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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  房企化债剧本进入新一季。

  近日,市场消息称,融创中国寻求将所有境外债券转为公司股票,具体情况预计在近期公布。融创中国对这一消息未予回应。如果融创中国正式推出“债转股”的方案,将是目前房企最为“彻底”的化债方式,也折射了房企当下生存环境仍然承压。

  不仅是融创中国,佳兆业、龙光等出险房企近期也在化债上传出了新进展。这些房企经过与投资者的一番拉锯以后,推出了相对可行的化债方案,整体上的削债比例达到较高的幅度,也留下了一线生机。

  随着出险房企陆续达成或者调整化债方案,房企有望逐渐走出债务的泥淖。据21世纪经济报道记者了解,受到政策以及市场的鼓舞,多家出险房企目前的重点工作为梳理旗下有持续运营的存量项目以及业务板块,企业实控人对企业的未来也抱有信心,亲自着手参与推动旗下业务回归正常经营的轨道。

  削债更进一步

  融创中国在此次传出化债动态之前,一直是行业之中积极处置债务的房企。

  早在2023年,融创中国就通过多种方式对境外债进行重组,包括发行57.05亿美元的新票据;发行27.5亿美元的强制可转换债券;发行10亿美元的可转换债券;以及部分债权转换为14.7%融创服务的股份,总额为7.75亿美元。最终,融创中国的境外债重组计划获得投资者的支持,成功通过。

  其时,融创中国虽然也有部分债转股的安排,但整体的占比并不高。2024年下半年以来,由于市场环境未见明显改善,投资者多数预期降低,房企普遍采取更为激进的化债的方式,普遍将现金兑付的比例削减到较低的水平,并更多采取债转股的方式。

  可供对比的是,佳兆业本月宣布其境外债重组计划之一的“佳兆业计划”已于2025年4月7日落实,这标志着佳兆业境外债务重组的关键一步已经完成。

  根据佳兆业此前公告,佳兆业将发行六档新美元债(合计50亿美元)和八档强制可转换债券(合计68.92亿美元),可转债部分若全部转换,将形成130.16亿股新股,相当于现有股本的185%。此外,债权人小组的2688万美元工作费用也将通过发行21亿股股份支付,总增发规模达151亿股。

  根据公告,佳兆业的强制可转换债券的转换价格被设定为4.05~4.75港元/股,相较于当前0.156港元/股的价格,有超过25倍的溢价。而如果方案最终达成,佳兆业目前的实控人郭英成的持股比例将从25.54%降至8.04%,而债权人则将持有佳兆业58.44%的股份。

  另一家曾经的头部房企,在近期也宣布通过强制性可转换债券转换债务为股权,并通过经折现现金要约收购减少债务的流程,预计潜在减少债务最多约110亿美元。

  这两家房企削债方式,均采取了大规模的“债转股”,投资者也并无过多挣扎,多数选择接受这一方案。

  一位出险房企负责与境外债权人沟通的人士告诉21世纪经济报道记者,“在目前的环境下,债务人的谈判空间反而是更大的。很多房企采取的化债方案回收率只有两三成,债权人也还是会同意。就算债权人有所微词,但生存才是债务人首要考虑的方向,毕竟出险房企很多都被提请清盘了,在这方面不会做太多的让步。”

  推进正常经营

  尽管削债是困难的过程,但对房企而言,如果能够获得债权人的同意并大幅降低债务规模,将为恢复正常经营扫清障碍。

  事实上,出险房企之中,多数实控人仍然积极处置遗留问题并对未来抱有信心,即便房地产行业高光不再,这些房企的实控人也期望能够“东山再起”。

  一家出险房企的中层管理人士告诉21世纪经济报道记者,“出险以来,我们的高管团队一直都在积极地跟各方沟通,业务上没有暂停过,董事长也非常关注市场的动向。去年化债有进展后,加上今年保交楼也基本没有太大压力了,董事长就开始要求我们将旗下还能够盈利的业务拿出来,继续做下去。”

  另一家出险房企的总部人士也对21世纪经济报道记者表达了相同的看法。他指出,“出险以后,我们的高管团队仍然很稳定,而且都兢兢业业地在处理公司的业务。今年董事长觉得市场有点起色,他也认为我们可以找到一些业务的突破口,目前我们会看看代建这些业务有没有机会,节奏比前两年明显快了。”

  这是今年出险房企最大的变化。多数出险房企今年已经基本度过交付的高峰期,加之化债也已告一段落,房企终于可以“缓一口气”,凭借自身的业务优势重整旗鼓。

  仍以佳兆业为例,这家房企目前在商业、文体方面均有布局。今年以来,佳兆业文体科技集团参与运营的深圳光明玉塘文体中心正式开馆。至此,佳兆业目前全国成功运营近20座大型文体场馆,年均举办文体赛事、艺术展演等各类活动逾700场次。

  今年4月,在碧桂园的月度管理会议上,碧桂园董事会主席杨惠妍也表示,当前公司获得了政府、供应商及债权人等多方面的充分理解和支持。尽管当前依旧面临诸多困难,但情况正朝着比之前更有利的方向前进,一切都在向好的态势发展。

  目前,各方的共识是,房地产行业正在朝着积极的方向迈进,而房企也有望获得“新生”。中国社会科学院城市与竞争力研究中心主任倪鹏飞近日在北京参加中新社国是直通车举办的“2025年一季度经济形势分析会”时就认为,当前房地产市场保持持续向好态势,目前正向结构性止跌回稳方向迈进。

  克而瑞集团董事长丁祖昱也表示,今年的全国两会提出,持续用力推动房地产市场止跌回稳,同时还将股市与楼市并提。要求股市和楼市回归到相对平稳、正常的发展过程当中,这一信号极大鼓舞了地产行业从业者。无论是开发商,还是产业链上下游的参与者,信心更足了。

  信心恢复了,包袱也减轻了,房企也敢于规划未来了。

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