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锦州市(太和区、凌海市、北镇市、凌河区、古塔区、义县、黑山县)
  4月17日,截至9时39分,地产板块表现强劲,中证800地产指数上涨1.99%,成份股方面,新城控股领涨6.85%,滨江集团上涨4.86%,万科A上涨3.13%。热门ETF方面,代表A股龙头地产行情的地产ETF(159707)场内价格上涨2.13%,成交额达919.18万元。

  消息面上,国家统计局16日发布2025年3月份70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况。70个大中城市中,商品住宅销售价格环比上涨城市个数增加;一线城市商品住宅销售价格环比上涨。

  外资机构方面,高盛首席中国股票策略师刘劲津16日一场机构对话中指出:已经看到房地产市场出现了一些企稳迹象。特别是在一线城市,无论是房价还是土地拍卖活动,最近都表现得相当强劲。预期在接下来的几个月里,房地产市场可能会获得更多支持。

  中银国际表示,短期来看,从4月中旬开始建议重点关注地产板块行情。在中美关税摩擦导致出口承压的背景下,扩内需成为提振经济的关键,二季度货币政策有望进一步宽松,以应对外部的不确定性,而房地产作为内需的重要一环,“止跌回稳”的相关措施将进一步加速推进,本月5年期以上LPR下调概率较高,核心城市的限购限售政策也可能进一步松绑。

  若二季度相关政策落地,该机构预计核心城市市场将继续修复。此外,近期部分核心城市土地市场升温也有助于提振居民置业信心,并对房价形成一定支撑。同时,本月底将召开政治局会议,前期也会有政策博弈带来的板块行情。地产从标的来看,一方面,流动性安全、重仓高能级城市、产品力突出的房企或更具备α属性;另一方面,得益于化债、政策纾困、销售改善等多重逻辑下的困境反转的标的或具备更大的估值修复弹性。

  布局央国企及优质房企,建议重点关注地产ETF(159707)。资料显示,地产ETF(159707)跟踪中证800地产指数,汇集市场13只头部优质房企,在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势,前十大成份股权重超9成,央国企含量高!在行业出清大背景下,龙头地产或更具弹性!

  数据来源:沪深交易所等。

  风险提示:地产ETF被动跟踪中证800地产指数,该指数基日为2004.12.31,发布日期为2012.12.21,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基金风险等级为R3-中风险,适宜平衡型(C3)及以上投资者。任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另,本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议,亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险,基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证,基金投资需谨慎。

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