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夕阳染红的街道攻略:一步步教你开启创意之旅,别错过!
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1. 携程集团-S一季度业绩预期怎么样?

截至2025年04月14日,根据朝阳永续季度业绩前瞻数据:

预测营业收入136.96~139.78亿元,同比增长14.9%~17.3%;预测净利润27.19~33.18亿元,同比变动-36.9%~-23.1%;预测经调整净利润30.81~41.40亿元,同比变动-24.0%~2.0%。

关注后续财报数据披露后能否超预期,朝阳永续港股季度业绩前瞻数据将为投资者提供业绩鉴定。

2. 携程集团-S最新卖方观点

银河证券认为:携程集团-S在2024年全年实现了营收和净利润的显著增长,营收达到533亿元,同比增长19.5%,归母净利171亿元,同比增长72.1%。第四季度营收127亿元,同比增长23.4%,归母净利22亿元,同比增长66.3%。国际业务增长和去年同期低基数推动了机酒业务增速环比提升。住宿预订服务、交通票务服务、旅游度假服务和商旅管理业务均实现同比增长。出境游机酒恢复程度超过2019年疫情前水平,国际OTA平台营收增速维持在70%左右,对总营收贡献显著。公司加大了对国际业务的营销投入,尽管影响了第四季度的利润率,但全年经调净利率仍为历年最高。预计未来几年公司净利润将持续增长,当前股价对应调整后PE较低,维持推荐评级。

分业务来说:

1)国际业务增长:国际OTA平台营收增速维持在70%左右,对总营收贡献显著,国际平台营收占比从1Q24的10%提升至4Q24的14%。

2)出境游业务领先市场:出境游机酒恢复程度超过2019年疫情前水平120%,国际航班恢复程度约40%。

3)入境游订单量增长:2024年入境游订单量同比增长100%,免签国家入境游订单同比增长150%。

(注:本文相关盈利预测数据均来自朝阳永续盈利预测数据库)

风险提示:本文所示数据或案例仅供参考之用,不能作为未来投资依据。投资股票有风险,市场波动、公司业绩、政策因素等都可能导致股票价格波动。请您在投资前充分了解相关信息,并根据自身的风险承受能力做出投资决策。

更多业绩前瞻数据,“码”上了解

上市公司盈利预测数据,是卖方分析师群体对上市公司业绩预测的共识与分歧。盈利预测数据基于各券商分析师对于上市公司“盈利预期数据的研究”,并挖掘产生“一致预期数据”。

朝阳永续盈利预测数据库由盈利预测基础库和盈利预测衍生库构成。首先,基于合法授权的海量卖方研报,朝阳永续形成原始盈利预测数据库,通过直接数据挖掘,提供A股一致预期数据及港股一致预期数据,投资者可以将其作为市场参考基准。其次,针对投资者研究需求,朝阳永续深度挖掘盈利预测数据形成盈利预测因子库及业绩确定性因子,可为投资者提供直接用于研究应用的盈利预测因子和策略。最后,通过对研究成果的衍生挖掘,也可为投资者提供业绩预期挖掘和研究员行为挖掘。

截止目前,朝阳永续盈利预测数据库已覆盖私募、公募、证券、银行、期货、资产管理公司、保险、信托等各类金融投研机构,伴随着香港科技、红利等资产的火热,朝阳永续盈利预测数据库将继续秉持“让数据更有价值”的使命,为投资者持续提供全面、准确、及时的盈利预测数据及服务。

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