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四百二十连败少女,分析观众喜爱的关键因素!
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四百二十连败少女,分析观众喜爱的关键因素!

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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  2025年一季度,“顶流”基金经理、易方达基金张坤旗下四只基金均跑赢基准,在管规模重回600亿元梯队。

  4月22日零点刚过,张坤在管基金纷纷披露2025年一季报,其持仓情况也随之浮出水面。

  截至2025年3月末,或受益于旗下四只基金均大幅跑赢同期业绩基准,张坤在管总规模重回600亿元梯队,为608.22亿元。但在申赎方面,四只基金则仍面临着持续净赎回的困境。

  调仓换股方面,四只基金均大幅度减持了阿里巴巴、腾讯;洋河股份、美团也遭张坤明显减仓;与之相对的是,张坤调整了传统白酒仓位,旗下三只基金都在一季度期间小幅度增持了山西汾酒、泸州老窖。

  值得一提的是,顺丰或为张坤“新欢”。该股于一季度新进易方达优质精选持仓前十,增持比例高达226%;此前在2024年下半年期间,易方达蓝筹精选、易方达优质精选均纷纷建仓顺丰。

  在一季报中,张坤坦言道,站在当前时点,市场对2025年的经济仍有较大分歧,他也难以做出高确信度的判断。但他认为,地产下行对经济的影响正在逐步进入尾声,一系列提振消费的政策也有托底作用,在这种情况下,投资者与其纠结于经济,不如把着眼点放在企业上。

  张坤指出,股票的收益率是由企业的收益率决定的,过去几年发生的股票收益率连续低于企业ROE水平的现象“不会长期持续下去”。

  易方达蓝筹精选减持阿里、美团、洋河股份

  目前,张坤在管4只公募基金,分别是易方达蓝筹精选、易方达优质精选、易方达优质企业三年持有、易方达亚洲精选。其中规模最大的产品是易方达蓝筹精选。

  从基金业绩情况来看,截至2025年一季度末,易方达蓝筹精选的基金份额净值为1.8926元,2025年一季度基金份额净值增长率为8.60%,同期业绩比较基准收益率为3.97%。

  截至2025年一季度末,该基金资产净值较2024年四季度末时小幅度增长14.10亿元,为389.08亿元。

  但在申赎方面,易方达蓝筹精选仍面临着持续净赎回的困境,在2025年一季度遭净赎回9.60亿份。

  资产配置方面,易方达蓝筹精选2025年一季度末的股票仓位为94.14%,较2024年四季度末有小幅度上升。此外,该基金前十大重仓股持股集中度则小幅度下降,由79.64%降至74.51%。

  再看调仓持股方面,易方达蓝筹精选在2025年一季度并未更迭重仓股,仅增持了2只个股,减持了4只个股。

  具体来看,易方达蓝筹精选期末前十大重仓股依次为:腾讯控股(00700.HK)、阿里巴巴(09988.HK)、贵州茅台(600519.SH)、五粮液(000858.SZ)、山西汾酒(600809.SH)、泸州老窖(000568.SZ)、中国海洋石油(00883.HK)、百胜中国(09987.HK)、洋河股份(002304.SZ)、美团(03690.HK)。

  其中,阿里巴巴、美团为张坤一季度减持较多的两只个股,减仓比例依次为34.01%、28.57%;另外,洋河股份、腾讯也遭张坤减持。

  山西汾酒、泸州老窖获增持,加仓幅度分别为1.82%、4.27%。

易方达蓝筹精选混合2025年一季度前十大重仓股;来源:澎湃新闻记者据Wind数据统计

  顺丰新进易方达优质精选持仓前十

  截至2025年一季度末,张坤另一代表作——易方达优质精选基金的规模为141.69亿元,前十大重仓股中则出现了1只个股的更迭。

  具体来看,易方达优质精选期末前十大重仓股依次为:阿里巴巴、腾讯控股、贵州茅台、五粮液、山西汾酒、泸州老窖、携程集团(09961.HK)、洋河股份、普拉达(01913.HK)、顺丰控股(002352.SZ)。

  其中,张坤于2024年下半年首次买入顺丰,彼时持股数量为500万股;2025年一季度期间,该股获大幅增持,首次进入持仓前十,增持比例高达226%。

  此外,携程、泸州老窖、山西汾酒、普拉达也均获不同程度的加仓。

  另一方面,分众传媒(002027.SZ)则退出持仓前十,阿里巴巴、腾讯、洋河股份同样遭减持。

  从基金业绩情况来看,该只基金也跑赢了同期业绩比较基准。截至2025年一季度末,易方达优质精选混合的基金份额净值为5.3059元,2025年一季度基金份额净值增长率为8.40%,同期业绩比较基准收益率为3.19%。

易方达优质精选混合2025年一季度前十大重仓股;来源:澎湃新闻记者据Wind数据统计

  易方达优质企业三年持有大幅减持美团、阿里巴巴

  与上述两只基金操作类似的是,在2025年一季度,由张坤管理的易方达优质企业三年持有同样减持了阿里巴巴、腾讯、洋河股份,泸州老窖、山西汾酒为该基金唯一增持的个股。

  其中,山西汾酒首次进入易方达优质企业三年持有的持仓前十。自2023年开始,张坤便在该基金中对山西汾酒有所布局,不过此前该股均蛰伏于隐形重仓股当中。从增持幅度来看,2025年一季度,山西汾酒的持仓数量为156万股,较2024年四季度末时的110万股增加41.82%。

  美团则退出易方达优质企业三年持有的持仓前十。

  另从基金业绩情况来看,截至2025年一季度末,易方达优质企业三年持有的基金份额净值为0.9510元,报告期内基金份额净值增长率为9.74%,同期业绩比较基准收益率为3.97%。

易方达优质企业三年持有2025年一季度前十大重仓股;来源:澎湃新闻记者据Wind数据统计

  易方达亚洲精选增加台湾个股配置

  易方达亚洲精选是张坤在管基金中规模最小的一只基金,同时也是一只QDII基金。截至2025年一季度末,易方达亚洲精选的资产净值合计为33.78亿元。

  从该基金的地区配置情况来看,中国香港、韩国的持股比例均较此前有所下降,美股持仓比例略增。值得一提的是,易方达亚洲精选首次增加了对中国台湾地区的持股,持股比例为1.42%。

  对应到个股更迭方面,台积电台湾股首次进入持仓,但台积电美股则遭张坤减持。

  此外,腾讯控股、阿里巴巴、中国海洋石油(00883.HK)、SKHynixInc、华住集团、三星电子(005930.KS)也纷纷遭减持。

  另一方面,富途控股(FUTU.O)获张坤加仓,增持比例为12.12%。

  截至2025年一季度末,易方达亚洲精选的基金份额净值为1.069元,2025年一季度基金份额净值增长率为6.05%,同期业绩比较基准收益率为0.83%。

易方达亚洲精选2025年一季度前十大重仓股;来源:澎湃新闻记者据Wind数据统计

  地产下行对经济的影响正在逐步进入尾声

  在2025年一季报中,张坤重点分析了当下经济的基本情况。

  张坤坦言,站在当前时点,市场对2025年的经济仍有较大分歧,他也难以做出高确信度的判断。

  然而,张坤表示,如果自下而上观察,他看到部分行业的竞争格局正在改善,企业家的预期也更加理性,企业的经营质量不断改善,利润率、周转率、自由现金流等指标不断变好,部分企业家的资本配置能力也有所提升,能够更加审慎地评估投资新业务和帮股东加码老业务之间的优劣,回报股东的决心也不断增强。

  张坤认为,地产下行对经济的影响正在逐步进入尾声,一系列提振消费的政策也有托底作用,在这种情况下,投资者与其纠结于经济,不如把着眼点放在企业上。

  “毕竟,股票的收益率是由企业的收益率决定的,拉长来看应该大致相当于企业的ROE水平。过去几年发生的股票收益率连续低于企业ROE水平的现象,我们认为不会长期持续下去。”张坤称。

  张坤指出,后续他将专注于寻找具备优秀商业模式、竞争力和定价能力突出、行业空间广阔且资本分配对股东友好的公司。这些公司能在加深护城河的同时,远期能为股东创造出显著更多的自由现金流。

  “我们希望在自己的能力圈内,发现并持有少数这样的公司,来分享这些公司的经营收益。无论何时,我们持有的公司都在不断创造自由现金流,这些不断积累的自由现金流将积累到企业的内在价值上,而企业内在价值的不断提升最终将会投射为企业长期的市值增长。”张坤说道。

 

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