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大理白族自治州(鹤庆县、漾濞彝族自治县、宾川县、大理市、巍山彝族回族自治县、剑川县、云龙县、祥云县、弥渡县、洱源县、南涧彝族自治县、永平县)

  全球最大油服公司斯伦贝谢公布一季度净利润同比锐减25%,主要受部分地区业务萎缩及全球贸易政策不确定性影响。

  该公司第一财季净利润7.97亿美元(合每股0.58美元),较上年同期10.7亿美元(每股0.74美元)显著下滑。调整后每股收益为0.72美元,略低于FactSet调查预期的0.73美元。营收84.9亿美元,同比下降2.5%,未达86亿美元的市场预期。

  该公司CEO奥利维尔-勒佩什(LePeuch)指出,尽管北美数据中心基础设施解决方案和数字化业务增长强劲,但墨西哥业务急剧放缓、沙特及非洲海上市场开局疲软、俄罗斯业务断崖式下跌完全抵消了这些积极因素。

  威斯康星州的一名州法官因涉嫌妨碍无证移民逮捕行动,于周五被联邦特工逮捕。

  联邦调查局(FBI)局长KashPatel在社交媒体上发帖称,密尔沃基县巡回法官HannahDugan周五上午被拘留。该帖子随后被删除。根据美国法警局发言人BradyMcCarron,她是在当天上午8点左右于县法院被逮捕的。

  MilwaukeeJournalSentinel援引未具名消息来源报道称,FBI此前一直在调查Dugan是否协助一名无证移民逃避逮捕。Dugan的书记员拒绝对彭博新闻社置评。

  特朗普政府在实施大规模驱逐无证移民计划的过程中多次与全美各地的法官发生冲突。两名联邦法官正在考虑是否以藐视法庭为由起诉政府官员。

  JournalSentinel报道称,4月18日,美国移民和海关执法局(ICE)特工在Dugan主持的听证会后试图逮捕一名墨西哥公民。报道指出,Dugan将ICE特工引导到另一位法官的办公室,然后允许被告从侧门离开法庭,沿着私人走廊进入公共区域。

  美国司法部长帕姆·邦迪在接受采访时表示,特朗普政府将起诉其他阻挠政府议程的法官。

  “我们会起诉你们,”邦迪说道。

  邦迪是在回应一名记者关于想对法官传达什么信息的提问时作出上述表态,此前威斯康星州一名法官已被逮捕。

  在福克斯新闻播放的一段视频中,特朗普政府的边境事务主管汤姆·霍曼表示:“我不在乎法官们怎么想,也不在乎左派怎么想,我们来了。”

  据知情人士透露,特朗普政府在推动达成结束俄乌冲突的协议时,将与俄罗斯能源领域的合作视为争取克里姆林宫支持的关键经济诱惑之一。

  因讨论未公开信息而要求匿名的知情人士表示,在美方拟提出的和平协议方案中,可能包括北极地区的联合项目,以及油气和稀土矿物方面等方面的合作。

  据参与相关工作的莫斯科消息人士称,在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的和平协议可能伴随经济合作前景的鼓舞下,俄罗斯正在起草一份官员们希望可能引起美国兴趣的项目和资产清单。这些想法由俄罗斯总统普京负责经济关系的特使KirillDmitriev收集,他已成为与白宫联系的重要渠道。

  知情人士指出,目前双方没有直接讨论相关计划。任何恢复美俄经济关系的努力都将面临巨大障碍,包括美国及其七国集团盟友对俄罗斯施加的数千项制裁,以及克里姆林宫长期不愿让外国投资者控制能源等战略领域。

唐纳德·特朗普和弗拉基米尔·普京2018年在赫尔辛基

  对潜在商业交易的关注,特别是能源领域,凸显了特朗普政府交易导向的外交政策风格。若协议得以达成,美国企业可能会在俄罗斯与乌克兰的天然气、石油与电力流通体系中扮演关键角色,包括面向欧洲市场。

  此次对俄合作构想紧随特朗普力促美乌签署全面投资协议,该协议将赋予美方在开发乌克兰矿产资源和重建基础设施方面的主导地位。

  美国正在推动俄乌加快达成停火协议,并威胁在两方拒绝停止敌对的情况下退出调停。知情人士本周早些时候透露,美国将要求普京接受乌克兰战后有权保留军队和国防工业,同时乌克兰可能需要做出一些领土让步。

SteveWitkoff

  全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:

  特朗普称其喜欢“百万富翁税”的想法但也担心政治风险   

  美国总统特朗普表示,他对针对百万收入群体加税的想法持开放态度(这一想法在共和党内引发激烈争论),但他也表示,他担心加税可能会产生政治风险。

  特朗普在周五表示:“我实际上很喜欢这个概念,但我不希望它被用来在政治上攻击我,因为我见过有人因为更小的事情而输掉选举。”

  “我会对富人加税,以照顾中产阶级,我喜欢这一点,”特朗普称。

  美国消费者信心大幅下滑长期通胀预期升至1991年来最高

  因关税政策引发经济担忧,美国消费者信心在4月大幅下滑,同时长期通胀预期升至1991年以来最高水平。

  密歇根大学周五公布的数据显示,4月消费者信心指数终值降至52.2,低于3月的57。虽然略高于初值50.8,但仍为1970年代末以来的第四低水平。

  调查显示,消费者预计未来5到10年年均通胀率将升至4.4%,为1991年以来最高。对未来一年的通胀预期为6.5%,略低于初值6.7%,但仍为1981年以来的最高水平。

  若谷歌被迫出售,OpenAI和雅虎都有意收购Chrome浏览器

  如果联邦法官下令出售这款互联网上最受欢迎的入口浏览器,聊天机器人ChatGPT的开发公司OpenAI(OPAI.PVT)和雅虎(Yahoo)都有意收购谷歌的Chrome浏览器。

  本周,在一场审判中,这些公司的意向浮出水面。这场审判将决定联邦法官阿米特・梅塔是否会拆分字母表公司(Alphabet,股票代码:GOOG、GOOGL)旗下的谷歌搜索业务帝国。梅塔法官去年裁定,谷歌存在非法的在线搜索垄断行为。

  美国司法部希望谷歌出售其Chrome浏览器,以及可能包括其安卓操作系统在内的其他业务,作为补救措施。OpenAI和雅虎的高管都在法庭上透露,如果Chrome浏览器进入出售流程,他们希望能参与竞购。

  美联储发布金融稳定报告提示存在资产估值压力相关风险  

  美联储在周五发布的报告中指出了与股票和房地产估值相关的风险,表示尽管有些市场本月早些时候下跌,但资产价格仍明显高企。

  “即使在近期下跌之后,目前股价相较于盈利预测仍显偏高,分析师调整盈利预测的速度慢于市场价格。各期限美国国债收益率仍处于2008年以来的较高水平。”

  美联储还在《金融稳定报告》强调了该领域的杠杆问题,指出融资风险令人担忧,但也表示,融资市场在4月初的波动中保持坚韧。该报告反映了截至4月11日的市况和数据。

  欧央行官员称通胀战役接近尾声,但关税风险隐现  

  IMF在会议周伊始便定下基调,发布了最新经济预测,下调了对美国、英国及多个亚洲国家的增长预期。经济学家、央行官员和政策制定者们纷纷在公开讨论和私下会谈中试图研判——国际贸易紧张局势是否正在缓和,抑或并非如此。

  本周接受采访的欧洲央行政策制定者普遍保持偏鸽派立场,暗示他们预计利率将继续下行,且欧元区通胀的上行风险有限。

  然而,所有人都强调当前不确定性高企,需持续监测数据,并对增长前景面临的高风险保持警惕——英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利(AndrewBailey)在接受采访时也呼应了这一观点。

  经济学家下调今明两年美国经济预期料一年内衰退几率达45%    

  预测人士预计,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的贸易战将在今年和明年对经济增长造成冲击,因为关税将推高物价并抑制消费者支出。

  根据最新对经济学家的调查,美国经济预计将在2025年增长1.4%,2026年增长1.5%,而上月调查的预测分别为2%和1.9%。目前,受访经济学家的中值预测显示,未来12个月内经济衰退的概率为45%,高于3月份的30%。

  特朗普决定大多数国家至少征收10%的关税,此举令许多预测机构警告经济将面临急剧放缓,甚至有部分机构预测今年就可能出现经济衰退。这在一定程度上是因为家庭需求出现了大幅下调,而家庭需求占国内生产总值(GDP)的比重约为三分之二。

  周五(4月25日)纽约尾盘,现货黄金下跌0.99%,报3316.17美元/盎司,本周累计下跌0.30%,周二亚太午盘涨至3500.10点创历史新高之后回落,周三至周五震荡于3349-3259美元区间。COMEX黄金期货跌0.65%,报3326.70美元/盎司,本周累跌0.10%,周二亚太午盘也曾涨至3509.90美元创盘中历史新高。费城金银指数收跌1.79%,报186.00点,本周累跌2.87%。

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