司前十大流通股东名单中,合计持股市值达235.04亿元(按照3月31日收盘价格计算市值)。

  23只重仓股浮出水面

  伴随着2025年A股上市公司一季报的披露,百亿级私募一季度的持仓情况逐渐清晰。

  从百亿级私募一季度末重仓股的持股数量变动情况来看,百亿级私募一季度新进个股5只,增持个股3只,持股不变的个股共计8只,减持个股7只。第一季度百亿级私募新进的5只个股为超越科技、昆船智能、史丹利、上海电影和得邦照明(维权);增持的3只个股是紫金矿业、芯朋微、川恒股份。

  从百亿级私募一季度重仓股的行业分布来看,按照申万一级行业口径,在百亿级私募23只重仓股中,基础化工行业个股数量最多,为4只;其次是电子行业个股,为3只。

  从不同百亿级私募的持股明细数据来看,截至4月22日,高毅资产旗下产品出现在3家A股上市公司前十大流通股东名单中,合计持股市值179.84亿元,其中持仓海康威视市值达107.45亿元,但较前一个季度减持3595.01万股。另外,高毅资产旗下产品增持紫金矿业1660万股,持股市值达64.95亿元。该机构旗下产品对于瑞丰新材的持股数量则保持不变,持股市值为7.44亿元。此外,重阳投资第一季度新进得邦照明198.04万股,持股市值达0.25亿元。睿郡资产第一季度增持芯朋微130.85万股,持股市值为1.41亿元。

  着眼长期产业升级趋势

  对于第一季度百亿级私募的持股情况及相关变化,融智投资FOF基金经理李春瑜在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示,按照已披露的公开数据,2025年一季度,百亿级私募的持仓结构呈现出鲜明的“科技主导、周期护航、潜伏消费”特征,三大方向成为百亿级私募当季投资重点。在行业配置上,百亿级私募的资金明显向高端制造、资源品和消费复苏方向倾斜,其投资策略整体既着眼于长期的产业升级趋势,又把握了短期的景气度修复机会。值得关注的是,百亿级私募对于中小市值成长股配置比例也出现提升,这反映出百亿级私募的投资风格正从传统的“龙头白马”逐步向更具成长性的“专精特新”、科技成长标的转移,显示出部分资金对细分赛道“隐形冠军”的深度挖掘意愿。

  上海某券商团队背景的中型私募负责人进一步表示,今年以来A股结构性赚钱机会主要体现在科技成长风格、资源股、部分消费股和高股息个股等方面,第一季度百亿级私募的持股数据基本体现了这一特征。另外,该私募人士同时表示,随着A股一季报的进一步披露,创新药等部分个股预计也会成为百亿级私募重点介入的对象。

  另据第三方机构统计,4月以来全球股市同步迎来巨震的背景下,私募机构对于电子、计算机等科技相关行业的调研热度也继续保持在高位。具体来看,截至2025年4月10日,按照申万一级行业口径,4月上旬获私募调研次数最多的前五大热门行业分别为:电子、机械设备、电力设备、医药生物和计算机。此外,按照4月上半月的统计维度来看,4月上半月私募调研次数排名前十的A股公司中,前三名均为电子行业公司,电子行业公司数量占到总数的一半。

  后市研判偏积极

  对于A股后市走向,当前中大型私募机构整体研判偏向积极。

  星石投资认为,对于外部扰动因素带来的影响,决策层在政策层面已经做好了充足准备,在国内宽松货币叠加积极财政政策的持续推进下,政策累积效应正逐步显现。另外,股市周期跟随经济和政策周期波动,多次政策反转均驱动市场估值修复,之后随着经济数据的改善逐渐进入基本面驱动。外部扰动因素的影响消散后,中国资本市场的韧性将得到进一步验证。除此之外,科技突破与政策支持的共振,正在形成正向反馈循环,不断强化中国资本市场的吸引力,这种长期趋势不会因短期的外部扰动因素而改变。

  亘曦资产基金经理兼投资总监董高峰认为,当前市场处于“上下空间均有限”的复杂环境中。一方面,我国应对外部扰动因素较此前更为成熟,市场下行风险可控;另一方面,地缘局势与国际经济基本面重塑可能会对风险偏好带来影响,市场需等待不确定性因素进一步消散。

  从容投资认为,第二季度国内政策重心已转向“稳增长与扩内需”,财政前置发力与货币宽松的时间窗口正在打开。尽管外部扰动因素冲击难以量化,但政策对冲方向明确,将持续为股市上行保驾护航。虽然当前判断第二季度市场单边上涨为时过早,但不少板块已表现出估值韧性。整体而言,外部扰动因素冲击反而会加快国内经济转型步伐,A股后市依然光明。

  (文章来源:中国证券报)

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