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  新华财经北京4月17日电美国国债收益率周三(4月16日)延续跌势,跌幅普遍为4-8个基点。其中,10年期美债收益率下跌5个基点,报4.28%;2年期美债全天走低,尾盘跌超7个基点,报3.77%。

  当天,日本首席贸易谈判代表、经济再生大臣赤泽亮正已抵达华盛顿,未来两天将与美国财政部长贝森特和美国贸易代表格里尔举行会谈。美国总统特朗普表示将出席会议。

  特朗普在本月初签署的关于所谓“对等关税”行政令中,将对日本的关税税率设定为24%,引发日本政府不满。日本内阁官房长官林芳正表示,美方此举令人非常遗憾。美国政府实施的大范围贸易限制措施,不仅可能对日美经济关系产生重大影响,还可能影响世界经济及全球多边贸易体系。

  日本首相石破茂此前表示,在即将与美国举行的关税谈判中,日本不打算以不断妥协方式换取尽快达成协议。他14日在日本众议院预算委员会会议上说,他不认为不断妥协以尽快达成协议是个好做法。

  美国商务部当地时间16日公布数据显示,美国3月零售销售额环比上涨1.4%,是自2023年1月以来的最大环比增幅,高于市场预期,也高于2月0.2%的增幅。剔除汽车和零部件销售额,3月零售销售额环比上涨0.5%。

  分析认为,汽车等高价位商品销售额的增长是拉动当月零售销售额增长的主要因素。3月好于预期的零售销售额数据并不代表经济强劲,而是代表消费者在面对“未来巨大经济不确定性时选择提前消费”。随着特朗普政府加征关税的影响显现,美国经济增长在未来几个月将可能迅速放缓,消费者在购买非必需品时将更加谨慎,预计未来几个月零售销售额将下降。

  美联储主席鲍威尔16日表示,美国政府目前已宣布的关税上调幅度已远超预期水平。他警告,加征关税政策很有可能引发至少是短期的通胀上升,而供应链中断还可能导致通胀持续更长时间。

  鲍威尔当天在芝加哥经济俱乐部发表讲话时指出,调查数据和市场指标都显示,短期通胀预期已显著上升,受访者普遍将矛头指向关税政策。在现任政府正在实施的重大政策调整影响下,经济很可能会放缓,失业率或将上升,而随着关税政策逐步生效,通胀也可能上升。美联储可能会面临物价稳定、充分就业双重目标相互冲突的棘手局面。

  鲍威尔表示,供应链中断这类问题往往需要较长时间才能解决,可能使原本一次性的通胀冲击演变为更持久的压力,这正是美联储担忧的情况。美联储将保持耐心,在决定是否调整利率前,继续观察政府加征关税及其他经济政策的实际影响。

  美国财政部16日公布的TIC报告显示,2025年2月,外国(地区)持有美债规模环比增加2,217亿美元,日本、中国大陆和英国三大海外债主合计增持规模为802亿美元。

  编辑:张煜

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  亚信科技(01675)午前上涨4.87%,现报8.61港元,成交额8505.11万港元。

  光大证券指出,公司预计2025年AI大模型交付业务营收将达2至3亿人民币;后续可触达订单规模有望达数十亿人民币,我们预计有望在2026至2027年逐步落地。公司同阿里云、百度智能云、火山引擎等基础大模型厂商深度合作,其中同阿里密切合作超8年时间。公司首先通过为行业头部客户提供高度定制化的大模型业务,建立业务标准,后期将针对行业腰部客户和长尾客户进行大模型场景复制和标品销售,实现业务快速规模化扩张。

  在经济前景和关税影响存在高度不确定性之际,日本央行审议委员中川顺子强调谨慎立场,这进一步强化了近期日本央行释放出的暂缓加息信号。

  中川顺子在东京以北的群马县对当地商界领袖发表讲话时表示,在不确定性居高不下的情况下,日本央行将“在不预设立场的前提下,密切关注国内外经济、物价走势以及金融市场动向,适时做出货币政策决策”。

  中川顺子周四的讲话进一步印证了日本央行在评估美国总统特朗普关税政策影响时,短期内不会考虑加息的立场。她的发言呼应了日本央行行长植田和男当天稍早在国会的表态,植田强调,应客观地观察日益增加的不确定性。

  中川顺子表示:“必须关注各国贸易政策存在高度不确定性的事实,以及这将如何影响全球经济。”

  在她讲话不久前,美日已经开始贸易谈判。美国总统特朗普表示双方已取得“重大进展”。

昨晚黄金价格再度飙升。北京时间4月17日凌晨,现货黄金(伦敦金现)暴力拉升逾100美元,盘中一举突破3350美元/盎司关口,最高触及3357.92美元,创下历史新高。截至发稿,金价已回落至3333.463美元。

消息面上,据新华社报道,北京时间周四凌晨,美联储主席鲍威尔在公开演讲中表示,近期实施的新关税政策预计将推升短期通胀,并对经济增长构成拖累。因此,美联储将采取“观望”的策略,以确保在实现最大就业和价格稳定之间保持平衡。

此前,市场普遍预期美联储可能会在未来几个月内开始降息。然而,鲍威尔及其他几位政策制定者的表态使市场重新评估了这一预期。当天美股三大指数大幅收跌。纳指跌超500点,跌幅为3.07%;道指跌近700点,跌幅为1.73%;标普500指数跌2.24%。

对此,广东南方黄金市场研究院宋蒋圳向南财快讯表示,本轮金价的上涨是典型的单边趋势动能行情,非理性情绪推动涨势是重要因素,因此黄金在短期内会跟美联储货币政策和金融资产的关联性脱节,形成独立上涨行情。他分析称,央行购金潮和ETF资金流入构成黄金价格的长期支撑,但短期波动可能由投机性多头获利了结引发,预计50美元内的回调属于正常震荡范围。

“操作策略上建议分批次布局,不宜追高。短期势能行情结束后,黄金价格大概率面临调整。投资者应保持理性,将操作周期拉长,避免被行情短期波动裹挟。”宋蒋圳补充道。

国内市场紧随国际步伐。截至4月17日午间休盘,沪金期货主力合约涨幅扩大至2.61%,报792.52元/克。

(声明:文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。)

专题:2025年全国企业管理创新大会

  2025年4月17日-18日,“2025年全国企业管理创新大会”在广东珠海举行,主题为“管理激发活力创新引领未来”。中国南方电网广东电网公司党委委员、副总经理阮绵晖出席并致辞。

  阮绵晖谈到,中国南方电网广东电网公司作为服务广东省和粤港澳大湾区的能源央企,按照南方电网公司的统一部署,锚定管理现代化目标,聚焦企业管理升级,将创新作为引领发展的第一动力,立足大湾区和广东省,走出了一条具有电网特色、广东特征和国际水准的管理创新之路,为区域的发展和行业的进步作出了管理创新的努力。

  他介绍到,广东电网公司创新构建公司管理体系框架,描绘广东电网管理全景,制定综合管理体系+管理子体系和特色集体系规划,引领公司管理升级方向,明确落地实施路径,深化协同场景+变革管理,破除管理壁垒,深入开展AI+管理,推动管理向现代化、国际化转变,综合运用科学的管理方法和工具,推动广东电网公司向管理现代化的目标迈进,促进企业管理从经验型向现代型转变。

  同时,优化实施“三位一体”的企业架构运作模式,擘画企业架构蓝图,通过建架构、管架构、用架构的三步走,发布全域架构蓝图,打造全链架构资产,建立业务协同关系,开展制度流程数字化管控。通过业务流程步骤识别数字化需求,以架构管控机制为抓手,实现“无架构不制度、无架构不流程、无架构不数字化”的理念,树立了系统创新的管理范例。

  此外,阮绵晖还提到,公司深入推进创新而强的工作部署,推动世界一流企业建设,打造了“国之道、企之要、民之需”三大创新链,出台创新地图,建立创新主体联合攻关,创新能力迅速提升。牵头建设国资委央企新型储能创新联合体,承担六项智能电网国家科技重大专项,首次获得了中国专利金奖。科技创新成果丰硕,打造了横琴数字零碳岛共享实验室,成为澳门中联办爱国主义教育基地和横琴合作区澳门青年创新创业基地,在服务“一国两制”的伟大实践中,彰显新作为。

  阮绵晖强调,企业的创新发展离不开政府和社会各界的关心与支持。“期待与更多的企业、专家、研究机构携手共进,共同探索企业管理创新的新模式、新路径,推动我国企业在全球竞争中实现新的跨越。”

  跨境电商巨头Shein和Temu警告美国消费者,平台商品价格将从下周起上调。两家公司都发布了几乎相同的声明。声明称,“由于最近全球贸易规则和关税的变化”,他们的运营成本有所上升,并补充称,将从4月25日起进行“价格调整”。这些购物网站因其超低价格在美国吸引了数千万客户。它们的迅猛发展给亚马逊带来了压力,促使它在去年11月推出了一个名为Haul的新平台,主打价格低于20美元的商品。

 

  瑞士工业集团ABB周四宣布,计划分拆整个机器人部门,这是该公司自2018年将电网业务出售给日本日立(Hitachi)以来最大规模的重组。

  ABB的机器人业务是仅次于日本发那科(FANUC)的全球第二大工业机器人制造商,竞争对手包括安川(Yaskawa)和德国库卡(Kuka)。

  该部门拥有约7000名员工,2024年创造了23亿美元的销售额,相当于ABB总销售额的7%,但最近几个季度一直举步维艰,因为作为机器人大买家的汽车行业需求疲软。

  ABB还公布了最新财报,今年第一季度净利润从上年同期的9.05亿美元增至11亿美元,营收增长1%,至79.35亿美元。

  该公司表示,其所有业务领域都超出了最初的预期。

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