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  来源:时代周报

  4月15日,常熟银行(601128.SH)强势领涨A股上市银行。截至当日收盘,常熟银行大涨4.06%,成交额5.34亿元,单日涨幅创下2024年11月13日以来的新高,总市值达216.5亿元。

  此前一日,常熟银行发布2025年一季度业绩快报。数据显示,今年一季度,该行营业收入和归母净利润继续保持双位数增长。对于该行一季度的业绩表现,多家投资机构给出了超预期的高度评价。

  不过,据Wind数据,2024年度,常熟银行的分红率仅为19.77%,已经连续6年下降。

  近期,有投资者在上证e互动平台就分红率向该行提问,常熟银行表示,公司在制定分红方案时会综合考虑行业特点、自身经营情况以及监管对于资本充足率的要求等因素,同时兼顾投资者的合理回报和该行的长远发展。

  一季度营收净利润两位数增长

  一直以来,常熟银行被视为上市农商行中的“优等生”。年报显示,截至2024年末,该行资产总额达到3665.82亿元,较年初增长9.61%。2024年实现营业收入109.09亿元,同比增长10.53%;实现归母净利润38.13亿元,同比增长16.20%。

  从营业收入构成来看,2024年,常熟银行利息净收入为91.42亿元,同比增长7.54%,非利息净收入为17.67亿元,同比增长29.07%。非息收入中,该行实现手续费及佣金净收入0.83亿元,同比增长158.54%,实现投资收益14.94亿元,同比增长56.03%。

  对于投资收益的大幅增长,常熟银行解释称,主要系基于当前市场环境下,该行加强宏观研判和市场分析,主动进行止盈操作。值得一提的是,去年12月,交易商协会发布通报称,包括常熟银行在内的4家农商行债券交易存在内控管理不健全,对交易员激励过度等违规现象,交易商协会将根据相关法律法规以及自律规则予以自律处分并移送相关部门。目前该事件尚未有新的进展。

  4月14日晚间,常熟银行披露2025年一季度业绩快报,延续双位数增长态势。今年一季度,该行实现营业收入29.71亿元,同比增长10.04%;归母净利润10.84亿元,同比增长13.87%。

  据时代周报记者统计,截至4月14日,包括常熟银行在内,共有6家A股上市银行提前“剧透”了今年一季度的经营情况,其他5家银行分别为民生银行、浦发银行、杭州银行、渝农商行、杭州银行。

  整体上看,6家银行一季度的业绩表现都较为亮眼,常熟银行是其中唯一家营业收入和归母净利润同时实现两位数增长的银行。

  资产质量方面,截至2024年末,常熟银行不良贷款率为0.77%,今年一季度末降至0.76%。

  常熟银行的拨备覆盖率一直处于上市银行前列,但去年以来也开始逐渐下降。截至2024年末,该行拨备覆盖率为500.51%,较年初下降37.37个百分点。截至今年一季度末,常熟银行的拨备覆盖率再次下降至489.56%。

  光大证券发布的研报认为,从边际变化看,常熟银行拨备减提对盈利正向贡献提升,息差降幅收窄对业绩拖累减轻;非息增长放缓对业绩增速拉动作用减弱,营业费用多增对业绩拖累加大。

  分红率连续6年下降

  “常熟银行的分红占净利的比例逐年降低,是因为监管的原因?还是公司想要多留存以支持高速发展?”近期,有投资者在上证e平台上向常熟银行提问。

  据常熟银行2024年度利润分配方案,该行拟每股派发现金红利0.25元(含税),以资本公积向全体股东每股转增0.1股,累计现金分红金额为7.54亿元,占当期归属于该行普通股股东净利润的19.77%。

  时代周报记者注意到,常熟银行的现金分红比例已经连续6年下降。据Wind数据,2018年度~2024年度,该行的分红率分别为33.20%、30.71%、30.40%、25.05%、24.97%、20.88%、19.77%。

  常熟银行解释称,2024年度公司分红比例低于30%主要基于三点考虑,一是该行处于成长期,具有较大的可持续增长空间,适当留存利润以补充核心一级资本,保障内源性资本的持续补充,有利于支撑与推动持续发展;二是充足的资本有利于该行持续提升价值创造能力,为投资者提供可持续的长期回报;三是充分考虑监管机构对资本充足率的要求,进一步增强风险抵御能力。

  和同业相比,常熟银行的分红比例也处在较低水平。以江苏地区的上市农商行为例,目前除常熟银行外,已有张家港行、无锡银行、江阴银行发布了2024年度报告,2024年度其分红率分别为26.02%、21.44%、24.17%,均高于常熟银行。

  从资本充足水平来看,截至2024年末,常熟银行资本充足率、一级资本充足率、核心一级资本充足率分别为14.19%、11.24%、11.18%,较2023年末分别上升0.33个百分点、0.76个百分点、0.76个百分点,整体处于较高水平。

  2024年11月,证监会发布《上市公司监管指引第10号——市值管理》。其中明确,长期破净公司应当制定上市公司估值提升计划,并经董事会审议后披露。

  当前,大部分银行股仍处于破净状态,近期多家银行也开始密集披露估值提升计划。

  常熟银行3月27日披露的估值提升计划显示,2025年度,该行拟通过提升经营效率和盈利能力、积极实施现金分红、强化投资者关系管理、做好信息披露相关工作等措施提升该行投资价值。

  在现金分红方面,常熟银行提到,上市以来该行保持稳健分红政策,在综合考虑盈利水平、资本情况、监管要求和未来可持续发展等多方因素的基础上,充分考虑和兼顾投资者分享经营发展成果、获取合理投资回报的诉求,努力增强股东回报政策的稳定性、持续性和合理性,提升投资者的获得感和满意度。

  此外,常熟银行进一步强调,该行将密切关注市场对公司价值的反映,加强与股东的沟通联系,在市场表现明显偏离该行价值时,鼓励主要股东、董事、监事、高级管理人员在符合条件的情况下股份增持,或者通过自愿延长股份锁定期以及承诺不减持股份等方式提振市场信心。

  截至目前,常熟银行尚未公布新的增持计划。去年1月,该行董事长薛文、行长包剑等13名高管曾通过集中竞价方式合计增该行69.22万股股份,增持金额444.06万元。

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