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小叔H1V1梁杏 - 教育环境的隐秘危机,如何拯救我们的未来?

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4月17日,华东医药发布2024年业绩报告:营收达419亿元,同比微增3%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润超过35亿元,同比增长达23.72%。

去年是华东医药成立以来净利润最好的一年,已经连续四年净利润增长。4月21日收盘,华东医药股价上涨近2%,来到39.33元/股。

2024年,华东医药引进的多个创新药密集上市,自研GLP-1等产品管线也取得进展。2025年,华东医药还想获得更多:公司管理层在业绩会上表示,2025年有信心拿到自研管线的首次BD收入。

这意味着,今年华东医药业绩可能会有较大的变动。

守住基本面

华东医药的净利润基本仰赖子公司中美华东,达到28.76亿元,同比增长近30%。

中美华东的具体销售成绩没有被披露,不过公司的创新药2024年才上市,业绩增长应该还是依靠老品种。

2019年起,中美华东百令胶囊、阿卡波糖、吗替麦考酚酯、吲哚布芬片等核心品种相继受到集采、国谈、竞品等因素冲击,大单品红利逐渐消失。

尤其是百令胶囊,这是华东医药最大的单品,销售额超30亿元,但在去年1月迎来竞品。佐力药业研发的百令胶囊获批上市,一下子打乱了华东的经营节奏。华东医药嘴上说着“增加一家企业,不会对市场竞争格局带来重大影响”,但专利官司打得比谁都积极。

类似的情况也发生在吲哚布芬片身上,因受到华东医药专利狙击,九典制药等3家企业相继被暂停采购资格。

靠着四处出击,华东医药守住了基本面。年报特别提到百令胶囊,说百令胶囊由于医保报销扩大到慢性支气管炎、慢性肾功能不全患者,后续增长还有望提速。

华东医药近几年新引进的品种,2024年开始贡献业绩。其中从科济药业引进的CAR-T泽沃基奥仑赛注射液去年3月上市,用于治疗复发或难治性多发性骨髓瘤成人患者,成为国内上市的第二款BCMACAR-T。年报披露,去年这款CAR-T已有154份有效订单。按照115万/针的价格,华东医药光这一款创新药就获得近1.8亿元的销售额。

首战告捷的华东医药已经备好下一个CAR-T品种。去年8月,华东医药引入艺妙神州的CD19自体CAR-T产品IM19注射液,该品种有望于今年上市。

从引进到对外授权

创新药可能会是华东医药今年业绩的最大看点。去年11月,华东医药与荃信生物合作开发的乌司奴单抗生物类似药上市,成为国内首款,华东医药借此扩展到自免领域。业绩会上,公司表示该产品已经在各省市挂网销售,今年有望加速推进。

同样在11月,华东医药引进的FRαADC获批,用于二线治疗卵巢癌。公司表示:今年这款药物将会积极参与医保谈判。

华东医药手里引进的新药还包括一款依达拉奉片改良型新药,目前已提交上市申请;一款已上市独家中成药伤科灵,是目前国内获批的唯一一款处方药/OTC双跨的国家医保中成药喷雾剂。

华东医药有重销售的传统,走licensein的路线回报周期更短,风险也低。不过,华东医药董事长吕梁对外驳斥过“BD狂人”的标签,表示公司不会只靠BD,一定是自研创新和引进相结合。

2024年,华东医药研发投入增长12.2%至14.3亿元,目前在手创新药管线超80项。其中GLP-1是华东医药的重点,公司集齐了单一靶点、GLP-1/GIP双靶点、FGF21R/GCGR/GLP-1三靶点等不同路线品种。

在去年国内减肥管线密集BD的风潮下,华东医药竟然毫无动静,这可能与公司的BD能力不强有关。

老牌企业闷头做事的多,吆喝外联的少。BD本身也是一门玄学,能不能卖掉偶然性非常大。华东医药手里不是没有好品种,要做的是努力寻找合适的买家。

业绩会上,华东医药介绍,公司自主研发的口服小分子GLP-1受体激动剂HDM1002去年10月II期临床结束,结果不错。公司有信心今年实现首个对外BD。

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