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穿越之春暖花开,”对城市发展的深远影响
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穿越之春暖花开,”对城市发展的深远影响

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  欧洲央行实现2%通胀率的任务正接近完成,4月份的通胀数据预计仅略高于该目标。

  根据对32位经济学家的调查,本月消费者价格指数增幅可能放缓至2.1%。下周五公布的核心通胀率预计将升至2.5%。

  欧洲央行决策者最近对通胀持乐观态度。行长拉加德周五再次强调,通胀下降趋势步入正轨,未来通胀料将徘徊在2%的目标附近。法国央行行长FrancoisVilleroydeGalhau更进一步得出结论称,欧洲目前不存在通胀风险。

  凯投宏观首席欧洲经济学家AndrewKenningham表示,4月的企业调查数据表明到目前为止美国关税尚未对欧元区造成太大损害,但我们认为未来几个月将产生显著影响,并已将第二和第三季度欧元区GDP增长预测下调至接近于零。

  欧盟经济专员ValdisDombrovskis表示,他与美国财长斯科特·贝森特进行了会谈,“就美国关税的影响交换了看法”。

  “欧盟愿意达成双方都能接受的解决方案,”他在X上发帖写道。

  Dombrovskis表示,“双方还讨论了稳健财政和宏观经济政策的重要性,我强调了继续支持乌克兰的必要性”。

  特朗普任命的“边境沙皇”汤姆·霍曼(TomHoman)在X平台表示:“两名法官被捕,这不应让任何人感到惊讶。在过去几个月里我多次说过,人们可以选择支持非法移民,也可以选择不协助移民与海关执法局(ICE)将非法移民罪犯从我们的社区驱逐出去,但不要越界。”  

  霍曼表示:“如果你积极妨碍我们的执法行动,或者明知故犯地窝藏或向移民与海关执法局隐瞒非法移民,你将被起诉。这些行为属于重罪。后续还有更多行动。”  

  同一日,美国司法部长帕姆·邦迪(PamBondi)在接受采访时表示,特朗普政府将起诉其他阻挠政府议程的法官。  

  据报道,威斯康星州的一名州法官因涉嫌妨碍无证移民逮捕行动,于周五被联邦特工逮捕。

  随着投资者消化有关信息,原油价格在周五的沉闷交易中小幅上涨。

  WTI期货收于每桶63美元附近,但仍录得过去四周以来的第三次单周下跌。

  由于担心特朗普的贸易措施将重创经济活动并抑制能源需求,油价本月大幅下跌。为安抚美国石油企业,美国能源部长克里斯·赖特表示,贸易动荡只是暂时现象,政府完全支持增加原油产量。

  赖特在俄克拉荷马城一场能源会议期间接受采访时表示:“我们的总统非常明确地希望能源价格降低。”他还说,在当前环境下,每桶50美元的油价“对美国国内生产商来说可能不可持续”,特朗普“希望美国的产业和消费者都能蓬勃发展”。

  截至收盘

  纽约市场6月交割的WTI原油期货小幅上涨0.4%,至每桶63.02美元;一周累计下跌约2.6%。

  6月布伦特原油上涨0.5%,至每桶66.87美元。

  周五热门中概股涨跌不一。纳斯达克中国金龙指数(HXC)收跌0.40%。

  上涨股当中(按市值从高到低),台积电涨0.46%,阿里巴巴涨0.82%,拼多多涨0.72%,京东涨0.18%,百度涨1.39%,腾讯音乐涨0.45%,日月光半导体涨1.15%,中通涨0.39%,新东方涨1.53%,唯品会涨1.42%,WSP控股涨0.41%。

  下跌股当中(按市值从高到低),网易跌0.05%,携程跌0.24%,中华电信跌0.64%,贝壳跌3.08%,理想汽车跌1.43%,小鹏汽车跌3.51%,联电跌0.36%,富途控股跌6.43%,满帮跌0.53%,华住酒店集团跌2.26%,中国新城农村跌1.48%,蔚来跌3.77%,微牛跌11.44%,哔哩哔哩跌1.47%,BOSS直聘跌1.64%,360数科跌0.46%。

  美股周五收高。三大股指均为连续第四个交易日上涨,且在本周均录得涨幅。特朗普总统表示希望一年后能维持20%至50%关税。美方声称“正就关税问题进行谈判”的言论再次遭到否认。投资者正权衡Alphabet等重要财报。

  道指涨20.10点,涨幅为0.05%,报40113.50点;纳指涨216.90点,涨幅为1.26%,报17382.94点;标普500指数涨40.44点,涨幅为0.74%,报5525.21点。

  领涨中概股列表:

  领跌中概股列表:

  (截图来自新浪财经APP行情-美股-中概股热门板块)下载新浪财经APP

  WTI6月原油期货收涨0.37%报63.02美元/桶。布伦特6月原油期货收涨0.48%报66.87美元/桶。

  NYMEX5月天然气期货收报2.9370美元/百万英热单位。

  NYMEX5月汽油期货收报2.1189美元/加仑,NYMEX5月取暖油期货收报2.1673美元/加仑。

  每经编辑杜宇

  当地时间4月25日,美股三大指数集体收涨。道指涨0.05%;纳指上涨216.900点,涨幅1.26%;标普500指数涨0.74%。本周,道指累计上涨2.48%,纳指累涨6.73%,标普500指数累涨4.59%。

  科技股多数上涨,英伟达涨超4%,美光科技涨逾3%,Meta、博通、AMD涨超2%。英特尔跌近7%,Q2营收指引低于市场预估,公司下调全年资本开支目标。金价高位回落,黄金股集体下跌,哈莫尼黄金跌近4%,科尔黛伦矿业跌3%,金田、Anglogold跌逾2%。

  特斯拉涨9.80%,报284.95美元,最新市值9178.1亿美元,其市值一夜增加超819.4亿美元(约合人民币5972亿元)。

  据证券时报,报道称美国政府将放宽自动驾驶监管,削减原本繁琐的事故报告流程,只要不是商业用途的测试车可跳过部分合规流程。此举被视为美国对自动驾驶最大一次松绑,直击特斯拉需求核心,为马斯克计划今年6月在德州推出的Cybercab无人出租车队开绿灯。

  热门中概股多数下跌,纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.40%。百家云涨超74%,苏轩堂涨超44%,富途控股跌逾6%,金山云跌超4%,蔚来、小鹏汽车跌近4%。

  国际金价收跌。

  国际原油收涨。

  美联储4月25日公布的最新金融稳定报告显示,全球贸易风险上升、总体政策不确定性以及美国债务的可持续性高居美国金融体系潜在风险的榜首。73%的受访者表示,全球贸易风险是他们最担心的问题,这一比例是11月份报告的两倍多。半数受访者认为,总体政策不确定性是最令人担忧的问题,这一比例较去年同期有所上升。调查还发现,与近期市场动荡相关的问题受到了更多关注,27%的受访者担心美国国债市场的运转,高于去年秋季的17%。外国对美国资产的撤资和美元的价值也在担忧名单上上升。

图片来源:美联储

  报告提到资产估值压力相关的风险,指出,在市场大幅动荡时资产价格下跌,但多种资产的估值仍处于高位,包括股市和住宅房地产。美国国债和股市的流动性低,且进入4月形势恶化,不过市场还在有序地运转、发挥功能。

  股市方面,报告称,在4月初市场波动前,股票的市盈率一直保持在历史高位附近,而股票溢价、即市场风险补偿的估值仍远低于平均水平。即使在近期股价下跌后,相比分析师的盈利预测,股价依旧处于高位,而分析师盈利预期的调整速度不及市场的股价变动。

  美国4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值为52.2,预期50.8,前值50.8,密西根大学4月美国消费者五年通胀预期终值为4.4%,此外,美国4月一年期通胀率预期终值为6.5%,预期6.8%。

  在美国经济和股市敏感时刻,美联储的一举一动都牵引着市场的神经。

  据央视新闻,当地时间4月24日,美国联邦储备委员会理事克里斯托弗·沃勒当日警告称,美国总统特朗普引发的贸易战可能很快会导致失业率上升。

  据悉,因为其他国家对美国商品征收报复性关税,美国目前的就业形势已面临风险。若外国客户减少订单,美国一些依赖出口的行业可能被迫裁员。

  沃勒表示,若关税维持现状,7月之前将不会对美国经济造成显著影响。如果美国政府恢复激进的关税水平,企业可能会开始裁员,如果失业率大幅上升,他将支持降息。

  据证券时报,摩根大通全球股票策略师团队的报告显示,在非常短期内,随着市场对关税降级的预设,市场仍然可能向上。对于空头的交易员来说,这是个痛苦的过程。

  但摩根大通的报告也警告,如果要避免对经济周期的进一步损害,白宫就需要对关税进行更明确的表态。否则,随着夏季的临近,活动将会出现一些疲软。此外,他们表示,当前的报告季将继续看到公司提供不太乐观的指引,这将导致分析师降低第二季度的收益预期。

  摩根大通还表示,由于美国的贸易政策和美元下跌,外国投资者的资金流出在短期内不太可能出现逆转,这意味着标普500指数将难以恢复近几个季度约22至24倍的市盈率的水平。数据显示,当前标普500指数整体市盈率在20倍左右。

  不过,美国银行策略师发布报告称,投资者应在美股和美元反弹时逢高卖出,因为当前市场缺乏持续上涨的条件。

  策略师在报告中指出,标普500若要突破关键的支撑位和阻力位(当前预估在5690点,接近50周均线),必须取决于这些条件(美联储开始降息、达成贸易协议、美国消费者支出保持韧性)是否得到满足。

  每日经济新闻综合央视新闻、证券时报、市场公开资料

  免责声明:本文内容与数据仅供参考,不构成投资建议,使用前请核实。据此操作,风险自担。

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