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  中新社北京4月16日电题:中国经济开局良好韧性足

  中新社记者王恩博

  5.4%,16日公布的一季度中国国内生产总值(GDP)同比增速高于市场预期。面对更趋复杂严峻的外部环境,这一良好开局凸显中国经济韧性。

  增长稳中有升,与国内需求的逐步改善密切相关。

  由消费和投资组成的内需是经济增长的重要引擎。一季度,中国社会消费品零售总额同比增长4.6%,固定资产投资同比增长4.2%,均快于去年全年至少1个百分点。

  以消费为例,国务院发展研究中心市场经济研究所原所长王微表示,不仅数据企稳,稳的基础也在变好。一季度中国居民人均可支配收入同比实际增长5.6%,“跑赢”GDP增速。收入水平加快改善,为提振消费提供了稳的基础。

  尤其在国际经贸活动遭受冲击的当下,扩大内需意义更加突出。国家统计局副局长盛来运强调,中国有14亿多人口,市场规模巨大,人均GDP超1.3万美元,市场成长性好。“无论投资还是消费空间都非常大,将支撑中国经济持续发展。”

  外贸顶压前行,亦是经济韧性的体现。

  一季度中国货物贸易进出口总额达10.3万亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长1.3%,规模创历史同期新高,连续8个季度超10万亿元。国家信息中心构建的指标显示,一季度全国主要港口日均集装箱吞吐量同比增长10.6%,货物吞吐量同比增长3.1%,日均国际货运航班数量同比增长35.9%。

  近些年,中国企业积极开拓国际市场,构建贸易多元化格局,成效十分明显。这些都成为中国外贸抵御外部风险的底气。

  数据显示,今年一季度,中国对共建“一带一路”国家的出口同比增长7.2%,货物进出口额占全部进出口额比重超过50%,多元化市场格局正在形成。这也意味着,中国对单一出口市场的依存度正在下降。

  政策“工具箱”的深度,则决定了中国有能力应对将来可能出现的挑战。存量政策和增量政策相互配合,政策效应持续显现。

  粤开证券首席经济学家、研究院院长罗志恒举例说,许多稳定资本市场的有效政策已经出台,尤其去年9月底以来,央行等部门适时开展预期引导,给市场注入信心。今年初以来,国际国内对中国经济预期更加乐观,并开启资产重估,资本市场回升带动的财富效应又会作用于消费。

  盛来运表示,中国还将根据外部形势变化及时推出增量政策,丰富的政策工具箱是应对外部冲击和挑战的保障。

  “把风险挑战的严峻性估计得充分一点,政策力度更大一点,取得的结果就可能会比预期的更好。”罗志恒认为,要高度关注二季度出口形势,对部分受加征关税影响相对较大的区域和行业,可未雨绸缪做好补贴等措施、加大政府采购力度。

  着眼中长期,中国银行研究院副院长周景彤建议,仍要瞄准产业升级,继续支持重点领域。如创新结构性货币政策工具,进一步加大对科创、绿色、消费等领域的支持;创设土地收储、收购存量商品房等方面的政策工具,持续促进房地产市场止跌回稳、企稳向好。(完) 新闻结尾 YIN欲学院H-真实情感,让人泪目!的相关文章
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