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  “ 2024年银行零售金融业务净利润集体大跌,银行从普通人身上快赚不到钱了,揭示当前个人信用在加速恶化的残酷现实。”

  都说普通人日子不好过,银行也不容易。

  2024年,银行零售业务几乎集体塌方,这银行从普通人身上都快赚不到钱了。

  零售银行业务一般涵盖向个人客户提供金融产品和服务,包括个人贷款和垫款、个人存款、财富管理业务、银行卡业务等。

  银行零售业务塌方背后,更是揭示当前个人信用在加速恶化的残酷现实。

  零售业务净利润暴跌

  从国有六大行来看,除了农业银行零售业务营业收入实现同比6%的增长外,其余五大国有大型商业银行零售金融业务收入都有不同程度的下降。

  2024年,工商银行零售金融业务税前利润987.1亿,下降了34.4%,这算是断崖式下跌了。2023年之前,工行零售业务净利润还是保持增长趋势。

  交通银行更惨烈,零售金融利润总额191.97亿元,同比减少了41.8%。建设银行零售金融业务利润总额1734.89亿元,同比下降了10.9%。

  中国银行与邮储银行没有单独公布零售金融业务净利润情况,从营收数据看,也有一定幅度下降。

  股份制银行更是亏麻了!

  2023年,渤海银行零售业务尚且盈利4.72亿元,但到了2024年,这项业务税前利润已由盈转亏,变为-27.87亿元。2022年渤海银行零售金融业务税前净利润34亿,2023年跌至4.72亿。

  平安银行零售业务净利润为2.89亿元,而2023年同期为55.25亿元,同比下滑94.76%。光大银行零售金融利润总额2.81亿元,同比下降95.8%。

  中信银行和民生银行的零售利润降幅虽不及上面三家银行,但也接近50%。

  2024年,中信银行零售银行业务税前利润同比下降了42.07%至92.30亿元;民生银行零售银行业务利润总额为116亿元,同比下降了44.96%。

  作为股份制行的领头羊,招商银行零售金融税前利润906.44亿元,同比下降9.28%,稍微算是挽回点颜面。

  受到居民债务周期、房地产周期等因素影响,2024年银行零售资产质量普遍承压,多家银行预测,零售信贷风险还将出现行业趋势性上升的现象,且还将持续一段时间。

  从零售贷款收益率看,各家银行也是普遍下降。2024年工商银行零售贷款平均收益率3.65%,下降了13.71%,中国银行为3.76%,下降了15.12%。平安银行为5.56%,下降了15.5%。

  个人信用加速恶化

  银行零售业务塌方背后隐藏了触目惊心现实,就是个人信用在加速恶化。

  以宇宙行工商银行为例,个人贷款不良率从0.56%上升到了1.15%,增长了51.3%。其中个人住房不良贷款率从0.44%上升到0.73%,个人消费贷款从1.34%上升到2.39%,个人经营贷款从0.86%上升到了1.27%。

  工商银行2024年年报

  渤海银行的个人消费贷款不良率竟然高达12.37%,2023年这一数据为4.44%,几乎翻了3倍。渤海银行的个人贷款不良率直接从2.25%上升到了4.15%,个人住房贷款不良率从0.97%上升到了1.98%。

  渤海银行2024年年报

  招商银行零售贷款不良率也从0.89%上升到0.96%,个人住房贷款不良率从0.37%上升到了0.48%。

  不要说消费贷和信用卡这些无抵押贷款,个人住房贷款曾经是银行眼中的香饽饽,绝对的优质资产,如今不良率也在大面积攀升。

  建设银行个人住房贷款不良率从0.42%上升到了0.63%,农业银行从0.55%上升到了0.73%。

  从有数据披露的其他银行的个人住房贷款不良率对比看,2020年后基本都出现了明显走高。

  从个人信用卡的不良率看,工商银行2024年达到了3.50%,比2023年增长了1.05个百分点,增幅42.86%。

  从央行数据也能反映这一点,信用卡逾期半年未偿信贷风险持续攀升,截至2024年末,已达1239.6亿元,同比增长26.3%。自2024年一季度突破千亿大关后,该指标已连续四个季度居高位运行,四季度更创出历史新高。

  为了缓解零售业务压力,各大银行纷纷加大了对零售风险的管控,如停止高风险业务,加强贷后管理和逾期管控,提升催收和处置的效率、压降不良资产平稳收窄风险敞口等。

  而个人不良的快速上升是与居民就业和收入息息相关,如何解决银行零售业务塌方背后的问题,也是当务之急。

  春节档电影市场整体票房表现强劲,幸福蓝海一季度净利润同比增长694%。

  4月24日晚间,幸福蓝海发布一季报显示,2025年第一季度公司实现营业收入3.32亿元,同比增长40.4%;归母净利润7053.01万元,同比增长694.06%。

  该公司业绩暴增,是受春节档电影市场整体票房表现强劲的影响,公司电影发行及放映收入增加。

  幸福蓝海主要从事电视剧制作、发行和电影全产业链业务,其中电影全产业链业务涵盖了制作、院线、发行和影城放映整个完整的电影全产业链结构。

  幸福蓝海的业绩受电影票房数据影响较大。

  近期,幸福蓝海还发布了2024年成绩单:公司实现营业收入6.54亿元,同比减少40.53%;净利润亏损1.92亿元。

  其业绩下滑,主要受电影票房数据下滑影响:2024年中国电影市场全年票房425.02亿元,较2023年同比下滑22.6%,公司电影发行及放映收入受到影响。

  2025年,幸福蓝海投资参拍的电影、电视剧备受投资者关注。

  幸福蓝海4月7日在投资者互动平台表示,电视剧项目《兵自风中来》入选2025年央视电视剧片单,《张謇》于2024年12月底杀青,《邻居》《731》等十余个储备项目正在积极推进。微短剧方面,文旅微短剧《神兽河行纪》正式登陆红果短剧平台,《亲爱的小孩》等项目正在有序推进。电影方面,参投电影《唐探1900》于2025年春节档上映。此外,公司还在全力推进《澎湖海战》新电影项目。

  今年春节档,电影市场持续火爆,多部影片票房创新高。得益于电影市场春节档强劲表现,多家影视公司一季报业绩迎来明显增长。

  光线传媒一季度实现营业收入29.75亿元,同比增长177.87%;净利润20.16亿元,同比增长374.79%。一季度,公司电影及衍生业务收入及利润较上年同期均实现大幅增长。《哪吒之魔童闹海》已于2025年大年初一上映,同时,在该电影上映前,公司已提前着手规划、开发潮玩、手办、卡牌、出版物等多元衍生品,并筹划海外发行,致力于进一步挖掘IP价值,拓宽盈利渠道,构建完整的全产业链变现模式,票房与衍生品收入相辅相成,共同助力影片的商业价值持续发酵,实现长效盈利。

  华谊兄弟一季度实现营业收入1.06亿元,同比增长11.26%;归母净利润1976.27万元,同比扭亏。

  华策影视一季度实现营业收入5.86亿元,同比增长231.96%;归母净利润9211.35万元,同比增长206.9%。营收增长主要系公司电视剧销售规模本期比上年同期增加。

  横店影视一季度实现营业收入11.72亿元,同比增长39.15%;净利润3.43亿元,同比增长56.77%。报告期内,公司院线实现票房收入9.97亿元(不含服务费),同比增长50.76%。

  美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,对百万富豪征收更高的税将会导致美国最富群体出走,此番言论淡化了共和党圈子内一些人正在讨论的想法,即将此作为经济刺激计划资金来源的一种方式。

  “我认为这么做将非常具有破坏性,百万富豪会离开这个国家,”特朗普周三在椭圆形办公室表示。

  特朗普的言论可能给眼下的讨论泼了冷水,据悉共和党人提案拟将年收入达到100万美元及以上的纳税人税率设为40%。共和党参众两院的一些议员表示,他们对提高高收入者的税率持开放态度,希望这可以帮助支付特朗普议程其他部分所需的资金。

  推荐阅读:美共和党据悉考虑对百万富翁设40%税率以抵消减税成本

  众议院议长MikeJohnson周三早些时候表示,他不认为共和党的税收法案会要求提高百万富豪的所得税税率。

  “我们一直在反对这种想法。我不赞成提高税率。我们的政党是传统上反对这种做法的政党,”Johnson周三说。

  这个想法的支持者认为这是在中期选举前平息民主党攻击的一种方式。不过,共和党反对增税组织一直在抵挡这项数十年来的党内传统观念所遭受的威胁。

  特朗普和Johnson对潜在的百万富豪新税级发表评论之际,一些共和党人反对声音也在增多。前共和党众议院议长NewtGingrich周二在社交媒体平台X上发帖,称他收到了特朗普的信息,暗示加税可能会损害共和党的选票。

  议员们将于下周返回华盛顿,开始讨论税收计划的细节。

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