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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
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商丘市(民权县、睢县、虞城县、夏邑县、柘城县、永城市、宁陵县、睢阳区、梁园区)








海南藏族自治州(贵南县、同德县、兴海县、共和县、贵德县)








宁德市(蕉城区、福鼎市、古田县、霞浦县、柘荣县、寿宁县、福安市、周宁县、屏南县)北京市(西城区、门头沟区、朝阳区、昌平区、丰台区、密云区、房山区、海淀区、平谷区、怀柔区、石景山区、延庆区、顺义区、通州区、大兴区、东城区)








河池市(金城江区、宜州区、凤山县、天峨县、东兰县、罗城仫佬族自治县、都安瑶族自治县、巴马瑶族自治县、环江毛南族自治县、南丹县、大化瑶族自治县)








陇南市(成县、徽县、武都区、康县、文县、两当县、礼县、西和县、宕昌县)








济源市








茂名市(茂南区、信宜市、电白区、高州市、化州市)








安庆市(宜秀区、太湖县、宿松县、桐城市、潜山市、岳西县、怀宁县、望江县、迎江区、大观区)








湘潭市(湘乡市、韶山市、湘潭县、雨湖区、岳塘区)








固原市(彭阳县、西吉县、隆德县、原州区、泾源县)








抚顺市(清原满族自治县、抚顺县、望花区、顺城区、新宾满族自治县、东洲区、新抚区)








株洲市(醴陵市、荷塘区、茶陵县、攸县、渌口区、芦淞区、炎陵县、天元区、石峰区)








淄博市(张店区、博山区、沂源县、高青县、临淄区、淄川区、周村区、桓台县)








澳门特别行政区








锦州市(凌海市、北镇市、黑山县、义县、古塔区、太和区、凌河区)








松原市(乾安县、宁江区、长岭县、前郭尔罗斯蒙古族自治县、扶余市)








阜阳市(阜南县、临泉县、颍东区、界首市、颍泉区、颍州区、颍上县、太和县)








十堰市(张湾区、竹溪县、茅箭区、郧阳区、郧西县、竹山县、丹江口市、房县)








广州市(番禺区、黄埔区、增城区、从化区、海珠区、花都区、白云区、南沙区、荔湾区、越秀区、天河区)

  市场回顾与分析

  一级市场回顾

  上周一级市场国债、地方债和政策性金融债发行规模分别为4350亿、2006亿和1406亿,净融资额为3800亿、1227亿和1406亿。金融债(不含政金债)共计发行规模302亿,净融资额-224亿。非金信用债共计发行规模4082亿,净融资额920亿。暂无可转债新券发行。

  二级市场回顾

  上周债市窄幅震荡,曲线整体走平。主要影响因素包括:资金面、经济金融数据、美国政策波动等。

  流动性跟踪

  上周央行净投放流动性,对冲MLF到期和税期,资金面表现均衡。最终R001和R007分别较前周上行3.8BP和上行1BP。

  政策与基本面

  3月经济金融数据表现超预期,但市场对二季度后经济走势仍有担忧。高频数据来看:高频生产指标分化中上游强下游弱,房地产、出口景气度下行,油价回升、金价上涨。

  海外市场

  美与多国贸易谈判开始,海外市场波动率有所回落。10年期美债收盘在4.34%,较前周下行14BP。

  权益市场

  上周上证指数周一至周四连阳,国家队托底意图明显,相比之下,创业板表现稍弱。具体看,上周万得全A上涨0.39%,上证50上涨1.45%,沪深300上涨0.59%,创业板指下跌0.64%。上周A股成交量大幅缩量,日均成交额1.11万亿,周度日均成交量大幅减少5023亿。截至2025年4月17日,全A融资余额18023.00亿,较4月10日减少85.99亿元。

  债市策略展望

  债市再度进入观察震荡期,等待海内外事件的进一步发酵。当前宏观面较为复杂,市场缺乏明确方向。二季度将持续跟踪两件重点事项,一是中美关税谈判的后续进展,随着双方关税上升至100%以上,关税进一步加码已无实际意义,市场更关心中美潜在的协商进程,中美双方已阶段性释放谈判善意;二是,国内政策潜在加码的力度和方向,4月政治局会议作为季初讨论经济的会议,将成为市场观察年中政策基调的重要窗口,相比于往年的货币先行财政后至,本次财政可能更为积极,而货币的宽松更多是配合和被动的。在市场等待期间,市场偏好趋于摇摆,债市或维持震荡运行。考虑到二季度资金松紧情况一般好于一季度,对于负债端稳定的机构可关注5Y及以上长久期信用债的配置机会,当前长久期信用利差仍有较高压缩空间,信用债行情有望从中短久期轮动到长久期。转债方面,短期消息面频繁出现,给市场带来扰动。在进入到基本面定价阶段之前,市场阶段性的定价可能集中在关税博弈的拉扯摇摆、国内货币和内需政策的期待上,关注政策演绎。

  风险提示:本材料的信息均来源于已公开的资料,对信息的准确性、完整性或可靠性不作任何保证。本材料中的观点、分析仅代表公司研究团队观点,在任何情况下本文中的信息或表达的意见并不构成实际投资结果,也不构成任何对投资人的投资建议和担保。任何媒体、网站、个人未经本公司授权不得转载。

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